Resolution Proposed
A resolution has been proposed and is in the challenge window. Awaiting UMA oracle settlement.
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 25, 7PM ET
7 of 9 top Polymarket traders hold Down (78%) · Down at 100¢ · $14K held · awaiting resolution
⏳
Pending
9
Down 78%
1 arb excluded
$14.2K
$127.87
Smart Money Signal
7 of 9 top traders (78%)1 arbitrage trader dimmed2 hold an outcome priced under 50%4 small positions dimmed (<$100 invested)
Outcome Probabilities
Smart Money Breakdown by Outcome
| Trader | Position | Invested | Value | PnL | Record |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Polkadot-Frog | Downavg 94.2¢ | $7.7K | $7.3K | -$434.85 | 83% 28644-5849 (34493) |
0X 0xb55fa1296E6ec55D0cE53d93B9237389f11764d4-1777575277609 | Downavg 86¢ | $4.0K | $4.4K | +$437.7 | 88% 48486-6883 (55369) |
PE peepeepoopoo24 | Downavg 86.4¢ | $1.6K | $1.6K | +$57.97 | 58% 6165-4531 (10696) |
MO mo-money | Downavg 81.9¢ | $308.99 | $350.2 | +$41.21 | 56% 41427-32964 (74391) |
TH thismonthCTR | Upavg 37.4¢ | $210 | $188.22 | -$21.78 | 43% 480-642 (1122) |
RA rabadabadooARB<$100 | Downavg 56.7¢ | $156.41 | $162.69 | +$6.28 | 59% 19671-13549 (33220) |
| └ Down leg | Downavg 56.7¢ | $96.32 | $98.58 | +$2.26 | |
| └ Up leg | Upavg 43.1¢ | $60.09 | $64.12 | +$4.02 | |
PL ply-pm2<$100 | Downavg 70.3¢ | $56.5 | $69.21 | +$12.7 | 52% 5816-5446 (11262) |
BO bosona<$100 | Downavg 50.6¢ | $31.29 | $41.1 | +$9.81 | 56% 39680-30921 (70601) |
AL almach<$100 | Downavg 53.5¢ | $29.48 | $36.1 | +$6.62 | 55% 38516-31604 (70120) |
DE devonpollCTR<$100 | Upavg 6.5¢ | $4.05 | $10.68 | +$18.48 | 52% 16080-14866 (30946) |
Polkadot-FrogInvested
$7,732.56
Value
$7.3K
PnL
-$434.85
Record
83%
28644-5849 (34493)
Invested
$3,953.21
Value
$4.4K
PnL
+$437.7
Record
88%
48486-6883 (55369)
Invested
$1,583.1
Value
$1.6K
PnL
+$57.97
Record
58%
6165-4531 (10696)
Invested
$308.99
Value
$350.2
PnL
+$41.21
Record
56%
41427-32964 (74391)
Invested
$210
Value
$188.22
PnL
-$21.78
Record
43%
480-642 (1122)
Invested
$156.41
Value
$162.69
PnL
+$6.28
Record
59%
19671-13549 (33220)
Both legs:
Invested
$56.5
Value
$69.21
PnL
+$12.7
Record
52%
5816-5446 (11262)
Invested
$31.29
Value
$41.1
PnL
+$9.81
Record
56%
39680-30921 (70601)
Invested
$29.48
Value
$36.1
PnL
+$6.62
Record
55%
38516-31604 (70120)
Invested
$4.05
Value
$10.68
PnL
+$18.48
Record
52%
16080-14866 (30946)
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Market Info
Traders in this Market
Polkadot-Frog
Down — $7.3K
0xb55fa1296E6ec55D0cE53d93B9237389f11764d4-1777575277609
Down — $4.4K
peepeepoopoo24
Down — $1.6K
mo-money
Down — $350.2
thismonth
CTRUp — $188.22
rabadabadoo
ARBArbitrage — excluded
ply-pm2
Down — $69.21
bosona
Down — $41.1
almach
Down — $36.1
devonpoll
CTRUp — $10.68