Consensus Won ✓

Smart money consensus was Up — and it was correct. Winning outcome: Up

Bitcoin Up or Down - October 25, 8:30AM-8:45AM ET

Resolved Up. 90% of the top Polymarket traders held Up. The smart money was right.

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RESOLVED

🏆

Won

Consensus Traders

Up 89%

Total Value

$4.1K

Combined PnL

$63.94

Smart Money Signal

26 of 29 top traders (90%)3 hold an outcome priced under 50%20 small positions dimmed (<$100 invested)

Market Activity

Outcome Probabilities

Up100%

Down0%

Smart Money Breakdown by Outcome

Up26 traders

Total Value$4.1K

Total Shares4,115

Combined PnL+$245.18

Down3 traders

Total Value$0

Total Shares451

Combined PnL-$181.24

Up — 90%Down — 10%

Trader	Position	Invested	Value	PnL	Record
0X 0x50f7	Upavg 99.9¢	$1.5K	$1.5K	+$1.47	79% 27720-7338 (35058)
0X 0xb55fa1296E6ec55D0cE53d93B9237389f11764d4-1777575277609	Upavg 83.2¢	$704.14	$700.57	-$3.57	87% 46877-6804 (53681)
0X 0xcE25E214D5cfE4f459cf67F08DF581885AAE7Fdc-1777575398144	Upavg 84.9¢	$429.41	$445.06	+$15.65	70% 41355-17704 (59059)
TR trdyugiolkw	Upavg 68.3¢	$294.19	$347.17	+$52.99	60% 9398-6204 (15602)
CR CrouchPredictionsCTR	Downavg 35.8¢	$155.42	—	-$155.42	56% 13476-10505 (23981)
Polkadot-Frog	Upavg 99.5¢	$173.6	$168.05	-$5.55	83% 27768-5710 (33478)
TH thesidehustle	Upavg 83.4¢	$126.63	$115.17	-$11.46	54% 9443-8045 (17488)
0X 0x502b532F55778c0985846Dc53a9bc71eB4F33b15-1761320484518	Upavg 60.1¢	$133.51	$221.97	+$88.46	71% 20480-8366 (28846)
0X 0xba679aB701E6162CC2C932b8B498124F47394727-1774328661530	Upavg 64.2¢	$77.13	$120.05	+$42.92	58% 11007-8068 (19075)
WZ wzbbb<$100	Upavg 81.3¢	$59.16	$66	+$6.84	56% 6849-5331 (12180)
Atomforge<$100	Upavg 97¢	$53.53	$55.19	+$1.66	65% 3104-1639 (4743)
wowitsamazing<$100	Upavg 54¢	$40.5	$75	+$34.5	60% 10538-6918 (17456)
PE peepeepoopoo24<$100	Upavg 77.6¢	$42.63	$34.35	-$8.28	58% 6144-4508 (10652)
HO hoodquant<$100	Upavg 99¢	$28.69	$28.98	+$0.29	93% 20273-1625 (21898)
ohioism<$100	Upavg 64¢	$35.84	$56	+$20.16	76% 25935-8080 (34015)
AA aaa221<$100	Upavg 92¢	$34.14	$28.8	+$0.53	67% 13335-6637 (19972)
AS aswfadq1555<$100	Upavg 56.3¢	$24.88	$24	-$0.88	54% 5926-5060 (10986)
AS asabovesobelow2<$100	Upavg 97¢	$27	$27.83	+$0.84	69% 1526-697 (2223)
UpandDownSyndrome<$100	Upavg 95.9¢	$25.58	$26.66	+$1.08	62% 40549-24861 (65410)
AS asdaefef<$100	Upavg 82.4¢	$18.05	$21.91	+$3.86	76% 23707-7535 (31242)
AS asidjasiodja<$100	Upavg 85.5¢	$18.17	$21.24	+$3.07	61% 13734-8610 (22344)
BE berlinskies<$100	Upavg 98¢	$18.62	$19	+$0.38	57% 4828-3599 (8427)
0X 0x9f672c31cb41362e30558eee9202e<$100	Upavg 97.7¢	$14.21	$14.55	+$0.34	53% 1536-1341 (2877)
0X 0xef9a0ef24gdf3546gheux246dd5gh<$100	Upavg 97.7¢	$14.21	$14.55	+$0.34	57% 1245-928 (2173)
0X 0x424eb20Fcd25113e3b98f42522A54580350b263b-1774330621025CTR<$100	Downavg 37¢	$16.52	—	-$16.52	65% 13302-7161 (20463)

0x50f7

Invested

$1,468.54

Value

$1.5K

PnL

+$1.47

Record

79%

27720-7338 (35058)

0xb55fa1296E6ec55D0cE53d93B9237389f11764d4-1777575277609

Invested

$704.14

Value

$700.57

PnL

-$3.57

Record

87%

46877-6804 (53681)

0xcE25E214D5cfE4f459cf67F08DF581885AAE7Fdc-1777575398144

Invested

$429.41

Value

$445.06

PnL

+$15.65

Record

70%

41355-17704 (59059)

trdyugiolkw

Invested

$294.19

Value

$347.17

PnL

+$52.99

Record

60%

9398-6204 (15602)

CrouchPredictionsCTR

Down

Invested

$155.42

Value

—

PnL

-$155.42

Record

56%

13476-10505 (23981)

Polkadot-Frog

Invested

$173.6

Value

$168.05

PnL

-$5.55

Record

83%

27768-5710 (33478)

thesidehustle

Invested

$126.63

Value

$115.17

PnL

-$11.46

Record

54%

9443-8045 (17488)

0x502b532F55778c0985846Dc53a9bc71eB4F33b15-1761320484518

Invested

$133.51

Value

$221.97

PnL

+$88.46

Record

71%

20480-8366 (28846)

0xba679aB701E6162CC2C932b8B498124F47394727-1774328661530

Invested

$77.13

Value

$120.05

PnL

+$42.92

Record

58%

11007-8068 (19075)

wzbbb<$100

Invested

$59.16

Value

$66

PnL

+$6.84

Record

56%

6849-5331 (12180)

Atomforge<$100

Invested

$53.53

Value

$55.19

PnL

+$1.66

Record

65%

3104-1639 (4743)

wowitsamazing<$100

Invested

$40.5

Value

$75

PnL

+$34.5

Record

60%

10538-6918 (17456)

peepeepoopoo24<$100

Invested

$42.63

Value

$34.35

PnL

-$8.28

Record

58%

6144-4508 (10652)

hoodquant<$100

Invested

$28.69

Value

$28.98

PnL

+$0.29

Record

93%

20273-1625 (21898)

ohioism<$100

Invested

$35.84

Value

$56

PnL

+$20.16

Record

76%

25935-8080 (34015)

aaa221<$100

Invested

$34.14

Value

$28.8

PnL

+$0.53

Record

67%

13335-6637 (19972)

aswfadq1555<$100

Invested

$24.88

Value

$24

PnL

-$0.88

Record

54%

5926-5060 (10986)

asabovesobelow2<$100

Invested

$27

Value

$27.83

PnL

+$0.84

Record

69%

1526-697 (2223)

UpandDownSyndrome<$100

Invested

$25.58

Value

$26.66

PnL

+$1.08

Record

62%

40549-24861 (65410)

asdaefef<$100

Invested

$18.05

Value

$21.91

PnL

+$3.86

Record

76%

23707-7535 (31242)

asidjasiodja<$100

Invested

$18.17

Value

$21.24

PnL

+$3.07

Record

61%

13734-8610 (22344)

berlinskies<$100

Invested

$18.62

Value

$19

PnL

+$0.38

Record

57%

4828-3599 (8427)

0x9f672c31cb41362e30558eee9202e<$100

Invested

$14.21

Value

$14.55

PnL

+$0.34

Record

53%

1536-1341 (2877)

0xef9a0ef24gdf3546gheux246dd5gh<$100

Invested

$14.21

Value

$14.55

PnL

+$0.34

Record

57%

1245-928 (2173)

0x424eb20Fcd25113e3b98f42522A54580350b263b-1774330621025CTR<$100

Down

Invested

$16.52

Value

—

PnL

-$16.52

Record

65%

13302-7161 (20463)

Smart Money Signal

26 of 29 top traders (90%)3 hold an outcome priced under 50%20 small positions dimmed (<$100 invested)

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Market Info

Condition ID

0xed9effee...ffe6f9

Slug

btc-updown-15m-1792931400

Traders in this Market

0x50f7

Up — $1.5K

+$1.47

0xb55fa1296E6ec55D0cE53d93B9237389f11764d4-1777575277609

Up — $700.57

-$3.57

0xcE25E214D5cfE4f459cf67F08DF581885AAE7Fdc-1777575398144

Up — $445.06

+$15.65

trdyugiolkw

Up — $347.17

+$52.99

CrouchPredictions

CTR

Down — $0

-$155.42

Polkadot-Frog

Up — $168.05

-$5.55

thesidehustle

Up — $115.17

-$11.46

0x502b532F55778c0985846Dc53a9bc71eB4F33b15-1761320484518

Up — $221.97

+$88.46

0xba679aB701E6162CC2C932b8B498124F47394727-1774328661530

Up — $120.05

+$42.92

wzbbb

Up — $66

+$6.84

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