Consensus Won ✓
Smart money consensus was Down — and it was correct. Winning outcome: Down
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 25, 8AM ET
Resolved Down. 90% of the top Polymarket traders held Down. The smart money was right.
🏆
Won
10
Down 89%
$4.6K
$272.94
Smart Money Signal
9 of 10 top traders (90%)1 holds an outcome priced under 50%6 small positions dimmed (<$100 invested)
Outcome Probabilities
Smart Money Breakdown by Outcome
| Trader | Position | Invested | Value | PnL | Record |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Polkadot-Frog | Downavg 92.7¢ | $2.8K | $2.7K | -$89.87 | 83% 27963-5718 (33681) |
0X 0xb55fa1296E6ec55D0cE53d93B9237389f11764d4-1777575277609 | Downavg 72.3¢ | $649.38 | $891.34 | +$241.96 | 87% 47226-6809 (54035) |
PE peepeepoopoo24 | Downavg 79.2¢ | $504.1 | $580.63 | +$76.53 | 58% 6147-4510 (10657) |
RA rabadabadoo | Downavg 76.3¢ | $185.65 | $214.32 | +$28.67 | 59% 19577-13458 (33035) |
AL almach<$100 | Downavg 92.8¢ | $38.87 | $41.89 | +$3.02 | 55% 37841-30863 (68704) |
BO bosona<$100 | Downavg 94¢ | $35.72 | $38 | +$2.28 | 56% 39008-30270 (69278) |
MO mo-money<$100 | Downavg 94¢ | $35.72 | $38 | +$2.28 | 56% 41088-32484 (73572) |
PL ply-pm2<$100 | Downavg 55.2¢ | $15.09 | $24.37 | +$9.28 | 52% 5647-5267 (10914) |
DE devonpollCTR<$100 | Upavg 6¢ | $2.7 | — | -$1.2 | 52% 15985-14804 (30789) |
0X 0x502b532F55778c0985846Dc53a9bc71eB4F33b15-1761320484518<$100 | Downavg 87¢ | — | — | +$0 | 71% 20504-8371 (28875) |
Polkadot-FrogInvested
$2,836.86
Value
$2.7K
PnL
-$89.87
Record
83%
27963-5718 (33681)
Invested
$649.38
Value
$891.34
PnL
+$241.96
Record
87%
47226-6809 (54035)
Invested
$504.1
Value
$580.63
PnL
+$76.53
Record
58%
6147-4510 (10657)
Invested
$185.65
Value
$214.32
PnL
+$28.67
Record
59%
19577-13458 (33035)
Invested
$38.87
Value
$41.89
PnL
+$3.02
Record
55%
37841-30863 (68704)
Invested
$35.72
Value
$38
PnL
+$2.28
Record
56%
39008-30270 (69278)
Invested
$35.72
Value
$38
PnL
+$2.28
Record
56%
41088-32484 (73572)
Invested
$15.09
Value
$24.37
PnL
+$9.28
Record
52%
5647-5267 (10914)
Invested
$2.7
Value
—
PnL
-$1.2
Record
52%
15985-14804 (30789)
Invested
—
Value
—
PnL
+$0
Record
71%
20504-8371 (28875)
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Market Info
Traders in this Market
Polkadot-Frog
Down — $2.7K
0xb55fa1296E6ec55D0cE53d93B9237389f11764d4-1777575277609
Down — $891.34
peepeepoopoo24
Down — $580.63
rabadabadoo
Down — $214.32
almach
Down — $41.89
bosona
Down — $38
mo-money
Down — $38
ply-pm2
Down — $24.37
devonpoll
CTRUp — $0
0x502b532F55778c0985846Dc53a9bc71eB4F33b15-1761320484518
Down — $0