Consensus Won ✓
Smart money consensus was Down — and it was correct. Winning outcome: Down
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 12AM ET
Resolved Down. 88% of the top Polymarket traders held Down. The smart money was right.
🏆
Won
8
Down 88%
$2.1K
$289.84
Smart Money Signal
7 of 8 top traders (88%)1 holds an outcome priced under 50%4 small positions dimmed (<$100 invested)
Outcome Probabilities
Smart Money Breakdown by Outcome
| Trader | Position | Invested | Value | PnL | Record |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Polkadot-Frog | Downavg 79.1¢ | $903.69 | $1.1K | +$191.68 | 64% 57137-31956 (89093) |
PE peepeepoopoo24 | Downavg 87.4¢ | $438.15 | $462.25 | +$24.09 | 57% 6448-4784 (11232) |
 BoneOhio | Downavg 99¢ | $306.65 | $309.75 | +$3.1 | 74% 101844-36246 (138090) |
BE beeemw | Downavg 77¢ | $94.53 | $122.77 | +$28.24 | 78% 263-73 (336) |
PL ply-pm2<$100 | Downavg 47.7¢ | $21.95 | $38.44 | +$16.5 | 51% 6246-5929 (12175) |
AL almach<$100 | Downavg 94¢ | $31.8 | $33.83 | +$2.03 | 55% 47730-39322 (87052) |
BO Bonereaper<$100 | Downavg 48¢ | $24 | $50 | +$26 | 66% 98240-50705 (148945) |
DE devonpollCTR<$100 | Upavg 12¢ | $1.8 | — | -$1.8 | 51% 19516-18695 (38211) |
Polkadot-FrogInvested
$903.69
Value
$1.1K
PnL
+$191.68
Record
64%
57137-31956 (89093)
Invested
$438.15
Value
$462.25
PnL
+$24.09
Record
57%
6448-4784 (11232)
BoneOhioInvested
$306.65
Value
$309.75
PnL
+$3.1
Record
74%
101844-36246 (138090)
Invested
$94.53
Value
$122.77
PnL
+$28.24
Record
78%
263-73 (336)
Invested
$21.95
Value
$38.44
PnL
+$16.5
Record
51%
6246-5929 (12175)
Invested
$31.8
Value
$33.83
PnL
+$2.03
Record
55%
47730-39322 (87052)
Invested
$24
Value
$50
PnL
+$26
Record
66%
98240-50705 (148945)
Invested
$1.8
Value
—
PnL
-$1.8
Record
51%
19516-18695 (38211)
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