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Consensus Won ✓

Smart money consensus was Up — and it was correct. Winning outcome: Up

Bitcoin Up or Down - October 25, 7:15AM-7:30AM ET

Resolved Up. 88% of the top Polymarket traders held Up. The smart money was right.

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RESOLVED

🏆

Won

Consensus Traders

17

Up 87%

1 arb excluded

Total Value

$1.7K

Combined PnL

$55.95

Smart Money Signal

Up

15 of 17 top traders (88%)1 arbitrage trader dimmed2 hold an outcome priced under 50%12 small positions dimmed (<$100 invested)

Market Activity

Outcome Probabilities

Up100%

Down0%

Smart Money Breakdown by Outcome

Up15 traders

Total Value$1.6K

Total Shares1,649

Combined PnL+$89.78

Down2 traders

Total Value$0

Total Shares243

Combined PnL-$33.84

Up — 88%Down — 12%

Trader	Position	Invested	Value	PnL	Record
TR trdyugiolkw	Upavg 79.8¢	$450.27	$490.75	+$40.48	60% 9355-6153 (15508)
CR CrouchPredictions	Upavg 88.5¢	$359.74	$401.99	+$42.25	56% 13462-10496 (23958)
0X 0xb55fa1296E6ec55D0cE53d93B9237389f11764d4-1777575277609	Upavg 91.2¢	$207.37	$204.81	-$2.55	86% 42207-6788 (48995)
0X 0xcE25E214D5cfE4f459cf67F08DF581885AAE7Fdc-1777575398144	Upavg 83.9¢	$204.56	$205.06	+$0.5	68% 37428-17694 (55122)
Polkadot-Frog	Upavg 99.7¢	$153.2	$140	-$13.2	82% 26523-5688 (32211)
TH thesidehustle<$100	Upavg 90.3¢	$93.04	$97.69	+$4.65	54% 9424-8028 (17452)
AS aswfadq1555ARB<$100	Downavg 29.1¢	$79.13	$31.99	-$47.14	54% 5779-5004 (10783)
└ Up leg	Upavg 80¢	$25.59	$31.99	+$6.4
└ Down leg	Downavg 29.1¢	$53.53	—	-$53.53
UpandDownSyndrome<$100	Upavg 95.5¢	$25.87	$27.1	+$1.23	62% 40487-24844 (65331)
0X 0x502b532F55778c0985846Dc53a9bc71eB4F33b15-1761320484518<$100	Upavg 73¢	$26.28	$36	+$9.72	70% 19902-8330 (28232)
WZ wzbbbCTR<$100	Downavg 11¢	$20.59	—	-$20.59	56% 6834-5328 (12162)
PE peepeepoopoo24<$100	Upavg 91¢	$11.5	$10	-$1.5	58% 6110-4495 (10605)
AS asidjasiodja<$100	Upavg 86.2¢	$9.59	$11.13	+$1.54	61% 13689-8590 (22279)
MayorMamdaniCTR<$100	Downavg 23.7¢	$13.25	—	-$13.25	58% 16086-11671 (27757)
G-Penis-Monster<$100	Upavg 71¢	$8.29	$11.67	+$3.38	57% 13483-10286 (23769)
KA Kathod-Shi-14<$100	Upavg 86¢	$4.3	$5	+$0.7	56% 14830-11836 (26666)
AS asdaefef<$100	Upavg 70¢	$5.39	$7.7	+$2.31	75% 22946-7517 (30463)
DE devonpoll<$100	Upavg 81¢	—	—	+$0	52% 15975-14791 (30766)
AA aaa221<$100	Upavg 97.3¢	$10.32	—	+$0.28	67% 13299-6604 (19903)

Invested

$450.27

Value

$490.75

PnL

+$40.48

Record

60%

9355-6153 (15508)

CrouchPredictions

Invested

$359.74

Value

$401.99

PnL

+$42.25

Record

56%

13462-10496 (23958)

0xb55fa1296E6ec55D0cE53d93B9237389f11764d4-1777575277609

Invested

$207.37

Value

$204.81

PnL

-$2.55

Record

86%

42207-6788 (48995)

0xcE25E214D5cfE4f459cf67F08DF581885AAE7Fdc-1777575398144

Invested

$204.56

Value

$205.06

PnL

+$0.5

Record

68%

37428-17694 (55122)

Invested

$153.2

Value

$140

PnL

-$13.2

Record

82%

26523-5688 (32211)

thesidehustle<$100

Invested

$93.04

Value

$97.69

PnL

+$4.65

Record

54%

9424-8028 (17452)

aswfadq1555ARB<$100

Invested

$79.13

Value

$31.99

PnL

-$47.14

Record

54%

5779-5004 (10783)

Both legs:

Up$25.5980¢+$6.4

Down$53.5329.1¢-$53.53

UpandDownSyndrome<$100

Invested

$25.87

Value

$27.1

PnL

+$1.23

Record

62%

40487-24844 (65331)

0x502b532F55778c0985846Dc53a9bc71eB4F33b15-1761320484518<$100

Invested

$26.28

Value

$36

PnL

+$9.72

Record

70%

19902-8330 (28232)

Invested

$20.59

Value

—

PnL

-$20.59

Record

56%

6834-5328 (12162)

peepeepoopoo24<$100

Invested

$11.5

Value

$10

PnL

-$1.5

Record

58%

6110-4495 (10605)

asidjasiodja<$100

Invested

$9.59

Value

$11.13

PnL

+$1.54

Record

61%

13689-8590 (22279)

MayorMamdaniCTR<$100

Invested

$13.25

Value

—

PnL

-$13.25

Record

58%

16086-11671 (27757)

G-Penis-Monster<$100

Invested

$8.29

Value

$11.67

PnL

+$3.38

Record

57%

13483-10286 (23769)

Kathod-Shi-14<$100

Invested

$4.3

Value

$5

PnL

+$0.7

Record

56%

14830-11836 (26666)

Invested

$5.39

Value

$7.7

PnL

+$2.31

Record

75%

22946-7517 (30463)

Invested

—

Value

—

PnL

+$0

Record

52%

15975-14791 (30766)

Invested

$10.32

Value

—

PnL

+$0.28

Record

67%

13299-6604 (19903)

Smart Money Signal

Up

15 of 17 top traders (88%)1 arbitrage trader dimmed2 hold an outcome priced under 50%12 small positions dimmed (<$100 invested)

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Market Info

Condition ID

0x0c382965...adaade

Slug

btc-updown-15m-1792926900

Traders in this Market

trdyugiolkw

Up — $490.75

CrouchPredictions

Up — $401.99

0xb55fa1296E6ec55D0cE53d93B9237389f11764d4-1777575277609

Up — $204.81

0xcE25E214D5cfE4f459cf67F08DF581885AAE7Fdc-1777575398144

Up — $205.06

Polkadot-Frog

Up — $140

thesidehustle

Up — $97.69

aswfadq1555

Arbitrage — excluded

UpandDownSyndrome

Up — $27.1

0x502b532F55778c0985846Dc53a9bc71eB4F33b15-1761320484518

Up — $36

wzbbb

Down — $0

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