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Consensus Won ✓

Smart money consensus was Down — and it was correct. Winning outcome: Down

Bitcoin Up or Down - October 25, 10:30PM-10:45PM ET

Resolved Down. 75% of the top Polymarket traders held Down. The smart money was right.

View on Polymarket
RESOLVED

🏆

Won

Consensus Traders

20

Down 75%

1 arb excluded

Total Value

$3.0K

Combined PnL

$190.64

Smart Money Signal

Down

15 of 20 top traders (75%)1 arbitrage trader dimmed5 hold an outcome priced under 50%15 small positions dimmed (<$100 invested)

Market Activity
Loading chart data…

Outcome Probabilities

Up0%
Down100%

Smart Money Breakdown by Outcome

Down15 traders
Total Value$2.1K
Total Shares2,077
Combined PnL+$213.59
Up5 traders
Total Value$0
Total Shares174
Combined PnL-$22.95
Down — 75%Up — 25%
0X
0xb55fa1296E6ec55D0cE53d93B9237389f11764d4-1777575277609ARB<$100
Down

Invested

$995.35

Value

$965.64

PnL

-$29.71

Record

88%

52847-6938 (59785)

Both legs:

Down$611.2363.3¢+$354.41
Up$384.1254.6¢-$384.12
AS
aswfadq1555
Down

Invested

$553.85

Value

$489.63

PnL

-$64.22

Record

54%

6366-5369 (11735)

CR
CrouchPredictions
Down

Invested

$378.74

Value

$484.32

PnL

+$105.58

Record

56%

13588-10613 (24201)

HO
hoodquant
Down

Invested

$323.81

Value

$327.23

PnL

+$3.42

Record

93%

20604-1665 (22269)

0X
0x424eb20Fcd25113e3b98f42522A54580350b263b-1774330621025
Down

Invested

$99.11

Value

$150.17

PnL

+$51.06

Record

67%

14977-7366 (22343)

ohioism
Down

Invested

$103.55

Value

$150.07

PnL

+$46.52

Record

77%

28993-8555 (37548)

PE
peepeepoopoo24<$100
Down

Invested

$61.01

Value

$69.14

PnL

+$8.12

Record

58%

6297-4637 (10934)

WZ
wzbbb<$100
Down

Invested

$56.29

Value

$77

PnL

+$20.71

Record

56%

6960-5414 (12374)

DV
dvasdkasodk<$100
Down

Invested

$55.04

Value

$50

PnL

-$5.04

Record

64%

20058-11389 (31447)

AS
asidjasiodja<$100
Down

Invested

$54.47

Value

$52.24

PnL

-$2.23

Record

61%

14067-8822 (22889)

DR
drfc4eybh7i8<$100
Down

Invested

$42.06

Value

$52

PnL

+$10.94

Record

68%

77726-36976 (114702)

AA
aaa221<$100
Down

Invested

$62.21

Value

$55.61

PnL

+$10.22

Record

67%

13858-6900 (20758)

AS
asdaefef<$100
Down

Invested

$47.97

Value

$46.41

PnL

-$1.56

Record

77%

25565-7723 (33288)

UN
uninformedflowwCTR<$100
Up

Invested

$23.49

Value

—

PnL

-$23.49

Record

57%

33225-25562 (58787)

Polkadot-Frog<$100
Down

Invested

$17

Value

$20

PnL

+$3

Record

83%

29237-5890 (35127)

BO
Bonereaper<$100
Down

Invested

$20.94

Value

$43

PnL

+$22.06

Record

72%

51435-20417 (71852)

0X
0xba679aB701E6162CC2C932b8B498124F47394727-1774328661530CTR<$100
Up

Invested

$5.95

Value

—

PnL

-$5.95

Record

58%

11317-8292 (19609)

KA
Kathod-Shi-14CTR<$100
Up

Invested

$12.05

Value

—

PnL

-$12.05

Record

56%

15191-12099 (27290)

HS
Hsilverbasher<$100
Down

Invested

$5

Value

$10

PnL

+$5

Record

20%

14378-58193 (72571)

MayorMamdaniCTR<$100
Up

Invested

$1.12

Value

—

PnL

-$1.12

Record

58%

16384-12007 (28391)

DE
devonpollCTR<$100
Up

Invested

$9.85

Value

—

PnL

+$19.66

Record

52%

16519-15327 (31846)

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Market Info

Condition ID
0x423c1823...a5005e
Slug
btc-updown-15m-1792981800

Traders in this Market

0X

0xb55fa1296E6ec55D0cE53d93B9237389f11764d4-1777575277609

ARB

Arbitrage — excluded

-$29.71
AS

aswfadq1555

Down — $489.63

-$64.22
CR

CrouchPredictions

Down — $484.32

+$105.58
HO

hoodquant

Down — $327.23

+$3.42
0X

0x424eb20Fcd25113e3b98f42522A54580350b263b-1774330621025

Down — $150.17

+$51.06

ohioism

Down — $150.07

+$46.52
PE

peepeepoopoo24

Down — $69.14

+$8.12
WZ

wzbbb

Down — $77

+$20.71
DV

dvasdkasodk

Down — $50

-$5.04
AS

asidjasiodja

Down — $52.24

-$2.23
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