Liaoning Flying Leopards vs. Xinjiang Flying Tigers

6 of 7 top Polymarket traders hold Liaoning Flying Leopards (86%) · Liaoning Flying Leopards at 81¢ · $2K held · ends Nov 1

Liaoning Flying Leopards81¢Xinjiang Flying Tigers19¢Ends Sun, Nov 1, 2026View on Polymarket

SIGNAL

⚠️

Avoid

Liaoning Flying Leopards

Consensus Traders

Liaoning Flying Leopards 86%

Total Value

$1.8K

Combined PnL

-$13.32

Smart Money Entry

74.8¢ → 80.5¢

+8% since entry · 6 traders

Research grade

AvoidLiaoning Flying Leopards at 81%

Matches a pattern that lost clearly more than the trading costs in the backtests.

BasketballBasketball lost in both windows: −12.0 % a trade in spring (95 % CI −22 to −2), −9.2 % in October.
Favourite (60–95¢)0.70–0.90 was about break-even after costs, +0.4 % a trade (n 4,327); 0.60–0.95 with 70 %+ and $10k+ +2.9 % (n 955). The consensus beats its price by 2–3 points here, about what the costs take.

Backtest of Oct 22 2026: one entry per market, held to resolution, after a 1¢ half-spread and Polymarket's taker fees. The grade never goes above “Research candidate”: no rule passed the multiple-testing check. It is not a forecast and not advice.

Smart Money Signal

Liaoning Flying Leopards

6 of 7 top traders (86%)1 holds an outcome priced under 50%2 small positions dimmed (<$100 invested)

Market Activity

Outcome Probabilities

Liaoning Flying Leopards81%

Xinjiang Flying Tigers20%

Smart Money Breakdown by Outcome

Liaoning Flying Leopards6 traders

Total Value$1.6K

Total Shares2,146

Combined PnL-$43.02

Xinjiang Flying Tigers1 trader

Total Value$168.64

Total Shares596

Combined PnL+$29.69

Liaoning Flying Leopards — 86%Xinjiang Flying Tigers — 14%

Trader	Position	Invested	Value	PnL	Record
SN SnakeBall	Liaoning Flying Leopardsavg 73.2¢	$719.87	$717.71	-$2.17	50% 8797-8727 (17524)
LS LSS1	Liaoning Flying Leopardsavg 77.9¢	$418.3	$405.42	-$12.88	71% 1281-512 (1793)
VeryLucky888	Liaoning Flying Leopardsavg 74.6¢	$971.99	$292.01	-$24.97	58% 31634-22891 (54525)
KE keeptheblueflagflyinghighCTR	Xinjiang Flying Tigersavg 18.2¢	$138.95	$168.64	+$29.69	47% 320-367 (687)
LE LeLynxMalynx	Liaoning Flying Leopardsavg 75.4¢	$120.94	$117.35	-$3.59	54% 13805-11589 (25394)
tradecraft<$100	Liaoning Flying Leopardsavg 71¢	$35.5	$36.5	+$0.25	52% 5502-5113 (10615)
HRTrading<$100	Liaoning Flying Leopardsavg 72.7¢	$14.19	$14.53	+$0.34	58% 1451-1066 (2517)

SnakeBall

Liaoning Flying Leopards

Invested

$719.87

Value

$717.71

PnL

-$2.17

Record

50%

8797-8727 (17524)

LSS1

Liaoning Flying Leopards

Invested

$418.3

Value

$405.42

PnL

-$12.88

Record

71%

1281-512 (1793)

VeryLucky888

Liaoning Flying Leopards

Invested

$971.99

Value

$292.01

PnL

-$24.97

Record

58%

31634-22891 (54525)

keeptheblueflagflyinghighCTR

Xinjiang Flying Tigers

Invested

$138.95

Value

$168.64

PnL

+$29.69

Record

47%

320-367 (687)

LeLynxMalynx

Liaoning Flying Leopards

Invested

$120.94

Value

$117.35

PnL

-$3.59

Record

54%

13805-11589 (25394)

tradecraft<$100

Liaoning Flying Leopards

Invested

$35.5

Value

$36.5

PnL

+$0.25

Record

52%

5502-5113 (10615)

HRTrading<$100

Liaoning Flying Leopards

Invested

$14.19

Value

$14.53

PnL

+$0.34

Record

58%

1451-1066 (2517)

Research grade

AvoidLiaoning Flying Leopards at 81%

Matches a pattern that lost clearly more than the trading costs in the backtests.

BasketballBasketball lost in both windows: −12.0 % a trade in spring (95 % CI −22 to −2), −9.2 % in October.
Favourite (60–95¢)0.70–0.90 was about break-even after costs, +0.4 % a trade (n 4,327); 0.60–0.95 with 70 %+ and $10k+ +2.9 % (n 955). The consensus beats its price by 2–3 points here, about what the costs take.

Smart Money Signal

Liaoning Flying Leopards

6 of 7 top traders (86%)1 holds an outcome priced under 50%2 small positions dimmed (<$100 invested)

Chat

EV Calculator

Your estimated chance that Liaoning Flying Leopards wins (%)

Consensus % is how many tracked traders hold a side, not a win probability.

Stake (USDC)

Break-even chance82.3%

80.5¢ price + 1.0¢ spread + 0.8¢ fee (Sports 5%). Win more often than this and the bet pays.

Expected Value—

Expected ROIenter your estimate

Max Profit

+$21.57

Max Loss

-$100.00

121.6

A market order pays the taker fee and crosses the spread (assumed 1.0¢); a limit order pays no fee but may not fill. The fee category is a guess from the title.