Consensus Won β
Smart money consensus was Down β and it was correct. Winning outcome: Down

Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 3AM ET
Resolved Down. 75% of the top Polymarket traders held Down. The smart money was right.
π
Won
8
Down 75%
1 arb excluded
$1.8K
-$176.31
Smart Money Signal
6 of 8 top traders (75%)1 arbitrage trader dimmed2 hold an outcome priced under 50%5 small positions dimmed (<$100 invested)
Outcome Probabilities
Smart Money Breakdown by Outcome
| Trader | Position | Invested | Value | PnL | Record |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
PE peepeepoopoo24ARB<$100 | Downavg 77Β’ | $1.0K | $854.05 | -$177.7 | 58% 6311-4657 (10968) |
| β Down leg | Downavg 77Β’ | $657.46 | $854.05 | +$196.59 | |
| β Up leg | Upavg 39.6Β’ | $374.29 | β | -$374.29 | |
0X 0xb55fa1296E6ec55D0cE53d93B9237389f11764d4-1777575277609 | Downavg 80.7Β’ | $821.34 | $670.51 | -$150.82 | 90% 64816-7021 (71837) |
PL ply-pm2<$100 | Downavg 72Β’ | $60.17 | $66.32 | +$6.15 | 52% 5939-5562 (11501) |
AN Anon455CTR | Upavg 45.1Β’ | $115.06 | β | -$115.06 | 56% 2294-1805 (4099) |
BO Bonereaper | Downavg 61Β’ | $82.75 | $135.61 | +$52.86 | 74% 61575-21102 (82677) |
PB PBot-6<$100 | Downavg 50Β’ | $29.99 | $59.97 | +$29.99 | 59% 44281-30660 (74941) |
BE beeemw<$100 | Downavg 67Β’ | $5 | $7.46 | +$2.46 | 78% 245-69 (314) |
0X 0x502b532F55778c0985846Dc53a9bc71eB4F33b15-1761320484518<$100 | Downavg 50Β’ | $2 | $4 | +$2 | 58% 35008-25112 (60120) |
DE devonpollCTR<$100 | Upavg 9.8Β’ | $3.89 | β | -$3.89 | 52% 16869-15701 (32570) |
Invested
$1,031.75
Value
$854.05
PnL
-$177.7
Record
58%
6311-4657 (10968)
Both legs:
Invested
$821.34
Value
$670.51
PnL
-$150.82
Record
90%
64816-7021 (71837)
Invested
$60.17
Value
$66.32
PnL
+$6.15
Record
52%
5939-5562 (11501)
Invested
$115.06
Value
β
PnL
-$115.06
Record
56%
2294-1805 (4099)
Invested
$82.75
Value
$135.61
PnL
+$52.86
Record
74%
61575-21102 (82677)
Invested
$29.99
Value
$59.97
PnL
+$29.99
Record
59%
44281-30660 (74941)
Invested
$5
Value
$7.46
PnL
+$2.46
Record
78%
245-69 (314)
Invested
$2
Value
$4
PnL
+$2
Record
58%
35008-25112 (60120)
Invested
$3.89
Value
β
PnL
-$3.89
Record
52%
16869-15701 (32570)
Chat
Sign in with your wallet to post.
Market Info
Traders in this Market
peepeepoopoo24
ARBArbitrage β excluded
0xb55fa1296E6ec55D0cE53d93B9237389f11764d4-1777575277609
Down β $670.51
ply-pm2
Down β $66.32
Anon455
CTRUp β $0
Bonereaper
Down β $135.61
PBot-6
Down β $59.97
beeemw
Down β $7.46
0x502b532F55778c0985846Dc53a9bc71eB4F33b15-1761320484518
Down β $4
devonpoll
CTRUp β $0