Consensus Won ✓
Smart money consensus was Down — and it was correct. Winning outcome: Down
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 25, 2:30AM-2:45AM ET
Resolved Down. 89% of the top Polymarket traders held Down. The smart money was right.
🏆
Won
19
Down 89%
$2.2K
$29.45
Smart Money Signal
17 of 19 top traders (89%)2 hold an outcome priced under 50%13 small positions dimmed (<$100 invested)
Outcome Probabilities
Smart Money Breakdown by Outcome
| Trader | Position | Invested | Value | PnL | Record |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
TR trdyugiolkw | Downavg 84.3¢ | $622.87 | $570.8 | -$52.07 | 60% 9317-6132 (15449) |
CR CrouchPredictions | Downavg 94¢ | $598.26 | $575.83 | -$22.44 | 56% 13401-10459 (23860) |
WZ wzbbb | Downavg 78.5¢ | $243.85 | $296 | +$52.15 | 56% 6794-5289 (12083) |
HO hoodquant | Downavg 98¢ | $167.54 | $170.96 | +$3.43 | 93% 20154-1617 (21771) |
TH thesidehustle | Downavg 80¢ | $148.07 | $143.99 | -$4.08 | 54% 9369-7985 (17354) |
 Polkadot-Frog | Downavg 50¢ | $100 | $100 | +$0 | 82% 25791-5637 (31428) |
 MayorMamdani<$100 | Downavg 93.6¢ | $63.28 | $63 | -$0.28 | 58% 15987-11596 (27583) |
 Atomforge<$100 | Downavg 98¢ | $36.26 | $37 | +$0.74 | 65% 3069-1620 (4689) |
 UpandDownSyndrome<$100 | Downavg 95.5¢ | $32.68 | $34.2 | +$1.52 | 62% 38229-23726 (61955) |
RL RLWG<$100 | Downavg 58.8¢ | $29.4 | $50 | +$20.6 | 51% 3533-3400 (6933) |
AS asidjasiodja<$100 | Downavg 84.6¢ | $25.76 | $30.44 | +$4.68 | 61% 13569-8539 (22108) |
DR drfc4eybh7i8<$100 | Downavg 62¢ | $31.5 | $50.81 | +$19.31 | 77% 41364-12330 (53694) |
DV dvasdkasodk<$100 | Downavg 88.7¢ | $24.29 | $27.37 | +$3.08 | 62% 18051-11002 (29053) |
AS asdaefef<$100 | Downavg 72.8¢ | $21.96 | $30.15 | +$8.19 | 75% 22486-7474 (29960) |
AS asabovesobelow2<$100 | Downavg 98¢ | $18.25 | $18.62 | +$0.37 | 69% 1521-696 (2217) |
AN antsaslyku<$100 | Downavg 65.3¢ | $9.63 | $14.73 | +$5.1 | 81% 51120-11727 (62847) |
DE devonpollCTR<$100 | Upavg 14.8¢ | $28.79 | — | +$13.16 | 52% 15316-14141 (29457) |
AA aaa221CTR<$100 | Upavg 43.7¢ | $35.48 | — | -$24.02 | 58% 6469-4604 (11073) |
BO Bonereaper<$100 | Downavg 49¢ | — | — | +$0 | 69% 41473-18920 (60393) |
Invested
$622.87
Value
$570.8
PnL
-$52.07
Record
60%
9317-6132 (15449)
Invested
$598.26
Value
$575.83
PnL
-$22.44
Record
56%
13401-10459 (23860)
Invested
$243.85
Value
$296
PnL
+$52.15
Record
56%
6794-5289 (12083)
Invested
$167.54
Value
$170.96
PnL
+$3.43
Record
93%
20154-1617 (21771)
Invested
$148.07
Value
$143.99
PnL
-$4.08
Record
54%
9369-7985 (17354)
Polkadot-FrogInvested
$100
Value
$100
PnL
+$0
Record
82%
25791-5637 (31428)
MayorMamdani<$100Invested
$63.28
Value
$63
PnL
-$0.28
Record
58%
15987-11596 (27583)
Atomforge<$100Invested
$36.26
Value
$37
PnL
+$0.74
Record
65%
3069-1620 (4689)
UpandDownSyndrome<$100Invested
$32.68
Value
$34.2
PnL
+$1.52
Record
62%
38229-23726 (61955)
Invested
$29.4
Value
$50
PnL
+$20.6
Record
51%
3533-3400 (6933)
Invested
$25.76
Value
$30.44
PnL
+$4.68
Record
61%
13569-8539 (22108)
Invested
$31.5
Value
$50.81
PnL
+$19.31
Record
77%
41364-12330 (53694)
Invested
$24.29
Value
$27.37
PnL
+$3.08
Record
62%
18051-11002 (29053)
Invested
$21.96
Value
$30.15
PnL
+$8.19
Record
75%
22486-7474 (29960)
Invested
$18.25
Value
$18.62
PnL
+$0.37
Record
69%
1521-696 (2217)
Invested
$9.63
Value
$14.73
PnL
+$5.1
Record
81%
51120-11727 (62847)
Invested
$28.79
Value
—
PnL
+$13.16
Record
52%
15316-14141 (29457)
Invested
$35.48
Value
—
PnL
-$24.02
Record
58%
6469-4604 (11073)
Invested
—
Value
—
PnL
+$0
Record
69%
41473-18920 (60393)
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Market Info
Traders in this Market
trdyugiolkw
Down — $570.8
CrouchPredictions
Down — $575.83
wzbbb
Down — $296
hoodquant
Down — $170.96
thesidehustle
Down — $143.99
Polkadot-Frog
Down — $100
MayorMamdani
Down — $63
Atomforge
Down — $37
UpandDownSyndrome
Down — $34.2
RLWG
Down — $50