Maccabi Ironi Ramat Gan vs. Ironi Kiryat ATA

3 of 4 top Polymarket traders hold Maccabi Ironi Ramat Gan (75%) · Maccabi Ironi Ramat Gan at 99¢ · $1K held · ends Nov 2

Maccabi Ironi Ramat Gan99¢Ironi Kiryat ATA1¢Ends Mon, Nov 2, 2026View on Polymarket

SIGNAL

⚠️

Avoid

Maccabi Ironi Ramat Gan

Consensus Traders

Maccabi Ironi Ramat Gan 75%

Total Value

$1.1K

Combined PnL

$114.85

Smart Money Entry

88¢ → 99¢

+12% since entry · 3 traders

Research grade

AvoidMaccabi Ironi Ramat Gan at 99%

Matches a pattern that lost clearly more than the trading costs in the backtests.

BasketballBasketball lost in both windows: −12.0 % a trade in spring (95 % CI −22 to −2), −9.2 % in October.
Side priced over 95¢0.90–0.99 was −0.2 % a trade (n 4,210); above 95¢ little is left to win and the backtests' bands stop at 0.95.
Fewer than 5 holdersEvery backtest needed 5+ holders; with fewer nothing was measured.

Backtest of Oct 22 2026: one entry per market, held to resolution, after a 1¢ half-spread and Polymarket's taker fees. The grade never goes above “Research candidate”: no rule passed the multiple-testing check. It is not a forecast and not advice.

Smart Money Signal

Maccabi Ironi Ramat Gan

3 of 4 top traders (75%)1 holds an outcome priced under 50%2 small positions dimmed (<$100 invested)

Market Activity

Outcome Probabilities

Maccabi Ironi Ramat Gan99%

Ironi Kiryat ATA1%

Smart Money Breakdown by Outcome

Maccabi Ironi Ramat Gan3 traders

Total Value$1.1K

Total Shares1,082

Combined PnL+$118.37

Ironi Kiryat ATA1 trader

Total Value$1.24

Total Shares124

Combined PnL-$3.52

Maccabi Ironi Ramat Gan — 75%Ironi Kiryat ATA — 25%

Trader	Position	Invested	Value	PnL	Record
LS LSS1	Maccabi Ironi Ramat Ganavg 78¢	$405.51	$514.69	+$114.12	72% 1497-590 (2087)
LO looppau	Maccabi Ironi Ramat Ganavg 99.9¢	$499.5	$495	-$4.5	99% 9887-45 (9932)
VeryLucky888<$100	Maccabi Ironi Ramat Ganavg 76¢	$47.5	$62.44	+$8.75	58% 39436-28511 (67947)
HRTradingCTR<$100	Ironi Kiryat ATAavg 2.9¢	$3.58	$1.24	-$3.52	55% 2195-1816 (4011)

LSS1

Maccabi Ironi Ramat Gan

Invested

$405.51

Value

$514.69

PnL

+$114.12

Record

72%

1497-590 (2087)

looppau

Maccabi Ironi Ramat Gan

Invested

$499.5

Value

$495

PnL

-$4.5

Record

99%

9887-45 (9932)

VeryLucky888<$100

Maccabi Ironi Ramat Gan

Invested

$47.5

Value

$62.44

PnL

+$8.75

Record

58%

39436-28511 (67947)

HRTradingCTR<$100

Ironi Kiryat ATA

Invested

$3.58

Value

$1.24

PnL

-$3.52

Record

55%

2195-1816 (4011)

Research grade

AvoidMaccabi Ironi Ramat Gan at 99%

Matches a pattern that lost clearly more than the trading costs in the backtests.

BasketballBasketball lost in both windows: −12.0 % a trade in spring (95 % CI −22 to −2), −9.2 % in October.
Side priced over 95¢0.90–0.99 was −0.2 % a trade (n 4,210); above 95¢ little is left to win and the backtests' bands stop at 0.95.
Fewer than 5 holdersEvery backtest needed 5+ holders; with fewer nothing was measured.

Smart Money Signal

Maccabi Ironi Ramat Gan

3 of 4 top traders (75%)1 holds an outcome priced under 50%2 small positions dimmed (<$100 invested)

Chat

EV Calculator

Your estimated chance that Maccabi Ironi Ramat Gan wins (%)

Consensus % is how many tracked traders hold a side, not a win probability.

Stake (USDC)

Break-even chance99.9%

99.0¢ price + 1.0¢ spread + 0.0¢ fee (Sports 5%). Win more often than this and the bet pays.

Expected Value—

Expected ROIenter your estimate

Max Profit

+$0.10

Max Loss

-$100.00

100.1

A market order pays the taker fee and crosses the spread (assumed 1.0¢); a limit order pays no fee but may not fill. The fee category is a guess from the title.