Consensus Won β
Smart money consensus was Up β and it was correct. Winning outcome: Up

Bitcoin Up or Down - October 25, 11:45PM-12:00AM ET
Resolved Up. 57% of the top Polymarket traders held Up. The smart money was right.
π
Won
28
Up 63%
$3.7K
$-3.5K
Smart Money Signal
16 of 28 top traders (57%)12 hold an outcome priced under 50%14 small positions dimmed (<$100 invested)
Outcome Probabilities
Smart Money Breakdown by Outcome
| Trader | Position | Invested | Value | PnL | Record |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
0X 0xcE25E214D5cfE4f459cf67F08DF581885AAE7Fdc-1777575398144CTR | Downavg 62.2Β’ | $1.2K | β | $-1.2K | 71% 52280-21256 (73536) |
TH thesidehustleCTR | Downavg 59.4Β’ | $911.31 | β | -$911.31 | 54% 9586-8141 (17727) |
![]() Polkadot-FrogCTR | Downavg 84.4Β’ | $792.7 | β | -$792.7 | 84% 30004-5919 (35923) |
AS aswfadq1555CTR | Downavg 72.9Β’ | $623.47 | β | -$623.47 | 54% 6562-5584 (12146) |
WZ wzbbbCTR | Downavg 26.5Β’ | $110.8 | β | -$110.8 | 56% 6981-5433 (12414) |
![]() MayorMamdaniCTR | Downavg 67.1Β’ | $200.51 | β | -$200.51 | 58% 16426-12041 (28467) |
PE peepeepoopoo24CTR | Downavg 75.9Β’ | $135.45 | β | -$135.45 | 58% 6301-4645 (10946) |
HO hoodquant | Upavg 98.7Β’ | $1.5K | $1.6K | +$20.57 | 93% 20790-1670 (22460) |
AS asidjasiodjaCTR<$100 | Downavg 63.3Β’ | $51.94 | β | -$51.94 | 61% 14113-8870 (22983) |
AS asdaefefCTR<$100 | Downavg 74.3Β’ | $27.92 | β | -$27.92 | 77% 26186-7758 (33944) |
![]() NIULAI4 | Upavg 86.5Β’ | $514.17 | $594.22 | +$80.06 | 78% 9032-2588 (11620) |
AS asabovesobelow2 | Upavg 87.2Β’ | $492.75 | $565.27 | +$72.52 | 69% 1542-705 (2247) |
0X 0x502b532F55778c0985846Dc53a9bc71eB4F33b15-1761320484518 | Upavg 99Β’ | $140.52 | $131 | -$9.52 | 72% 21641-8597 (30238) |
RL RLWG | Upavg 89.5Β’ | $262.95 | $293.94 | +$30.99 | 52% 4923-4529 (9452) |
UN uninformedfloww | Upavg 4.5Β’ | $7.2 | $159.99 | +$152.79 | 56% 34143-26515 (60658) |
DE devonpoll | Upavg 9.7Β’ | $20.64 | $123.02 | +$119.48 | 52% 16764-15588 (32352) |
DR drfc4eybh7i8<$100 | Upavg 3Β’ | $88.12 | $50 | +$9.98 | 67% 90936-45666 (136602) |
![]() Atomforge<$100 | Upavg 85.4Β’ | $53.9 | $63.13 | +$9.23 | 65% 3477-1847 (5324) |
AA aaa221<$100 | Upavg 32Β’ | $81.34 | $60 | +$40.22 | 67% 14151-6979 (21130) |
0X 0x424eb20Fcd25113e3b98f42522A54580350b263b-1774330621025<$100 | Upavg 78Β’ | $19.9 | $25.51 | +$5.61 | 68% 15806-7410 (23216) |
![]() ohioism<$100 | Upavg 77.5Β’ | $19.61 | $25.31 | +$5.7 | 64% 36071-20251 (56322) |
0X 0x50f7<$100 | Upavg 99.9Β’ | $17.53 | $17.55 | +$0.02 | 81% 33630-7895 (41525) |
![]() UpandDownSyndrome<$100 | Upavg 74.3Β’ | $11.07 | $14.89 | +$3.82 | 62% 44142-26594 (70736) |
PB PBot-6<$100 | Upavg 50Β’ | $5.01 | $10.01 | +$5.01 | 60% 40387-26729 (67116) |
0X 0xb55fa1296E6ec55D0cE53d93B9237389f11764d4-1777575277609CTR<$100 | Downavg 59Β’ | β | β | +$0 | 89% 55321-6990 (62311) |
Invested
$1,168.87
Value
β
PnL
$-1.2K
Record
71%
52280-21256 (73536)
Invested
$911.31
Value
β
PnL
-$911.31
Record
54%
9586-8141 (17727)
Polkadot-FrogCTRInvested
$792.7
Value
β
PnL
-$792.7
Record
84%
30004-5919 (35923)
Invested
$623.47
Value
β
PnL
-$623.47
Record
54%
6562-5584 (12146)
Invested
$110.8
Value
β
PnL
-$110.8
Record
56%
6981-5433 (12414)
MayorMamdaniCTRInvested
$200.51
Value
β
PnL
-$200.51
Record
58%
16426-12041 (28467)
Invested
$135.45
Value
β
PnL
-$135.45
Record
58%
6301-4645 (10946)
Invested
$1,539.79
Value
$1.6K
PnL
+$20.57
Record
93%
20790-1670 (22460)
Invested
$51.94
Value
β
PnL
-$51.94
Record
61%
14113-8870 (22983)
Invested
$27.92
Value
β
PnL
-$27.92
Record
77%
26186-7758 (33944)
NIULAI4Invested
$514.17
Value
$594.22
PnL
+$80.06
Record
78%
9032-2588 (11620)
Invested
$492.75
Value
$565.27
PnL
+$72.52
Record
69%
1542-705 (2247)
Invested
$140.52
Value
$131
PnL
-$9.52
Record
72%
21641-8597 (30238)
Invested
$262.95
Value
$293.94
PnL
+$30.99
Record
52%
4923-4529 (9452)
Invested
$7.2
Value
$159.99
PnL
+$152.79
Record
56%
34143-26515 (60658)
Invested
$20.64
Value
$123.02
PnL
+$119.48
Record
52%
16764-15588 (32352)
Invested
$88.12
Value
$50
PnL
+$9.98
Record
67%
90936-45666 (136602)
Atomforge<$100Invested
$53.9
Value
$63.13
PnL
+$9.23
Record
65%
3477-1847 (5324)
Invested
$81.34
Value
$60
PnL
+$40.22
Record
67%
14151-6979 (21130)
Invested
$19.9
Value
$25.51
PnL
+$5.61
Record
68%
15806-7410 (23216)
ohioism<$100Invested
$19.61
Value
$25.31
PnL
+$5.7
Record
64%
36071-20251 (56322)
Invested
$17.53
Value
$17.55
PnL
+$0.02
Record
81%
33630-7895 (41525)
UpandDownSyndrome<$100Invested
$11.07
Value
$14.89
PnL
+$3.82
Record
62%
44142-26594 (70736)
Invested
$5.01
Value
$10.01
PnL
+$5.01
Record
60%
40387-26729 (67116)
Invested
β
Value
β
PnL
+$0
Record
89%
55321-6990 (62311)
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Market Info
Traders in this Market
0xcE25E214D5cfE4f459cf67F08DF581885AAE7Fdc-1777575398144
CTRDown β $0
thesidehustle
CTRDown β $0

Polkadot-Frog
CTRDown β $0
aswfadq1555
CTRDown β $0
wzbbb
CTRDown β $0

MayorMamdani
CTRDown β $0
peepeepoopoo24
CTRDown β $0
hoodquant
Up β $1.6K
asidjasiodja
CTRDown β $0
asdaefef
CTRDown β $0