OKK Beograd vs. KK Sloboda Uzice

2 of 5 top Polymarket traders hold KK Sloboda Uzice (40%) · KK Sloboda Uzice at 100¢ · $489 held · ends Nov 2

OKK Beograd<1¢KK Sloboda Uzice>99¢Ends Mon, Nov 2, 2026View on Polymarket

SIGNAL

⚠️

Avoid

KK Sloboda Uzice

Consensus Traders

KK Sloboda Uzice 40%

Total Value

$488.51

Combined PnL

$25.52

Smart Money Entry

80.5¢ → 99.8¢

+24% since entry · 2 traders

Research grade

AvoidKK Sloboda Uzice at 100%

Matches a pattern that lost clearly more than the trading costs in the backtests.

BasketballBasketball lost in both windows: −12.0 % a trade in spring (95 % CI −22 to −2), −9.2 % in October.
Side priced over 95¢0.90–0.99 was −0.2 % a trade (n 4,210); above 95¢ little is left to win and the backtests' bands stop at 0.95.
Consensus under 60 %Every backtest started at 60 %+ of the holders; below that nothing was measured.

Backtest of Oct 22 2026: one entry per market, held to resolution, after a 1¢ half-spread and Polymarket's taker fees. The grade never goes above “Research candidate”: no rule passed the multiple-testing check. It is not a forecast and not advice.

Smart Money Signal

KK Sloboda Uzice

2 of 5 top traders (40%)3 hold an outcome priced under 50%4 small positions dimmed (<$100 invested)

Market Activity

Outcome Probabilities

OKK Beograd0%

KK Sloboda Uzice100%

Smart Money Breakdown by Outcome

KK Sloboda Uzice2 traders

Total Value$465.62

Total Shares470

Combined PnL+$20.63

OKK Beograd3 traders

Total Value$22.89

Total Shares79

Combined PnL+$4.89

KK Sloboda Uzice — 40%OKK Beograd — 60%

Trader	Position	Invested	Value	PnL	Record
SN SnakeBall	KK Sloboda Uziceavg 80.3¢	$421.02	$443.18	+$22.16	50% 9393-9316 (18709)
HRTrading<$100	KK Sloboda Uziceavg 83.7¢	$23.98	$22.45	-$1.53	55% 2163-1776 (3939)
LU LuckyLooCTR<$100	OKK Beogradavg 25¢	$12.91	$14.98	+$2.07	50% 10912-11060 (21972)
0X 0xdbdd45150249e229eB4cA8aa48A30Dca21Faa5de-1757094771846CTR<$100	OKK Beogradavg 3¢	$0.54	$5.21	+$4.67	60% 27626-18599 (46225)
VeryLucky888CTR<$100	OKK Beogradavg 25¢	$20.85	$2.7	-$1.85	58% 37579-27344 (64923)

SnakeBall

KK Sloboda Uzice

Invested

$421.02

Value

$443.18

PnL

+$22.16

Record

50%

9393-9316 (18709)

HRTrading<$100

KK Sloboda Uzice

Invested

$23.98

Value

$22.45

PnL

-$1.53

Record

55%

2163-1776 (3939)

LuckyLooCTR<$100

OKK Beograd

Invested

$12.91

Value

$14.98

PnL

+$2.07

Record

50%

10912-11060 (21972)

0xdbdd45150249e229eB4cA8aa48A30Dca21Faa5de-1757094771846CTR<$100

OKK Beograd

Invested

$0.54

Value

$5.21

PnL

+$4.67

Record

60%

27626-18599 (46225)

VeryLucky888CTR<$100

OKK Beograd

Invested

$20.85

Value

$2.7

PnL

-$1.85

Record

58%

37579-27344 (64923)

Research grade

AvoidKK Sloboda Uzice at 100%

Matches a pattern that lost clearly more than the trading costs in the backtests.

BasketballBasketball lost in both windows: −12.0 % a trade in spring (95 % CI −22 to −2), −9.2 % in October.
Side priced over 95¢0.90–0.99 was −0.2 % a trade (n 4,210); above 95¢ little is left to win and the backtests' bands stop at 0.95.
Consensus under 60 %Every backtest started at 60 %+ of the holders; below that nothing was measured.

Smart Money Signal

KK Sloboda Uzice

2 of 5 top traders (40%)3 hold an outcome priced under 50%4 small positions dimmed (<$100 invested)

Chat

EV Calculator

Your estimated chance that KK Sloboda Uzice wins (%)

Consensus % is how many tracked traders hold a side, not a win probability.

Stake (USDC)

Break-even chance99.9%

99.8¢ price + 1.0¢ spread + 0.0¢ fee (Sports 5%). Win more often than this and the bet pays.

Expected Value—

Expected ROIenter your estimate

Max Profit

+$0.10

Max Loss

-$100.00

100.1

A market order pays the taker fee and crosses the spread (assumed 1.0¢); a limit order pays no fee but may not fill. The fee category is a guess from the title.