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Polkadot-FrogDownDownUpDownUp
Consensus Won ✓
Smart money consensus was Down — and it was correct. Winning outcome: Down
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 9PM ET
Resolved Down. 60% of the top Polymarket traders held Down. The smart money was right.
RESOLVED
🏆
Won
Consensus Traders
5
Down 60%
Total Value
$2.5K
Combined PnL
$226.69
Smart Money Signal
Down
3 of 5 top traders (60%)2 hold an outcome priced under 50%2 small positions dimmed (<$100 invested)
Market Activity
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Outcome Probabilities
Up0%
Down100%
Smart Money Breakdown by Outcome
Down3 traders
Total Value$2.5K
Total Shares2,480
Combined PnL+$331.73
Up2 traders
Total Value$0
Total Shares172
Combined PnL-$105.03
Down — 60%Up — 40%
| Trader | Position | Invested | Value | PnL | Record |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Polkadot-Frog | Downavg 54.3¢ | $1.2K | $1.3K | +$176.5 | 64% 56876-31752 (88628) |
PE peepeepoopoo24 | Downavg 49.3¢ | $941.27 | $1.1K | +$131.46 | 57% 6436-4772 (11208) |
AN Anon455CTR | Upavg 49.9¢ | $102.33 | — | -$102.33 | 56% 2435-1897 (4332) |
PL ply-pm2<$100 | Downavg 49¢ | $40.47 | $64.24 | +$23.77 | 51% 6210-5891 (12101) |
DE devonpollCTR<$100 | Upavg 17¢ | $2.7 | — | -$2.7 | 51% 19457-18674 (38131) |
Polkadot-FrogInvested
$1,167
Value
$1.3K
PnL
+$176.5
Record
64%
56876-31752 (88628)
PE
peepeepoopoo24Invested
$941.27
Value
$1.1K
PnL
+$131.46
Record
57%
6436-4772 (11208)
AN
Anon455CTRInvested
$102.33
Value
—
PnL
-$102.33
Record
56%
2435-1897 (4332)
PL
ply-pm2<$100Invested
$40.47
Value
$64.24
PnL
+$23.77
Record
51%
6210-5891 (12101)
DE
devonpollCTR<$100Invested
$2.7
Value
—
PnL
-$2.7
Record
51%
19457-18674 (38131)
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Market Info
Condition ID
0x32ff4dbe...4de431
Slug
bitcoin-up-or-down-october-26-2026-9pm-et