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Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 1AM ET

Positions of the top Polymarket traders in this market · ended Oct 26

Up50¢Down50¢Ended Mon, Oct 26, 2026View on Polymarket
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Consensus Traders

0

Total Value

$0

Combined PnL

$0

Market Activity
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Outcome Probabilities

Up50%
Down50%

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EV Calculator

Consensus % is how many tracked traders hold a side, not a win probability.

Break-even chance52.7%

50.0¢ price + 1.0¢ spread + 1.7¢ fee (Crypto 7%). Win more often than this and the bet pays.

Expected Value—
Expected ROIenter your estimate
Max Profit
+$89.58
Max Loss
-$100.00
Shares
189.6

A market order pays the taker fee and crosses the spread (assumed 1.0¢); a limit order pays no fee but may not fill. The fee category is a guess from the title.

Market Info

Condition ID
0xfd01ef52...d985f9
Slug
bitcoin-up-or-down-october-26-2026-1am-et

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