Consensus Won ✓
Smart money consensus was Down — and it was correct. Winning outcome: Down
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 25, 8:30PM-8:45PM ET
Resolved Down. 88% of the top Polymarket traders held Down. The smart money was right.
🏆
Won
16
Down 88%
$7.9K
-$66.9
Smart Money Signal
14 of 16 top traders (88%)2 hold an outcome priced under 50%7 small positions dimmed (<$100 invested)
Outcome Probabilities
Smart Money Breakdown by Outcome
| Trader | Position | Invested | Value | PnL | Record |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
0X 0xb55fa1296E6ec55D0cE53d93B9237389f11764d4-1777575277609 | Downavg 73.1¢ | $2.5K | $2.5K | -$7.05 | 88% 48486-6883 (55369) |
HO hoodquant | Downavg 98.7¢ | $2.2K | $2.2K | +$29.69 | 93% 20490-1649 (22139) |
AS aswfadq1555 | Downavg 71.5¢ | $822.78 | $882.81 | +$60.03 | 54% 5984-5089 (11073) |
CR CrouchPredictions | Downavg 89.1¢ | $738.77 | $585.76 | -$153.01 | 56% 13556-10590 (24146) |
0X 0xcE25E214D5cfE4f459cf67F08DF581885AAE7Fdc-1777575398144 | Downavg 66.6¢ | $575.23 | $570.93 | -$4.3 | 71% 43222-17810 (61032) |
 Polkadot-Frog | Downavg 78¢ | $375.17 | $347.4 | -$27.77 | 83% 28644-5849 (34493) |
WZ wzbbb | Downavg 52.4¢ | $175.66 | $245 | +$69.34 | 56% 6943-5397 (12340) |
PE peepeepoopoo24 | Downavg 74.6¢ | $153.79 | $151.81 | -$1.99 | 58% 6165-4531 (10696) |
AS asidjasiodja<$100 | Downavg 89.8¢ | $84.33 | $81.16 | -$3.17 | 61% 14015-8774 (22789) |
 MayorMamdani<$100 | Downavg 98¢ | $81.04 | $56 | -$25.04 | 58% 16341-11959 (28300) |
TM tmsd-test | Downavg 58¢ | $63.31 | $109.22 | +$45.91 | 53% 7319-6507 (13826) |
AS asdaefef<$100 | Downavg 87¢ | $45.17 | $42.34 | -$2.83 | 76% 24740-7693 (32433) |
KA Kathod-Shi-14<$100 | Downavg 64.4¢ | $40.65 | $41.21 | +$0.56 | 56% 15037-11981 (27018) |
DE devonpollCTR<$100 | Upavg 45.1¢ | $41.09 | — | -$41.09 | 52% 16080-14866 (30946) |
DV dvasdkasodkCTR<$100 | Upavg 43.9¢ | $9.88 | — | -$9.88 | 63% 19496-11337 (30833) |
AA aaa221<$100 | Downavg 81.4¢ | $61.89 | $9.63 | +$3.69 | 67% 13760-6849 (20609) |
Invested
$2,522.99
Value
$2.5K
PnL
-$7.05
Record
88%
48486-6883 (55369)
Invested
$2,192.31
Value
$2.2K
PnL
+$29.69
Record
93%
20490-1649 (22139)
Invested
$822.78
Value
$882.81
PnL
+$60.03
Record
54%
5984-5089 (11073)
Invested
$738.77
Value
$585.76
PnL
-$153.01
Record
56%
13556-10590 (24146)
Invested
$575.23
Value
$570.93
PnL
-$4.3
Record
71%
43222-17810 (61032)
Polkadot-FrogInvested
$375.17
Value
$347.4
PnL
-$27.77
Record
83%
28644-5849 (34493)
Invested
$175.66
Value
$245
PnL
+$69.34
Record
56%
6943-5397 (12340)
Invested
$153.79
Value
$151.81
PnL
-$1.99
Record
58%
6165-4531 (10696)
Invested
$84.33
Value
$81.16
PnL
-$3.17
Record
61%
14015-8774 (22789)
MayorMamdani<$100Invested
$81.04
Value
$56
PnL
-$25.04
Record
58%
16341-11959 (28300)
Invested
$63.31
Value
$109.22
PnL
+$45.91
Record
53%
7319-6507 (13826)
Invested
$45.17
Value
$42.34
PnL
-$2.83
Record
76%
24740-7693 (32433)
Invested
$40.65
Value
$41.21
PnL
+$0.56
Record
56%
15037-11981 (27018)
Invested
$41.09
Value
—
PnL
-$41.09
Record
52%
16080-14866 (30946)
Invested
$9.88
Value
—
PnL
-$9.88
Record
63%
19496-11337 (30833)
Invested
$61.89
Value
$9.63
PnL
+$3.69
Record
67%
13760-6849 (20609)
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Market Info
Traders in this Market
0xb55fa1296E6ec55D0cE53d93B9237389f11764d4-1777575277609
Down — $2.5K
hoodquant
Down — $2.2K
aswfadq1555
Down — $882.81
CrouchPredictions
Down — $585.76
0xcE25E214D5cfE4f459cf67F08DF581885AAE7Fdc-1777575398144
Down — $570.93
Polkadot-Frog
Down — $347.4
wzbbb
Down — $245
peepeepoopoo24
Down — $151.81
asidjasiodja
Down — $81.16
MayorMamdani
Down — $56