Consensus Won β
Smart money consensus was Down β and it was correct. Winning outcome: Down

Bitcoin Up or Down - October 25, 11:30PM-11:45PM ET
Resolved Down. 60% of the top Polymarket traders held Down. The smart money was right.
π
Won
25
Down 57%
$2.3K
-$972.39
Smart Money Signal
15 of 25 top traders (60%)10 hold an outcome priced under 50%17 small positions dimmed (<$100 invested)
Outcome Probabilities
Smart Money Breakdown by Outcome
| Trader | Position | Invested | Value | PnL | Record |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
HO hoodquant | Downavg 98Β’ | $848.88 | $866 | +$17.12 | 93% 20790-1670 (22460) |
0X 0xcE25E214D5cfE4f459cf67F08DF581885AAE7Fdc-1777575398144CTR | Upavg 56.1Β’ | $596.75 | β | -$596.75 | 71% 52280-21256 (73536) |
AS aswfadq1555CTR | Upavg 51.4Β’ | $559.24 | β | -$559.24 | 54% 6562-5584 (12146) |
TH thesidehustle | Downavg 74.7Β’ | $443.71 | $401.9 | -$41.81 | 54% 9586-8141 (17727) |
UN uninformedfloww | Downavg 27.1Β’ | $83.95 | $309.47 | +$225.52 | 56% 34143-26515 (60658) |
0X 0xba679aB701E6162CC2C932b8B498124F47394727-1774328661530 | Downavg 19Β’ | $34.26 | $150.21 | +$115.95 | 58% 11396-8336 (19732) |
![]() Polkadot-Frog | Downavg 56.4Β’ | $144.56 | $137.51 | -$7.05 | 84% 30004-5919 (35923) |
PE peepeepoopoo24 | Downavg 58Β’ | $105.91 | $105.44 | -$0.47 | 58% 6301-4645 (10946) |
AS asdaefef<$100 | Downavg 50.9Β’ | $72.87 | $87.59 | +$14.72 | 77% 26186-7758 (33944) |
![]() G-Penis-Monster<$100 | Downavg 45Β’ | $33.28 | $73.91 | +$40.63 | 61% 16961-10856 (27817) |
![]() wowitsamazing<$100 | Downavg 56.3Β’ | $38.25 | $67.95 | +$29.7 | 59% 11298-7869 (19167) |
AA aaa221<$100 | Downavg 80.8Β’ | $85.62 | $60 | -$19.46 | 67% 14151-6979 (21130) |
KA Kathod-Shi-14CTR<$100 | Upavg 68Β’ | $57.9 | β | -$57.9 | 56% 15449-12313 (27762) |
AS asidjasiodjaCTR<$100 | Upavg 59.1Β’ | $33.29 | β | -$33.29 | 61% 14113-8870 (22983) |
WZ wzbbb<$100 | Downavg 31Β’ | $12.12 | $28 | +$15.88 | 56% 6981-5433 (12414) |
![]() MayorMamdaniCTR<$100 | Upavg 75Β’ | $13.8 | β | -$13.8 | 58% 16426-12041 (28467) |
![]() BoneOhioCTR<$100 | Upavg 65Β’ | $97.62 | β | -$97.62 | 78% 70963-20568 (91531) |
0X 0x502b532F55778c0985846Dc53a9bc71eB4F33b15-1761320484518<$100 | Downavg 29Β’ | $1.45 | $5 | +$3.55 | 72% 21641-8597 (30238) |
DE devonpollCTR<$100 | Upavg 41.2Β’ | $75.15 | β | +$27.82 | 52% 16764-15588 (32352) |
AN antsaslykuCTR<$100 | Upavg 61.8Β’ | $19.84 | β | -$19.84 | 69% 90359-40826 (131185) |
DR drfc4eybh7i8CTR<$100 | Upavg 53.5Β’ | $16.05 | β | -$16.05 | 67% 90936-45666 (136602) |
0X 0xb55fa1296E6ec55D0cE53d93B9237389f11764d4-1777575277609<$100 | Downavg 64.1Β’ | β | β | +$0 | 89% 55321-6990 (62311) |
CR CrouchPredictions<$100 | Downavg 70.5Β’ | β | β | +$0 | 56% 13625-10665 (24290) |
BO Bonereaper<$100 | Downavg 50.2Β’ | β | β | +$0 | 72% 54060-21022 (75082) |
BE berlinskiesCTR<$100 | Upavg 59Β’ | β | β | +$0 | 57% 5346-3984 (9330) |
Invested
$848.88
Value
$866
PnL
+$17.12
Record
93%
20790-1670 (22460)
Invested
$596.75
Value
β
PnL
-$596.75
Record
71%
52280-21256 (73536)
Invested
$559.24
Value
β
PnL
-$559.24
Record
54%
6562-5584 (12146)
Invested
$443.71
Value
$401.9
PnL
-$41.81
Record
54%
9586-8141 (17727)
Invested
$83.95
Value
$309.47
PnL
+$225.52
Record
56%
34143-26515 (60658)
Invested
$34.26
Value
$150.21
PnL
+$115.95
Record
58%
11396-8336 (19732)
Polkadot-FrogInvested
$144.56
Value
$137.51
PnL
-$7.05
Record
84%
30004-5919 (35923)
Invested
$105.91
Value
$105.44
PnL
-$0.47
Record
58%
6301-4645 (10946)
Invested
$72.87
Value
$87.59
PnL
+$14.72
Record
77%
26186-7758 (33944)
G-Penis-Monster<$100Invested
$33.28
Value
$73.91
PnL
+$40.63
Record
61%
16961-10856 (27817)
wowitsamazing<$100Invested
$38.25
Value
$67.95
PnL
+$29.7
Record
59%
11298-7869 (19167)
Invested
$85.62
Value
$60
PnL
-$19.46
Record
67%
14151-6979 (21130)
Invested
$57.9
Value
β
PnL
-$57.9
Record
56%
15449-12313 (27762)
Invested
$33.29
Value
β
PnL
-$33.29
Record
61%
14113-8870 (22983)
Invested
$12.12
Value
$28
PnL
+$15.88
Record
56%
6981-5433 (12414)
MayorMamdaniCTR<$100Invested
$13.8
Value
β
PnL
-$13.8
Record
58%
16426-12041 (28467)
BoneOhioCTR<$100Invested
$97.62
Value
β
PnL
-$97.62
Record
78%
70963-20568 (91531)
Invested
$1.45
Value
$5
PnL
+$3.55
Record
72%
21641-8597 (30238)
Invested
$75.15
Value
β
PnL
+$27.82
Record
52%
16764-15588 (32352)
Invested
$19.84
Value
β
PnL
-$19.84
Record
69%
90359-40826 (131185)
Invested
$16.05
Value
β
PnL
-$16.05
Record
67%
90936-45666 (136602)
Invested
β
Value
β
PnL
+$0
Record
89%
55321-6990 (62311)
Invested
β
Value
β
PnL
+$0
Record
56%
13625-10665 (24290)
Invested
β
Value
β
PnL
+$0
Record
72%
54060-21022 (75082)
Invested
β
Value
β
PnL
+$0
Record
57%
5346-3984 (9330)
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Market Info
Traders in this Market
hoodquant
Down β $866
0xcE25E214D5cfE4f459cf67F08DF581885AAE7Fdc-1777575398144
CTRUp β $0
aswfadq1555
CTRUp β $0
thesidehustle
Down β $401.9
uninformedfloww
Down β $309.47
0xba679aB701E6162CC2C932b8B498124F47394727-1774328661530
Down β $150.21

Polkadot-Frog
Down β $137.51
peepeepoopoo24
Down β $105.44
asdaefef
Down β $87.59

G-Penis-Monster
Down β $73.91