Consensus Won ✓
Smart money consensus was Down — and it was correct. Winning outcome: Down
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 4PM ET
Resolved Down. 91% of the top Polymarket traders held Down. The smart money was right.
🏆
Won
11
Down 91%
$3.8K
$911.16
Smart Money Signal
10 of 11 top traders (91%)1 holds an outcome priced under 50%4 small positions dimmed (<$100 invested)
Outcome Probabilities
Smart Money Breakdown by Outcome
| Trader | Position | Invested | Value | PnL | Record |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Polkadot-Frog | Downavg 68.1¢ | $701.87 | $937.18 | +$235.32 | 64% 56782-31663 (88445) |
0X 0xb55fa1296E6ec55D0cE53d93B9237389f11764d4-1777575277609 | Downavg 55.5¢ | $363.89 | $655.5 | +$291.61 | 69% 94938-43296 (138234) |
PE peepeepoopoo24 | Downavg 81.9¢ | $506.59 | $518.95 | +$12.36 | 57% 6425-4762 (11187) |
AN Anon455 | Downavg 68.7¢ | $558.35 | $558.35 | +$174.51 | 56% 2425-1891 (4316) |
MO mo-money | Downavg 84.8¢ | $350.1 | $410.16 | +$60.06 | 55% 48664-39554 (88218) |
AL almach | Downavg 83.8¢ | $311.6 | $371.68 | +$60.07 | 55% 46769-38466 (85235) |
BO bosona | Downavg 81.9¢ | $233.64 | $285.21 | +$51.57 | 56% 47800-38289 (86089) |
BO Bonereaper<$100 | Downavg 75¢ | $37.5 | $50 | +$12.5 | 66% 97323-49861 (147184) |
PL ply-pm2<$100 | Downavg 56.3¢ | $24.34 | $37.92 | +$13.58 | 51% 6161-5827 (11988) |
BE beeemw<$100 | Downavg 77¢ | $10 | $12.99 | +$2.99 | 78% 253-70 (323) |
DE devonpollCTR<$100 | Upavg 22.3¢ | $3.4 | — | -$3.4 | 51% 19411-18640 (38051) |
Polkadot-FrogInvested
$701.87
Value
$937.18
PnL
+$235.32
Record
64%
56782-31663 (88445)
Invested
$363.89
Value
$655.5
PnL
+$291.61
Record
69%
94938-43296 (138234)
Invested
$506.59
Value
$518.95
PnL
+$12.36
Record
57%
6425-4762 (11187)
Invested
$558.35
Value
$558.35
PnL
+$174.51
Record
56%
2425-1891 (4316)
Invested
$350.1
Value
$410.16
PnL
+$60.06
Record
55%
48664-39554 (88218)
Invested
$311.6
Value
$371.68
PnL
+$60.07
Record
55%
46769-38466 (85235)
Invested
$233.64
Value
$285.21
PnL
+$51.57
Record
56%
47800-38289 (86089)
Invested
$37.5
Value
$50
PnL
+$12.5
Record
66%
97323-49861 (147184)
Invested
$24.34
Value
$37.92
PnL
+$13.58
Record
51%
6161-5827 (11988)
Invested
$10
Value
$12.99
PnL
+$2.99
Record
78%
253-70 (323)
Invested
$3.4
Value
—
PnL
-$3.4
Record
51%
19411-18640 (38051)
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Market Info
Traders in this Market
Polkadot-Frog
Down — $937.18
0xb55fa1296E6ec55D0cE53d93B9237389f11764d4-1777575277609
Down — $655.5
peepeepoopoo24
Down — $518.95
Anon455
Down — $558.35
mo-money
Down — $410.16
almach
Down — $371.68
bosona
Down — $285.21
Bonereaper
Down — $50
ply-pm2
Down — $37.92
beeemw
Down — $12.99