Consensus Won ✓
Smart money consensus was Up — and it was correct. Winning outcome: Up
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 25, 6:15PM-6:30PM ET
Resolved Up. 63% of the top Polymarket traders held Up. The smart money was right.
🏆
Won
16
Up 57%
1 arb excluded
$1.3K
$40.2
Smart Money Signal
10 of 16 top traders (63%)1 arbitrage trader dimmed6 hold an outcome priced under 50%13 small positions dimmed (<$100 invested)
Outcome Probabilities
Smart Money Breakdown by Outcome
| Trader | Position | Invested | Value | PnL | Record |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
HO hoodquant | Upavg 99¢ | $605.42 | $611.54 | +$6.12 | 93% 20452-1648 (22100) |
CR CrouchPredictions | Upavg 66.1¢ | $247.45 | $252.09 | +$4.64 | 56% 13548-10576 (24124) |
AS aswfadq1555 | Upavg 84¢ | $146.94 | $167 | +$20.06 | 54% 5978-5088 (11066) |
WZ wzbbbARB<$100 | Downavg 26.3¢ | $72.76 | $44 | -$28.76 | 56% 6930-5384 (12314) |
| └ Up leg | Upavg 77.9¢ | $34.28 | $44 | +$9.72 | |
| └ Down leg | Downavg 26.3¢ | $38.48 | — | -$38.48 | |
PE peepeepoopoo24<$100 | Upavg 66.8¢ | $46.4 | $50 | +$3.6 | 58% 6161-4530 (10691) |
DR drfc4eybh7i8<$100 | Upavg 97¢ | $48.5 | $50 | +$1.5 | 69% 70173-32234 (102407) |
AS asdaefef<$100 | Upavg 95.9¢ | $40.67 | $41.18 | +$0.51 | 76% 24703-7664 (32367) |
KA Kathod-Shi-14<$100 | Upavg 79.5¢ | $42 | $50.32 | +$8.32 | 56% 15016-11963 (26979) |
 MayorMamdani<$100 | Upavg 77.9¢ | $32.7 | $42 | +$9.3 | 58% 16308-11929 (28237) |
HS HsilverbasherCTR<$100 | Downavg 49¢ | $10.78 | — | -$10.78 | 22% 13908-47936 (61844) |
AS asidjasiodjaCTR<$100 | Downavg 19¢ | $1.1 | — | -$1.1 | 62% 13986-8741 (22727) |
DV dvasdkasodkCTR<$100 | Downavg 1¢ | $1.12 | — | -$1.12 | 63% 19451-11308 (30759) |
0X 0x502b532F55778c0985846Dc53a9bc71eB4F33b15-1761320484518CTR<$100 | Downavg 19¢ | $0.95 | — | -$0.95 | 71% 20732-8473 (29205) |
 UpandDownSyndromeCTR<$100 | Downavg 4¢ | $1 | — | -$1 | 62% 40855-24960 (65815) |
AN antsaslykuCTR<$100 | Downavg 1¢ | $0.05 | — | -$0.05 | 84% 61638-11964 (73602) |
AA aaa221<$100 | Upavg 75.2¢ | $17.23 | $0.01 | +$1.16 | 67% 13695-6821 (20516) |
DE devonpoll<$100 | Upavg 78.2¢ | — | — | +$0 | 52% 16071-14859 (30930) |
Invested
$605.42
Value
$611.54
PnL
+$6.12
Record
93%
20452-1648 (22100)
Invested
$247.45
Value
$252.09
PnL
+$4.64
Record
56%
13548-10576 (24124)
Invested
$146.94
Value
$167
PnL
+$20.06
Record
54%
5978-5088 (11066)
Invested
$72.76
Value
$44
PnL
-$28.76
Record
56%
6930-5384 (12314)
Both legs:
Invested
$46.4
Value
$50
PnL
+$3.6
Record
58%
6161-4530 (10691)
Invested
$48.5
Value
$50
PnL
+$1.5
Record
69%
70173-32234 (102407)
Invested
$40.67
Value
$41.18
PnL
+$0.51
Record
76%
24703-7664 (32367)
Invested
$42
Value
$50.32
PnL
+$8.32
Record
56%
15016-11963 (26979)
MayorMamdani<$100Invested
$32.7
Value
$42
PnL
+$9.3
Record
58%
16308-11929 (28237)
Invested
$10.78
Value
—
PnL
-$10.78
Record
22%
13908-47936 (61844)
Invested
$1.1
Value
—
PnL
-$1.1
Record
62%
13986-8741 (22727)
Invested
$1.12
Value
—
PnL
-$1.12
Record
63%
19451-11308 (30759)
Invested
$0.95
Value
—
PnL
-$0.95
Record
71%
20732-8473 (29205)
UpandDownSyndromeCTR<$100Invested
$1
Value
—
PnL
-$1
Record
62%
40855-24960 (65815)
Invested
$0.05
Value
—
PnL
-$0.05
Record
84%
61638-11964 (73602)
Invested
$17.23
Value
$0.01
PnL
+$1.16
Record
67%
13695-6821 (20516)
Invested
—
Value
—
PnL
+$0
Record
52%
16071-14859 (30930)
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Market Info
Traders in this Market
hoodquant
Up — $611.54
CrouchPredictions
Up — $252.09
aswfadq1555
Up — $167
wzbbb
ARBArbitrage — excluded
peepeepoopoo24
Up — $50
drfc4eybh7i8
Up — $50
asdaefef
Up — $41.18
Kathod-Shi-14
Up — $50.32
MayorMamdani
Up — $42
Hsilverbasher
CTRDown — $0