Consensus Won β
Smart money consensus was Up β and it was correct. Winning outcome: Up

Bitcoin Up or Down - October 25, 3:30AM-3:45AM ET
Resolved Up. 94% of the top Polymarket traders held Up. The smart money was right.
π
Won
17
Up 93%
$1.1K
$434.88
Smart Money Signal
16 of 17 top traders (94%)1 holds an outcome priced under 50%13 small positions dimmed (<$100 invested)
Outcome Probabilities
Smart Money Breakdown by Outcome
| Trader | Position | Invested | Value | PnL | Record |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
CR CrouchPredictions | Upavg 76Β’ | $306.12 | $401.8 | +$95.68 | 56% 13401-10459 (23860) |
TR trdyugiolkw | Upavg 68.5Β’ | $305.52 | $229.54 | -$75.99 | 60% 9317-6132 (15449) |
TH thesidehustle | Upavg 82.4Β’ | $112.25 | $109.56 | -$2.69 | 54% 9369-7985 (17354) |
WZ wzbbb<$100 | Upavg 80.4Β’ | $91.4 | $90 | -$1.4 | 56% 6794-5289 (12083) |
AA aaa221<$100 | Upavg 85.7Β’ | $63.15 | $47.24 | -$0.57 | 58% 6469-4604 (11073) |
DR drfc4eybh7i8<$100 | Upavg 60Β’ | $33.8 | $53.33 | +$19.53 | 77% 41364-12330 (53694) |
0X 0x424eb20Fcd25113e3b98f42522A54580350b263b-1774330621025<$100 | Upavg 80Β’ | $39.7 | $47.88 | +$8.18 | 64% 12116-6779 (18895) |
AS asidjasiodja<$100 | Upavg 76Β’ | $26.1 | $34.34 | +$8.24 | 61% 13569-8539 (22108) |
DV dvasdkasodk<$100 | Upavg 76.4Β’ | $23.61 | $30.91 | +$7.3 | 62% 18051-11002 (29053) |
AS asdaefef<$100 | Upavg 64.2Β’ | $21.55 | $33.54 | +$11.99 | 75% 22486-7474 (29960) |
![]() UpandDownSyndrome<$100 | Upavg 95Β’ | $12.11 | $12.75 | +$0.64 | 62% 38229-23726 (61955) |
UN uninformedfloww<$100 | Upavg 80Β’ | $5.6 | $7 | +$1.4 | 56% 31413-24251 (55664) |
AN antsaslyku<$100 | Upavg 64Β’ | $4.77 | $7.46 | +$2.69 | 81% 51120-11727 (62847) |
0X 0x502b532F55778c0985846Dc53a9bc71eB4F33b15-1761320484518<$100 | Upavg 47Β’ | $1.77 | $3.77 | +$2 | 70% 19712-8281 (27993) |
![]() MayorMamdaniCTR<$100 | Downavg 37.4Β’ | $2.1 | β | -$2.1 | 58% 15987-11596 (27583) |
TI tin54321 | Upavg 65Β’ | $1.0K | $0 | +$359.98 | 64% 43-24 (67) |
DE devonpoll<$100 | Upavg 72Β’ | β | β | +$0 | 52% 15316-14141 (29457) |
Invested
$306.12
Value
$401.8
PnL
+$95.68
Record
56%
13401-10459 (23860)
Invested
$305.52
Value
$229.54
PnL
-$75.99
Record
60%
9317-6132 (15449)
Invested
$112.25
Value
$109.56
PnL
-$2.69
Record
54%
9369-7985 (17354)
Invested
$91.4
Value
$90
PnL
-$1.4
Record
56%
6794-5289 (12083)
Invested
$63.15
Value
$47.24
PnL
-$0.57
Record
58%
6469-4604 (11073)
Invested
$33.8
Value
$53.33
PnL
+$19.53
Record
77%
41364-12330 (53694)
Invested
$39.7
Value
$47.88
PnL
+$8.18
Record
64%
12116-6779 (18895)
Invested
$26.1
Value
$34.34
PnL
+$8.24
Record
61%
13569-8539 (22108)
Invested
$23.61
Value
$30.91
PnL
+$7.3
Record
62%
18051-11002 (29053)
Invested
$21.55
Value
$33.54
PnL
+$11.99
Record
75%
22486-7474 (29960)
UpandDownSyndrome<$100Invested
$12.11
Value
$12.75
PnL
+$0.64
Record
62%
38229-23726 (61955)
Invested
$5.6
Value
$7
PnL
+$1.4
Record
56%
31413-24251 (55664)
Invested
$4.77
Value
$7.46
PnL
+$2.69
Record
81%
51120-11727 (62847)
Invested
$1.77
Value
$3.77
PnL
+$2
Record
70%
19712-8281 (27993)
MayorMamdaniCTR<$100Invested
$2.1
Value
β
PnL
-$2.1
Record
58%
15987-11596 (27583)
Invested
$1,025
Value
$0
PnL
+$359.98
Record
64%
43-24 (67)
Invested
β
Value
β
PnL
+$0
Record
52%
15316-14141 (29457)
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Market Info
Traders in this Market
CrouchPredictions
Up β $401.8
trdyugiolkw
Up β $229.54
thesidehustle
Up β $109.56
wzbbb
Up β $90
aaa221
Up β $47.24
drfc4eybh7i8
Up β $53.33
0x424eb20Fcd25113e3b98f42522A54580350b263b-1774330621025
Up β $47.88
asidjasiodja
Up β $34.34
dvasdkasodk
Up β $30.91
asdaefef
Up β $33.54