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Consensus Won βœ“

Smart money consensus was Down β€” and it was correct. Winning outcome: Down

Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 3AM ET

Resolved Down. 75% of the top Polymarket traders held Down. The smart money was right.

RESOLVED

πŸ†

Won

Consensus Traders

8

Down 75%

1 arb excluded

Total Value

$1.8K

Combined PnL

-$176.31

Smart Money Signal

Down

6 of 8 top traders (75%)1 arbitrage trader dimmed2 hold an outcome priced under 50%5 small positions dimmed (<$100 invested)

Market Activity
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Outcome Probabilities

Up0%
Down100%

Smart Money Breakdown by Outcome

Down6 traders
Total Value$943.88
Total Shares944
Combined PnL-$57.36
Up2 traders
Total Value$0
Total Shares260
Combined PnL-$118.95
Down β€” 75%Up β€” 25%

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Market Info

Condition ID
0xf05881ce...c16c0c
Slug
bitcoin-up-or-down-october-26-2026-3am-et
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