Consensus Won ✓
Smart money consensus was Down — and it was correct. Winning outcome: Down
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 9AM ET
Resolved Down. 80% of the top Polymarket traders held Down. The smart money was right.
🏆
Won
10
Down 80%
$3.1K
$211.6
Smart Money Signal
8 of 10 top traders (80%)2 hold an outcome priced under 50%3 small positions dimmed (<$100 invested)
Outcome Probabilities
Smart Money Breakdown by Outcome
| Trader | Position | Invested | Value | PnL | Record |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
AN Anon455 | Downavg 67.6¢ | $649.48 | $922 | +$272.52 | 56% 2401-1880 (4281) |
PE peepeepoopoo24 | Downavg 81.4¢ | $593.27 | $701.17 | +$107.9 | 57% 6392-4749 (11141) |
MO mo-money | Downavg 87.8¢ | $403.87 | $459.74 | +$55.87 | 55% 48221-39204 (87425) |
BO Bonereaper | Downavg 88.5¢ | $365.72 | $359.78 | -$5.94 | 76% 70632-22093 (92725) |
AL almach | Downavg 89.5¢ | $268.5 | $300 | +$31.5 | 55% 46400-38134 (84534) |
BO bosona | Downavg 88¢ | $264 | $300 | +$36 | 56% 47363-37932 (85295) |
TH thismonthCTR | Upavg 31.6¢ | $309.57 | — | -$309.57 | 41% 556-814 (1370) |
PL ply-pm2<$100 | Downavg 60.5¢ | $28.72 | $41.79 | +$13.07 | 51% 6044-5707 (11751) |
BE beeemw<$100 | Downavg 80¢ | $5 | $6.25 | +$1.25 | 78% 248-69 (317) |
DE devonpollCTR<$100 | Upavg 3¢ | $1.35 | — | +$9 | 52% 17120-15945 (33065) |
Invested
$649.48
Value
$922
PnL
+$272.52
Record
56%
2401-1880 (4281)
Invested
$593.27
Value
$701.17
PnL
+$107.9
Record
57%
6392-4749 (11141)
Invested
$403.87
Value
$459.74
PnL
+$55.87
Record
55%
48221-39204 (87425)
Invested
$365.72
Value
$359.78
PnL
-$5.94
Record
76%
70632-22093 (92725)
Invested
$268.5
Value
$300
PnL
+$31.5
Record
55%
46400-38134 (84534)
Invested
$264
Value
$300
PnL
+$36
Record
56%
47363-37932 (85295)
Invested
$309.57
Value
—
PnL
-$309.57
Record
41%
556-814 (1370)
Invested
$28.72
Value
$41.79
PnL
+$13.07
Record
51%
6044-5707 (11751)
Invested
$5
Value
$6.25
PnL
+$1.25
Record
78%
248-69 (317)
Invested
$1.35
Value
—
PnL
+$9
Record
52%
17120-15945 (33065)
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