Consensus Won ✓

Smart money consensus was Down — and it was correct. Winning outcome: Down

Bitcoin Up or Down - October 25, 11:15AM-11:30AM ET

Resolved Down. 73% of the top Polymarket traders held Down. The smart money was right.

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RESOLVED

🏆

Won

Consensus Traders

Down 75%

Total Value

$2.3K

Combined PnL

-$139.99

Smart Money Signal

Down

19 of 26 top traders (73%)7 hold an outcome priced under 50%18 small positions dimmed (<$100 invested)

Market Activity

Outcome Probabilities

Up0%

Down100%

Smart Money Breakdown by Outcome

Down19 traders

Total Value$2.3K

Total Shares2,317

Combined PnL+$156.39

Up7 traders

Total Value$0

Total Shares605

Combined PnL-$296.39

Down — 73%Up — 27%

Trader	Position	Invested	Value	PnL	Record
HO hoodquant	Downavg 99¢	$752.69	$760.29	+$7.6	93% 20315-1632 (21947)
0X 0xb55fa1296E6ec55D0cE53d93B9237389f11764d4-1777575277609	Downavg 73.8¢	$218.06	$254.73	+$36.67	87% 47517-6826 (54343)
0X 0xcE25E214D5cfE4f459cf67F08DF581885AAE7Fdc-1777575398144	Downavg 71.9¢	$191.03	$229.53	+$38.5	70% 42058-17726 (59784)
0X 0x502b532F55778c0985846Dc53a9bc71eB4F33b15-1761320484518CTR	Upavg 46.7¢	$212.07	—	-$212.07	71% 20566-8388 (28954)
TR trdyugiolkw	Downavg 62.3¢	$208.14	$209.78	+$1.65	60% 9420-6217 (15637)
CR CrouchPredictions	Downavg 96.1¢	$207.5	$135.71	-$69.9	56% 13491-10521 (24012)
TH thesidehustle<$100	Downavg 79.1¢	$80.47	$86.73	+$6.26	54% 9487-8073 (17560)
G-Penis-Monster	Downavg 67¢	$103.63	$154.67	+$51.04	59% 14585-10291 (24876)
0X 0x424eb20Fcd25113e3b98f42522A54580350b263b-1774330621025	Downavg 68¢	$102.13	$150.19	+$48.06	65% 13584-7170 (20754)
WZ wzbbb<$100	Downavg 80¢	$45.25	$39	-$6.25	56% 6868-5341 (12209)
AS aswfadq1555<$100	Downavg 63.5¢	$46.28	$36.75	-$9.53	54% 5950-5070 (11020)
PB PBot-6CTR<$100	Upavg 44.3¢	$38.68	—	-$38.68	70% 28196-12341 (40537)
AS asdaefef<$100	Downavg 65.1¢	$39.46	$43.97	+$4.51	76% 24018-7562 (31580)
PE peepeepoopoo24<$100	Downavg 75.8¢	$43.6	$40	-$3.6	58% 6150-4514 (10664)
DR drfc4eybh7i8<$100	Downavg 63.7¢	$31.56	$49.57	+$18.01	69% 68593-31178 (99771)
MayorMamdani<$100	Downavg 83.2¢	$24.13	$29	+$4.87	58% 16165-11779 (27944)
BO bosonaCTR<$100	Upavg 46¢	$28.52	—	-$28.52	56% 39158-30351 (69509)
AS asidjasiodja<$100	Downavg 87.3¢	$21.34	$20.2	-$1.14	61% 13802-8643 (22445)
ohioism<$100	Downavg 80¢	$20.07	$25.09	+$5.02	76% 26312-8108 (34420)
BE berlinskies<$100	Downavg 54¢	$19.71	$36.5	+$16.79	57% 4830-3603 (8433)
KA Kathod-Shi-14<$100	Downavg 70.2¢	$10.7	$15.25	+$4.55	56% 14905-11884 (26789)
UN uninformedflowwCTR<$100	Upavg 39¢	$5.91	—	-$5.91	57% 32402-24870 (57272)
MO mo-moneyCTR<$100	Upavg 46¢	$1.05	—	-$1.05	56% 41132-32523 (73655)
AL almachCTR<$100	Upavg 46¢	$10.72	—	-$10.15	55% 37940-30965 (68905)
DE devonpollCTR<$100	Upavg 45¢	—	—	+$0	52% 16011-14815 (30826)

hoodquant

Down

Invested

$752.69

Value

$760.29

PnL

+$7.6

Record

93%

20315-1632 (21947)

0xb55fa1296E6ec55D0cE53d93B9237389f11764d4-1777575277609

Down

Invested

$218.06

Value

$254.73

PnL

+$36.67

Record

87%

47517-6826 (54343)

0xcE25E214D5cfE4f459cf67F08DF581885AAE7Fdc-1777575398144

Down

Invested

$191.03

Value

$229.53

PnL

+$38.5

Record

70%

42058-17726 (59784)

0x502b532F55778c0985846Dc53a9bc71eB4F33b15-1761320484518CTR

Invested

$212.07

Value

—

PnL

-$212.07

Record

71%

20566-8388 (28954)

trdyugiolkw

Down

Invested

$208.14

Value

$209.78

PnL

+$1.65

Record

60%

9420-6217 (15637)

CrouchPredictions

Down

Invested

$207.5

Value

$135.71

PnL

-$69.9

Record

56%

13491-10521 (24012)

thesidehustle<$100

Down

Invested

$80.47

Value

$86.73

PnL

+$6.26

Record

54%

9487-8073 (17560)

G-Penis-Monster

Down

Invested

$103.63

Value

$154.67

PnL

+$51.04

Record

59%

14585-10291 (24876)

0x424eb20Fcd25113e3b98f42522A54580350b263b-1774330621025

Down

Invested

$102.13

Value

$150.19

PnL

+$48.06

Record

65%

13584-7170 (20754)

wzbbb<$100

Down

Invested

$45.25

Value

$39

PnL

-$6.25

Record

56%

6868-5341 (12209)

aswfadq1555<$100

Down

Invested

$46.28

Value

$36.75

PnL

-$9.53

Record

54%

5950-5070 (11020)

PBot-6CTR<$100

Invested

$38.68

Value

—

PnL

-$38.68

Record

70%

28196-12341 (40537)

asdaefef<$100

Down

Invested

$39.46

Value

$43.97

PnL

+$4.51

Record

76%

24018-7562 (31580)

peepeepoopoo24<$100

Down

Invested

$43.6

Value

$40

PnL

-$3.6

Record

58%

6150-4514 (10664)

drfc4eybh7i8<$100

Down

Invested

$31.56

Value

$49.57

PnL

+$18.01

Record

69%

68593-31178 (99771)

MayorMamdani<$100

Down

Invested

$24.13

Value

$29

PnL

+$4.87

Record

58%

16165-11779 (27944)

bosonaCTR<$100

Invested

$28.52

Value

—

PnL

-$28.52

Record

56%

39158-30351 (69509)

asidjasiodja<$100

Down

Invested

$21.34

Value

$20.2

PnL

-$1.14

Record

61%

13802-8643 (22445)

ohioism<$100

Down

Invested

$20.07

Value

$25.09

PnL

+$5.02

Record

76%

26312-8108 (34420)

berlinskies<$100

Down

Invested

$19.71

Value

$36.5

PnL

+$16.79

Record

57%

4830-3603 (8433)

Kathod-Shi-14<$100

Down

Invested

$10.7

Value

$15.25

PnL

+$4.55

Record

56%

14905-11884 (26789)

uninformedflowwCTR<$100

Invested

$5.91

Value

—

PnL

-$5.91

Record

57%

32402-24870 (57272)

mo-moneyCTR<$100

Invested

$1.05

Value

—

PnL

-$1.05

Record

56%

41132-32523 (73655)

almachCTR<$100

Invested

$10.72

Value

—

PnL

-$10.15

Record

55%

37940-30965 (68905)

devonpollCTR<$100

Invested

—

Value

—

PnL

+$0

Record

52%

16011-14815 (30826)

Smart Money Signal

Down

19 of 26 top traders (73%)7 hold an outcome priced under 50%18 small positions dimmed (<$100 invested)

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Market Info

Condition ID

0xf7a06438...6e1ac8

Slug

btc-updown-15m-1792941300

Traders in this Market

hoodquant

Down — $760.29

+$7.6

0xb55fa1296E6ec55D0cE53d93B9237389f11764d4-1777575277609

Down — $254.73

+$36.67

0xcE25E214D5cfE4f459cf67F08DF581885AAE7Fdc-1777575398144

Down — $229.53

+$38.5

0x502b532F55778c0985846Dc53a9bc71eB4F33b15-1761320484518

CTR

Up — $0

-$212.07

trdyugiolkw

Down — $209.78

+$1.65

CrouchPredictions

Down — $135.71

-$69.9

thesidehustle

Down — $86.73

+$6.26

G-Penis-Monster

Down — $154.67

+$51.04

0x424eb20Fcd25113e3b98f42522A54580350b263b-1774330621025

Down — $150.19

+$48.06

wzbbb

Down — $39

-$6.25

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