Consensus Won β
Smart money consensus was Down β and it was correct. Winning outcome: Down

Bitcoin Up or Down - October 25, 9AM ET
Resolved Down. 86% of the top Polymarket traders held Down. The smart money was right.
π
Won
7
Down 86%
$3.9K
-$30.09
Smart Money Signal
6 of 7 top traders (86%)1 holds an outcome priced under 50%2 small positions dimmed (<$100 invested)
Outcome Probabilities
Smart Money Breakdown by Outcome
| Trader | Position | Invested | Value | PnL | Record |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
0X 0xb55fa1296E6ec55D0cE53d93B9237389f11764d4-1777575277609 | Downavg 72.8Β’ | $1.5K | $1.6K | +$101.06 | 87% 47232-6820 (54052) |
PE peepeepoopoo24 | Downavg 78.5Β’ | $1.3K | $1.2K | -$67.21 | 58% 6149-4513 (10662) |
![]() Polkadot-Frog | Downavg 83.8Β’ | $711.38 | $546.25 | -$165.13 | 83% 27973-5740 (33713) |
RA rabadabadoo | Downavg 72.7Β’ | $269.06 | $259.51 | -$9.55 | 59% 19613-13491 (33104) |
PB PBot-6 | Downavg 47Β’ | $82.25 | $175 | +$92.75 | 69% 27838-12318 (40156) |
PL ply-pm2<$100 | Downavg 61.8Β’ | $58.06 | $78.86 | +$20.79 | 52% 5670-5283 (10953) |
DE devonpollCTR<$100 | Upavg 18.3Β’ | $2.8 | β | -$2.8 | 52% 16000-14810 (30810) |
Invested
$1,499.41
Value
$1.6K
PnL
+$101.06
Record
87%
47232-6820 (54052)
Invested
$1,273.64
Value
$1.2K
PnL
-$67.21
Record
58%
6149-4513 (10662)
Polkadot-FrogInvested
$711.38
Value
$546.25
PnL
-$165.13
Record
83%
27973-5740 (33713)
Invested
$269.06
Value
$259.51
PnL
-$9.55
Record
59%
19613-13491 (33104)
Invested
$82.25
Value
$175
PnL
+$92.75
Record
69%
27838-12318 (40156)
Invested
$58.06
Value
$78.86
PnL
+$20.79
Record
52%
5670-5283 (10953)
Invested
$2.8
Value
β
PnL
-$2.8
Record
52%
16000-14810 (30810)
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