Consensus Won ✓
Smart money consensus was Down — and it was correct. Winning outcome: Down

Bitcoin Up or Down - October 25, 9:30PM-9:45PM ET
Resolved Down. 91% of the top Polymarket traders held Down. The smart money was right.
🏆
Won
23
Down 100%
$8.1K
$1.7K
Smart Money Signal
21 of 23 top traders (91%)2 hold an outcome priced under 50%14 small positions dimmed (<$100 invested)
Outcome Probabilities
Smart Money Breakdown by Outcome
| Trader | Position | Invested | Value | PnL | Record |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
0X 0xb55fa1296E6ec55D0cE53d93B9237389f11764d4-1777575277609 | Downavg 78.9¢ | $1.4K | $1.7K | +$363.73 | 88% 48649-6911 (55560) |
HO hoodquant | Downavg 98.4¢ | $1.7K | $1.7K | +$26.84 | 93% 20539-1653 (22192) |
AS aswfadq1555 | Downavg 71.3¢ | $1.0K | $1.4K | +$409.06 | 54% 5994-5097 (11091) |
![]() Polkadot-Frog | Downavg 55.7¢ | $445.64 | $782.77 | +$337.13 | 83% 28668-5871 (34539) |
0X 0xcE25E214D5cfE4f459cf67F08DF581885AAE7Fdc-1777575398144 | Downavg 76.9¢ | $493.83 | $573.74 | +$79.91 | 70% 44729-19033 (63762) |
![]() MayorMamdani | Downavg 88.8¢ | $498.25 | $561.24 | +$62.99 | 58% 16353-11988 (28341) |
0X 0x502b532F55778c0985846Dc53a9bc71eB4F33b15-1761320484518 | Downavg 45.3¢ | $226.73 | $501.03 | +$274.29 | 71% 20772-8504 (29276) |
CR CrouchPredictions | Downavg 57.2¢ | $201.85 | $353.15 | +$151.3 | 56% 13575-10600 (24175) |
WZ wzbbb | Downavg 85.8¢ | $115.18 | $103 | -$12.18 | 56% 6952-5402 (12354) |
PE peepeepoopoo24<$100 | Downavg 68.6¢ | $68.83 | $79.88 | +$11.05 | 58% 6169-4535 (10704) |
![]() UpandDownSyndrome<$100 | Downavg 94.4¢ | $56.51 | $59.83 | +$3.32 | 62% 42694-25786 (68480) |
DR drfc4eybh7i8<$100 | Downavg 94¢ | $48 | $50 | +$2 | 68% 75669-35734 (111403) |
0X 0x424eb20Fcd25113e3b98f42522A54580350b263b-1774330621025<$100 | Downavg 90.5¢ | $45.43 | $50.2 | +$4.77 | 66% 14228-7218 (21446) |
DV dvasdkasodk<$100 | Downavg 87.8¢ | $33.14 | $37.74 | +$4.6 | 63% 19526-11360 (30886) |
AS asidjasiodja<$100 | Downavg 89.8¢ | $33.36 | $37.14 | +$3.78 | 61% 14030-8793 (22823) |
AS asdaefef<$100 | Downavg 88¢ | $32.61 | $37.07 | +$4.46 | 76% 24812-7703 (32515) |
KA Kathod-Shi-14<$100 | Downavg 62.4¢ | $15.8 | $25.31 | +$9.51 | 56% 15141-12065 (27206) |
0X 0xba679aB701E6162CC2C932b8B498124F47394727-1774328661530<$100 | Downavg 87.6¢ | $11.79 | $13.47 | +$1.68 | 58% 11123-8150 (19273) |
AA aaa221<$100 | Downavg 66¢ | $32.31 | $10.73 | -$8.22 | 67% 13816-6882 (20698) |
AN antsaslyku<$100 | Downavg 45¢ | $4.73 | $10.41 | +$5.68 | 84% 61854-12050 (73904) |
![]() ohioism<$100 | Downavg 95¢ | $6.92 | $7.28 | +$0.36 | 77% 27124-8199 (35323) |
DE devonpollCTR<$100 | Up | — | — | +$0 | 52% 16382-15161 (31543) |
![]() wowitsamazingCTR<$100 | Upavg 23¢ | $23 | — | +$0 | 60% 10605-7189 (17794) |
Invested
$1,363.83
Value
$1.7K
PnL
+$363.73
Record
88%
48649-6911 (55560)
Invested
$1,655.16
Value
$1.7K
PnL
+$26.84
Record
93%
20539-1653 (22192)
Invested
$1,028.55
Value
$1.4K
PnL
+$409.06
Record
54%
5994-5097 (11091)
Polkadot-FrogInvested
$445.64
Value
$782.77
PnL
+$337.13
Record
83%
28668-5871 (34539)
Invested
$493.83
Value
$573.74
PnL
+$79.91
Record
70%
44729-19033 (63762)
MayorMamdaniInvested
$498.25
Value
$561.24
PnL
+$62.99
Record
58%
16353-11988 (28341)
Invested
$226.73
Value
$501.03
PnL
+$274.29
Record
71%
20772-8504 (29276)
Invested
$201.85
Value
$353.15
PnL
+$151.3
Record
56%
13575-10600 (24175)
Invested
$115.18
Value
$103
PnL
-$12.18
Record
56%
6952-5402 (12354)
Invested
$68.83
Value
$79.88
PnL
+$11.05
Record
58%
6169-4535 (10704)
UpandDownSyndrome<$100Invested
$56.51
Value
$59.83
PnL
+$3.32
Record
62%
42694-25786 (68480)
Invested
$48
Value
$50
PnL
+$2
Record
68%
75669-35734 (111403)
Invested
$45.43
Value
$50.2
PnL
+$4.77
Record
66%
14228-7218 (21446)
Invested
$33.14
Value
$37.74
PnL
+$4.6
Record
63%
19526-11360 (30886)
Invested
$33.36
Value
$37.14
PnL
+$3.78
Record
61%
14030-8793 (22823)
Invested
$32.61
Value
$37.07
PnL
+$4.46
Record
76%
24812-7703 (32515)
Invested
$15.8
Value
$25.31
PnL
+$9.51
Record
56%
15141-12065 (27206)
Invested
$11.79
Value
$13.47
PnL
+$1.68
Record
58%
11123-8150 (19273)
Invested
$32.31
Value
$10.73
PnL
-$8.22
Record
67%
13816-6882 (20698)
Invested
$4.73
Value
$10.41
PnL
+$5.68
Record
84%
61854-12050 (73904)
ohioism<$100Invested
$6.92
Value
$7.28
PnL
+$0.36
Record
77%
27124-8199 (35323)
Invested
—
Value
—
PnL
+$0
Record
52%
16382-15161 (31543)
wowitsamazingCTR<$100Invested
$23
Value
—
PnL
+$0
Record
60%
10605-7189 (17794)
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Market Info
Traders in this Market
0xb55fa1296E6ec55D0cE53d93B9237389f11764d4-1777575277609
Down — $1.7K
hoodquant
Down — $1.7K
aswfadq1555
Down — $1.4K

Polkadot-Frog
Down — $782.77
0xcE25E214D5cfE4f459cf67F08DF581885AAE7Fdc-1777575398144
Down — $573.74

MayorMamdani
Down — $561.24
0x502b532F55778c0985846Dc53a9bc71eB4F33b15-1761320484518
Down — $501.03
CrouchPredictions
Down — $353.15
wzbbb
Down — $103
peepeepoopoo24
Down — $79.88