Consensus Won ✓
Smart money consensus was Up — and it was correct. Winning outcome: Up
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 25, 9:45PM-10:00PM ET
Resolved Up. 65% of the top Polymarket traders held Up. The smart money was right.
🏆
Won
23
Up 64%
1 arb excluded
$7.7K
-$814.55
Smart Money Signal
15 of 23 top traders (65%)1 arbitrage trader dimmed8 hold an outcome priced under 50%11 small positions dimmed (<$100 invested)
Outcome Probabilities
Smart Money Breakdown by Outcome
| Trader | Position | Invested | Value | PnL | Record |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
HO hoodquant | Upavg 99¢ | $2.3K | $2.3K | +$23.5 | 93% 20604-1665 (22269) |
AS aswfadq1555ARB<$100 | Upavg 54.4¢ | $1.9K | $1.8K | -$99.59 | 54% 6366-5369 (11735) |
| └ Up leg | Upavg 54.4¢ | $953 | $1.8K | +$800.22 | |
| └ Down leg | Downavg 67.3¢ | $899.81 | — | -$899.81 | |
0X 0xb55fa1296E6ec55D0cE53d93B9237389f11764d4-1777575277609 | Upavg 72.8¢ | $1.5K | $1.3K | -$158.23 | 88% 52847-6938 (59785) |
 Polkadot-Frog | Upavg 91¢ | $513.38 | $486.63 | -$26.75 | 83% 29237-5890 (35127) |
CR CrouchPredictions | Upavg 93.3¢ | $574.65 | $370.46 | -$204.18 | 56% 13588-10613 (24201) |
UN uninformedflowwCTR | Downavg 57.4¢ | $314.95 | — | -$314.95 | 57% 33225-25562 (58787) |
0X 0xcE25E214D5cfE4f459cf67F08DF581885AAE7Fdc-1777575398144 | Upavg 67.4¢ | $311.26 | $266.61 | -$44.65 | 72% 48453-19245 (67698) |
HS HsilverbasherCTR | Downavg 49.7¢ | $235.69 | — | -$235.69 | 20% 14378-58193 (72571) |
BO BonereaperCTR | Downavg 53.7¢ | $223.74 | — | -$223.74 | 72% 51435-20417 (71852) |
0X 0x502b532F55778c0985846Dc53a9bc71eB4F33b15-1761320484518 | Upavg 50.9¢ | $179.1 | $350 | +$170.9 | 71% 21334-8554 (29888) |
0X 0xdc27...afdd9a | Upavg 26.6¢ | $87.51 | $329 | +$241.49 | 53% 1908-1710 (3618) |
PE peepeepoopoo24 | Upavg 71.6¢ | $160.26 | $149.33 | -$10.93 | 58% 6297-4637 (10934) |
 MayorMamdani | Upavg 85¢ | $151.77 | $116 | -$35.77 | 58% 16384-12007 (28391) |
AA aaa221<$100 | Upavg 60¢ | $69.38 | $56.01 | +$19.01 | 67% 13858-6900 (20758) |
 wowitsamazingCTR<$100 | Downavg 48.2¢ | $36 | — | -$36 | 59% 11164-7698 (18862) |
JO JocJo<$100 | Upavg 28¢ | $17.47 | $62.43 | +$44.96 | 51% 909-874 (1783) |
AS asdaefef<$100 | Upavg 86.9¢ | $40.34 | $32.15 | -$8.19 | 77% 25565-7723 (33288) |
WZ wzbbb<$100 | Upavg 50.7¢ | $16.72 | $33 | +$16.28 | 56% 6960-5414 (12374) |
 UpandDownSyndromeCTR<$100 | Downavg 5¢ | $1.1 | — | -$1.1 | 62% 42888-25869 (68757) |
DV dvasdkasodkCTR<$100 | Downavg 60.4¢ | $11.25 | — | -$11.25 | 64% 20058-11389 (31447) |
AN antsaslykuCTR<$100 | Downavg 55.9¢ | $9.99 | — | -$9.99 | 85% 67119-12101 (79220) |
AS asidjasiodjaCTR<$100 | Downavg 61.7¢ | $10.25 | — | -$10.25 | 61% 14067-8822 (22889) |
PB PBot-6<$100 | Upavg 51¢ | $1.04 | $2.04 | +$1 | 62% 34047-20694 (54741) |
DE devonpoll<$100 | Up | — | — | +$0 | 52% 16519-15327 (31846) |
Invested
$2,326.2
Value
$2.3K
PnL
+$23.5
Record
93%
20604-1665 (22269)
Invested
$1,852.81
Value
$1.8K
PnL
-$99.59
Record
54%
6366-5369 (11735)
Both legs:
Invested
$1,495.75
Value
$1.3K
PnL
-$158.23
Record
88%
52847-6938 (59785)
Polkadot-FrogInvested
$513.38
Value
$486.63
PnL
-$26.75
Record
83%
29237-5890 (35127)
Invested
$574.65
Value
$370.46
PnL
-$204.18
Record
56%
13588-10613 (24201)
Invested
$314.95
Value
—
PnL
-$314.95
Record
57%
33225-25562 (58787)
Invested
$311.26
Value
$266.61
PnL
-$44.65
Record
72%
48453-19245 (67698)
Invested
$235.69
Value
—
PnL
-$235.69
Record
20%
14378-58193 (72571)
Invested
$223.74
Value
—
PnL
-$223.74
Record
72%
51435-20417 (71852)
Invested
$179.1
Value
$350
PnL
+$170.9
Record
71%
21334-8554 (29888)
Invested
$87.51
Value
$329
PnL
+$241.49
Record
53%
1908-1710 (3618)
Invested
$160.26
Value
$149.33
PnL
-$10.93
Record
58%
6297-4637 (10934)
MayorMamdaniInvested
$151.77
Value
$116
PnL
-$35.77
Record
58%
16384-12007 (28391)
Invested
$69.38
Value
$56.01
PnL
+$19.01
Record
67%
13858-6900 (20758)
wowitsamazingCTR<$100Invested
$36
Value
—
PnL
-$36
Record
59%
11164-7698 (18862)
Invested
$17.47
Value
$62.43
PnL
+$44.96
Record
51%
909-874 (1783)
Invested
$40.34
Value
$32.15
PnL
-$8.19
Record
77%
25565-7723 (33288)
Invested
$16.72
Value
$33
PnL
+$16.28
Record
56%
6960-5414 (12374)
UpandDownSyndromeCTR<$100Invested
$1.1
Value
—
PnL
-$1.1
Record
62%
42888-25869 (68757)
Invested
$11.25
Value
—
PnL
-$11.25
Record
64%
20058-11389 (31447)
Invested
$9.99
Value
—
PnL
-$9.99
Record
85%
67119-12101 (79220)
Invested
$10.25
Value
—
PnL
-$10.25
Record
61%
14067-8822 (22889)
Invested
$1.04
Value
$2.04
PnL
+$1
Record
62%
34047-20694 (54741)
Invested
—
Value
—
PnL
+$0
Record
52%
16519-15327 (31846)
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Market Info
Traders in this Market
hoodquant
Up — $2.3K
aswfadq1555
ARBArbitrage — excluded
0xb55fa1296E6ec55D0cE53d93B9237389f11764d4-1777575277609
Up — $1.3K
Polkadot-Frog
Up — $486.63
CrouchPredictions
Up — $370.46
uninformedfloww
CTRDown — $0
0xcE25E214D5cfE4f459cf67F08DF581885AAE7Fdc-1777575398144
Up — $266.61
Hsilverbasher
CTRDown — $0
Bonereaper
CTRDown — $0
0x502b532F55778c0985846Dc53a9bc71eB4F33b15-1761320484518
Up — $350