Consensus Won ✓
Smart money consensus was Down — and it was correct. Winning outcome: Down
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 25, 4:00AM-4:15AM ET
Resolved Down. 89% of the top Polymarket traders held Down. The smart money was right.
🏆
Won
19
Down 94%
$1.4K
$37.75
Smart Money Signal
17 of 19 top traders (89%)2 hold an outcome priced under 50%15 small positions dimmed (<$100 invested)
Outcome Probabilities
Smart Money Breakdown by Outcome
| Trader | Position | Invested | Value | PnL | Record |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
TR trdyugiolkw | Downavg 74.6¢ | $652.86 | $598.81 | -$54.05 | 60% 9317-6132 (15449) |
TH thesidehustle | Downavg 79.3¢ | $118.96 | $131.19 | +$12.23 | 54% 9369-7985 (17354) |
CR CrouchPredictions | Downavg 93.3¢ | $131.81 | $108 | -$23.81 | 56% 13401-10459 (23860) |
UN uninformedfloww | Downavg 70¢ | $122.5 | $175 | +$52.5 | 56% 31413-24251 (55664) |
WZ wzbbb<$100 | Downavg 83.4¢ | $97.57 | $94 | -$3.57 | 56% 6794-5289 (12083) |
 wowitsamazing<$100 | Downavg 52.5¢ | $38.25 | $72.89 | +$34.64 | 63% 9777-5815 (15592) |
AA aaa221<$100 | Downavg 90.5¢ | $58.1 | $28.84 | +$5.66 | 58% 6469-4604 (11073) |
DR drfc4eybh7i8<$100 | Downavg 55¢ | $27.5 | $50 | +$22.5 | 77% 41364-12330 (53694) |
 BoneOhio<$100 | Downavg 92¢ | $23.04 | $25.04 | +$2 | 83% 44804-8899 (53703) |
AS asidjasiodja<$100 | Downavg 80¢ | $17.59 | $21.99 | +$4.4 | 61% 13569-8539 (22108) |
 UpandDownSyndrome<$100 | Downavg 93.6¢ | $18.62 | $19.89 | +$1.27 | 62% 38229-23726 (61955) |
 G-Penis-Monster<$100 | Downavg 48¢ | $15.3 | $31.87 | +$16.57 | 57% 12593-9662 (22255) |
HS HsilverbasherCTR<$100 | Upavg 61.6¢ | $50.46 | — | -$50.46 | 56% 11571-9121 (20692) |
AS asdaefef<$100 | Downavg 66.8¢ | $12.88 | $19.28 | +$6.4 | 75% 22486-7474 (29960) |
 MayorMamdani<$100 | Downavg 63.9¢ | $7.18 | $11.23 | +$4.05 | 58% 15987-11596 (27583) |
DV dvasdkasodk<$100 | Downavg 75¢ | $7.5 | $10 | +$2.5 | 62% 18051-11002 (29053) |
KA Kathod-Shi-14<$100 | Downavg 43¢ | $2.2 | $5.12 | +$2.92 | 56% 14781-11800 (26581) |
PB PBot-6<$100 | Downavg 50¢ | $2 | $4 | +$2 | 67% 23185-11428 (34613) |
DE devonpollCTR<$100 | Upavg 30.3¢ | — | — | +$0 | 52% 15316-14141 (29457) |
Invested
$652.86
Value
$598.81
PnL
-$54.05
Record
60%
9317-6132 (15449)
Invested
$118.96
Value
$131.19
PnL
+$12.23
Record
54%
9369-7985 (17354)
Invested
$131.81
Value
$108
PnL
-$23.81
Record
56%
13401-10459 (23860)
Invested
$122.5
Value
$175
PnL
+$52.5
Record
56%
31413-24251 (55664)
Invested
$97.57
Value
$94
PnL
-$3.57
Record
56%
6794-5289 (12083)
wowitsamazing<$100Invested
$38.25
Value
$72.89
PnL
+$34.64
Record
63%
9777-5815 (15592)
Invested
$58.1
Value
$28.84
PnL
+$5.66
Record
58%
6469-4604 (11073)
Invested
$27.5
Value
$50
PnL
+$22.5
Record
77%
41364-12330 (53694)
BoneOhio<$100Invested
$23.04
Value
$25.04
PnL
+$2
Record
83%
44804-8899 (53703)
Invested
$17.59
Value
$21.99
PnL
+$4.4
Record
61%
13569-8539 (22108)
UpandDownSyndrome<$100Invested
$18.62
Value
$19.89
PnL
+$1.27
Record
62%
38229-23726 (61955)
G-Penis-Monster<$100Invested
$15.3
Value
$31.87
PnL
+$16.57
Record
57%
12593-9662 (22255)
Invested
$50.46
Value
—
PnL
-$50.46
Record
56%
11571-9121 (20692)
Invested
$12.88
Value
$19.28
PnL
+$6.4
Record
75%
22486-7474 (29960)
MayorMamdani<$100Invested
$7.18
Value
$11.23
PnL
+$4.05
Record
58%
15987-11596 (27583)
Invested
$7.5
Value
$10
PnL
+$2.5
Record
62%
18051-11002 (29053)
Invested
$2.2
Value
$5.12
PnL
+$2.92
Record
56%
14781-11800 (26581)
Invested
$2
Value
$4
PnL
+$2
Record
67%
23185-11428 (34613)
Invested
—
Value
—
PnL
+$0
Record
52%
15316-14141 (29457)
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Market Info
Traders in this Market
trdyugiolkw
Down — $598.81
thesidehustle
Down — $131.19
CrouchPredictions
Down — $108
uninformedfloww
Down — $175
wzbbb
Down — $94
wowitsamazing
Down — $72.89
aaa221
Down — $28.84
drfc4eybh7i8
Down — $50
BoneOhio
Down — $25.04
asidjasiodja
Down — $21.99