Consensus Won ✓
Smart money consensus was Down — and it was correct. Winning outcome: Down
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 2AM ET
Resolved Down. 73% of the top Polymarket traders held Down. The smart money was right.
🏆
Won
11
Down 73%
$2.9K
$130.43
Smart Money Signal
8 of 11 top traders (73%)3 hold an outcome priced under 50%6 small positions dimmed (<$100 invested)
Outcome Probabilities
Smart Money Breakdown by Outcome
| Trader | Position | Invested | Value | PnL | Record |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Polkadot-Frog | Downavg 76.4¢ | $1.1K | $1.2K | +$132.46 | 84% 31418-5931 (37349) |
0X 0xb55fa1296E6ec55D0cE53d93B9237389f11764d4-1777575277609 | Downavg 69.4¢ | $772.68 | $859.02 | +$86.34 | 90% 64816-7021 (71837) |
PE peepeepoopoo24 | Downavg 75¢ | $406.86 | $414.2 | +$7.34 | 58% 6311-4657 (10968) |
AN Anon455 | Downavg 78.5¢ | $247.49 | $315.32 | +$67.83 | 56% 2294-1805 (4099) |
TH thismonthCTR | Upavg 11.9¢ | $130.28 | — | -$130.28 | 41% 526-769 (1295) |
 yen4u<$100 | Downavg 98.9¢ | $68.81 | $69.59 | +$0.78 | 84% 640-123 (763) |
FI fiankeeCTR<$100 | Upavg 50¢ | $62.25 | — | -$62.25 | 70% 379-161 (540) |
PL ply-pm2<$100 | Downavg 52¢ | $11.78 | $20.53 | +$8.75 | 52% 5939-5562 (11501) |
PB PBot-6<$100 | Downavg 51¢ | $15.72 | $30.82 | +$15.1 | 59% 44281-30660 (74941) |
DE devonpollCTR<$100 | Upavg 17.5¢ | $2.63 | — | -$2.63 | 52% 16869-15701 (32570) |
0X 0x502b532F55778c0985846Dc53a9bc71eB4F33b15-1761320484518<$100 | Downavg 50¢ | $7 | $14 | +$7 | 58% 35008-25112 (60120) |
Polkadot-FrogInvested
$1,051.43
Value
$1.2K
PnL
+$132.46
Record
84%
31418-5931 (37349)
Invested
$772.68
Value
$859.02
PnL
+$86.34
Record
90%
64816-7021 (71837)
Invested
$406.86
Value
$414.2
PnL
+$7.34
Record
58%
6311-4657 (10968)
Invested
$247.49
Value
$315.32
PnL
+$67.83
Record
56%
2294-1805 (4099)
Invested
$130.28
Value
—
PnL
-$130.28
Record
41%
526-769 (1295)
yen4u<$100Invested
$68.81
Value
$69.59
PnL
+$0.78
Record
84%
640-123 (763)
Invested
$62.25
Value
—
PnL
-$62.25
Record
70%
379-161 (540)
Invested
$11.78
Value
$20.53
PnL
+$8.75
Record
52%
5939-5562 (11501)
Invested
$15.72
Value
$30.82
PnL
+$15.1
Record
59%
44281-30660 (74941)
Invested
$2.63
Value
—
PnL
-$2.63
Record
52%
16869-15701 (32570)
Invested
$7
Value
$14
PnL
+$7
Record
58%
35008-25112 (60120)
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Market Info
Traders in this Market
Polkadot-Frog
Down — $1.2K
0xb55fa1296E6ec55D0cE53d93B9237389f11764d4-1777575277609
Down — $859.02
peepeepoopoo24
Down — $414.2
Anon455
Down — $315.32
thismonth
CTRUp — $0
yen4u
Down — $69.59
fiankee
CTRUp — $0
ply-pm2
Down — $20.53
PBot-6
Down — $30.82
devonpoll
CTRUp — $0