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DownUpDownUp
UpandDownSyndromeCTR<$100DownUp
Consensus Lost ✗
Smart money consensus was Down — but Up won instead.
BNB Up or Down - October 25, 11:15PM-11:30PM ET
Resolved Up. 50% of the top Polymarket traders held Down. The smart money was wrong.
RESOLVED
💀
Lost
Consensus Traders
6
Down 60%
Total Value
$60.52
Combined PnL
-$37.26
Smart Money Signal
Down
3 of 6 top traders (50%)3 hold an outcome priced under 50%6 small positions dimmed (<$100 invested)
Market Activity
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Outcome Probabilities
Up100%
Down0%
Smart Money Breakdown by Outcome
Down3 traders
Total Value$0
Total Shares70
Combined PnL-$53.96
Up3 traders
Total Value$60.52
Total Shares61
Combined PnL+$16.7
Down — 50%Up — 50%
| Trader | Position | Invested | Value | PnL | Record |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
UN uninformedflowwCTR<$100 | Downavg 55¢ | $27.9 | — | -$27.9 | 56% 34143-26515 (60658) |
AA aaa221<$100 | Upavg 71.8¢ | $32.67 | $45.52 | +$12.86 | 67% 14151-6979 (21130) |
0X 0xcE25E214D5cfE4f459cf67F08DF581885AAE7Fdc-1777575398144CTR<$100 | Downavg 45.4¢ | $25.8 | — | -$25.8 | 71% 52280-21256 (73536) |
KA Kathod-Shi-14<$100 | Upavg 47.3¢ | $11.16 | $15 | +$3.84 | 56% 15449-12313 (27762) |
UpandDownSyndromeCTR<$100 | Downavg 5¢ | $0.26 | — | -$0.26 | 62% 44142-26594 (70736) |
0X 0xb55fa1296E6ec55D0cE53d93B9237389f11764d4-1777575277609<$100 | Upavg 73.8¢ | — | — | +$0 | 89% 55321-6990 (62311) |
UN
uninformedflowwCTR<$100Invested
$27.9
Value
—
PnL
-$27.9
Record
56%
34143-26515 (60658)
AA
aaa221<$100Invested
$32.67
Value
$45.52
PnL
+$12.86
Record
67%
14151-6979 (21130)
0X
0xcE25E214D5cfE4f459cf67F08DF581885AAE7Fdc-1777575398144CTR<$100Invested
$25.8
Value
—
PnL
-$25.8
Record
71%
52280-21256 (73536)
KA
Kathod-Shi-14<$100Invested
$11.16
Value
$15
PnL
+$3.84
Record
56%
15449-12313 (27762)
UpandDownSyndromeCTR<$100Invested
$0.26
Value
—
PnL
-$0.26
Record
62%
44142-26594 (70736)
0X
0xb55fa1296E6ec55D0cE53d93B9237389f11764d4-1777575277609<$100Invested
—
Value
—
PnL
+$0
Record
89%
55321-6990 (62311)
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Market Info
Condition ID
0x0995470d...9463f2
Slug
bnb-updown-15m-1792984500