Pallacanestro Reggiana vs. Pallacanestro Cantu

5 of 7 top Polymarket traders hold Pallacanestro Reggiana (71%) · Pallacanestro Reggiana at 68¢ · $2K held · ends Nov 1

Pallacanestro Reggiana68¢Pallacanestro Cantu32¢Ends Sun, Nov 1, 2026View on Polymarket

SIGNAL

⚠️

Avoid

Pallacanestro Reggiana

Consensus Traders

Pallacanestro Reggiana 71%

1 arb excluded

Total Value

$1.6K

Combined PnL

-$120.9

Smart Money Entry

67.4¢ → 67.5¢

+0% since entry · 5 traders

Research grade

AvoidPallacanestro Reggiana at 68%

Matches a pattern that lost clearly more than the trading costs in the backtests.

BasketballBasketball lost in both windows: −12.0 % a trade in spring (95 % CI −22 to −2), −9.2 % in October.
Favourite (60–95¢)0.70–0.90 was about break-even after costs, +0.4 % a trade (n 4,327); 0.60–0.95 with 70 %+ and $10k+ +2.9 % (n 955). The consensus beats its price by 2–3 points here, about what the costs take.

Backtest of Oct 22 2026: one entry per market, held to resolution, after a 1¢ half-spread and Polymarket's taker fees. The grade never goes above “Research candidate”: no rule passed the multiple-testing check. It is not a forecast and not advice.

Smart Money Signal

Pallacanestro Reggiana

5 of 7 top traders (71%)1 arbitrage trader dimmed2 hold an outcome priced under 50%5 small positions dimmed (<$100 invested)

Market Activity

Outcome Probabilities

Pallacanestro Reggiana68%

Pallacanestro Cantu33%

Smart Money Breakdown by Outcome

Pallacanestro Reggiana5 traders

Total Value$707.22

Total Shares1,177

Combined PnL-$130.26

Pallacanestro Cantu2 traders

Total Value$93.76

Total Shares284

Combined PnL+$9.36

Pallacanestro Reggiana — 71%Pallacanestro Cantu — 29%

Trader	Position	Invested	Value	PnL	Record
KE keeptheblueflagflyinghighARB<$100	Pallacanestro Reggianaavg 70.9¢	$816.96	$750.78	-$151.78	46% 325-374 (699)
└ Pallacanestro Reggiana leg	Pallacanestro Reggianaavg 70.9¢	$728.79	$498.87	-$229.92
└ Pallacanestro Cantu leg	Pallacanestro Cantuavg 18¢	$88.17	$251.91	+$78.14
SN SnakeBall	Pallacanestro Reggianaavg 72¢	$355.35	$343.1	-$12.25	50% 8893-8828 (17721)
LS LSS1	Pallacanestro Reggianaavg 69.9¢	$457.83	$240.1	-$142.94	71% 1291-515 (1806)
0X 0xdbdd45150249e229eB4cA8aa48A30Dca21Faa5de-1757094771846CTR<$100	Pallacanestro Cantuavg 29¢	$72.5	$76.25	+$3.75	63% 22715-13447 (36162)
TO torta.tech<$100	Pallacanestro Reggianaavg 46¢	$60.72	$58.74	-$1.98	75% 6144-2035 (8179)
MI mishipolis<$100	Pallacanestro Reggianaavg 63¢	$41.88	$40.29	+$22.9	47% 2714-3081 (5795)
0X 0x8Cb25E16F2F0893C1bd4d7077325BD4a3b4AdCf5-1774682577191<$100	Pallacanestro Reggianaavg 47¢	$21	$25	+$4	47% 3605-4050 (7655)
HRTradingCTR<$100	Pallacanestro Cantuavg 35¢	$11.9	$17.51	+$5.61	57% 1578-1171 (2749)

keeptheblueflagflyinghighARB<$100

Pallacanestro Reggiana

Invested

$816.96

Value

$750.78

PnL

-$151.78

Record

46%

325-374 (699)

Both legs:

Pallacanestro Reggiana$728.7970.9¢-$229.92

Pallacanestro Cantu$88.1718¢+$78.14

SnakeBall

Pallacanestro Reggiana

Invested

$355.35

Value

$343.1

PnL

-$12.25

Record

50%

8893-8828 (17721)

LSS1

Pallacanestro Reggiana

Invested

$457.83

Value

$240.1

PnL

-$142.94

Record

71%

1291-515 (1806)

0xdbdd45150249e229eB4cA8aa48A30Dca21Faa5de-1757094771846CTR<$100

Pallacanestro Cantu

Invested

$72.5

Value

$76.25

PnL

+$3.75

Record

63%

22715-13447 (36162)

torta.tech<$100

Pallacanestro Reggiana

Invested

$60.72

Value

$58.74

PnL

-$1.98

Record

75%

6144-2035 (8179)

mishipolis<$100

Pallacanestro Reggiana

Invested

$41.88

Value

$40.29

PnL

+$22.9

Record

47%

2714-3081 (5795)

0x8Cb25E16F2F0893C1bd4d7077325BD4a3b4AdCf5-1774682577191<$100

Pallacanestro Reggiana

Invested

$21

Value

$25

PnL

+$4

Record

47%

3605-4050 (7655)

HRTradingCTR<$100

Pallacanestro Cantu

Invested

$11.9

Value

$17.51

PnL

+$5.61

Record

57%

1578-1171 (2749)

Research grade

AvoidPallacanestro Reggiana at 68%

Matches a pattern that lost clearly more than the trading costs in the backtests.

BasketballBasketball lost in both windows: −12.0 % a trade in spring (95 % CI −22 to −2), −9.2 % in October.
Favourite (60–95¢)0.70–0.90 was about break-even after costs, +0.4 % a trade (n 4,327); 0.60–0.95 with 70 %+ and $10k+ +2.9 % (n 955). The consensus beats its price by 2–3 points here, about what the costs take.

Smart Money Signal

Pallacanestro Reggiana

5 of 7 top traders (71%)1 arbitrage trader dimmed2 hold an outcome priced under 50%5 small positions dimmed (<$100 invested)

Chat

EV Calculator

Your estimated chance that Pallacanestro Reggiana wins (%)

Consensus % is how many tracked traders hold a side, not a win probability.

Stake (USDC)

Break-even chance69.6%

67.5¢ price + 1.0¢ spread + 1.1¢ fee (Sports 5%). Win more often than this and the bet pays.

Expected Value—

Expected ROIenter your estimate

Max Profit

+$43.72

Max Loss

-$100.00

143.7

A market order pays the taker fee and crosses the spread (assumed 1.0¢); a limit order pays no fee but may not fill. The fee category is a guess from the title.