Consensus Won ✓
Smart money consensus was Down — and it was correct. Winning outcome: Down
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 10PM ET
Resolved Down. 75% of the top Polymarket traders held Down. The smart money was right.
🏆
Won
8
Down 86%
$2.9K
$99.75
Smart Money Signal
6 of 8 top traders (75%)2 hold an outcome priced under 50%4 small positions dimmed (<$100 invested)
Outcome Probabilities
Smart Money Breakdown by Outcome
| Trader | Position | Invested | Value | PnL | Record |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
0X 0xb55fa1296E6ec55D0cE53d93B9237389f11764d4-1777575277609 | Downavg 59.6¢ | $1.5K | $1.6K | +$67.14 | 68% 98262-46552 (144814) |
 Polkadot-Frog | Downavg 65.7¢ | $851.87 | $848.16 | -$3.71 | 64% 57093-31900 (88993) |
PE peepeepoopoo24 | Downavg 65.4¢ | $327.94 | $371.03 | +$43.09 | 57% 6441-4784 (11225) |
RA rabadabadoo | Downavg 74.6¢ | $943.54 | $69.84 | -$22.64 | 59% 21449-14698 (36147) |
PL ply-pm2<$100 | Downavg 63.6¢ | $46.6 | $62.47 | +$15.87 | 51% 6233-5908 (12141) |
AN Anon455<$100 | Downavg 88¢ | $35.2 | $40 | +$4.8 | 56% 2440-1906 (4346) |
BO BonereaperCTR<$100 | Upavg 40.1¢ | — | — | +$0 | 66% 98231-50697 (148928) |
DE devonpollCTR<$100 | Upavg 15.7¢ | $4.8 | — | -$4.8 | 51% 19496-18692 (38188) |
Invested
$1,490.12
Value
$1.6K
PnL
+$67.14
Record
68%
98262-46552 (144814)
Polkadot-FrogInvested
$851.87
Value
$848.16
PnL
-$3.71
Record
64%
57093-31900 (88993)
Invested
$327.94
Value
$371.03
PnL
+$43.09
Record
57%
6441-4784 (11225)
Invested
$943.54
Value
$69.84
PnL
-$22.64
Record
59%
21449-14698 (36147)
Invested
$46.6
Value
$62.47
PnL
+$15.87
Record
51%
6233-5908 (12141)
Invested
$35.2
Value
$40
PnL
+$4.8
Record
56%
2440-1906 (4346)
Invested
—
Value
—
PnL
+$0
Record
66%
98231-50697 (148928)
Invested
$4.8
Value
—
PnL
-$4.8
Record
51%
19496-18692 (38188)
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