Resolution Proposed
A resolution has been proposed and is in the challenge window. Awaiting UMA oracle settlement.
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 25, 3PM ET
9 of 10 top Polymarket traders hold Down (90%) · Down at 100¢ · $4K held · awaiting resolution
⏳
Pending
10
Down 90%
1 arb excluded
$3.6K
$442
Smart Money Signal
9 of 10 top traders (90%)1 arbitrage trader dimmed1 holds an outcome priced under 50%6 small positions dimmed (<$100 invested)
Outcome Probabilities
Smart Money Breakdown by Outcome
| Trader | Position | Invested | Value | PnL | Record |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
0X 0xb55fa1296E6ec55D0cE53d93B9237389f11764d4-1777575277609 | Downavg 64.3¢ | $2.0K | $2.4K | +$386.83 | 87% 47960-6864 (54824) |
PE peepeepoopoo24ARB<$100 | Downavg 60.4¢ | $380.25 | $439.67 | +$59.42 | 58% 6159-4524 (10683) |
| └ Down leg | Downavg 60.4¢ | $231.14 | $292.75 | +$61.61 | |
| └ Up leg | Upavg 23.8¢ | $149.11 | $146.92 | -$2.19 | |
RA rabadabadoo | Downavg 70¢ | $221.3 | $219.63 | -$1.67 | 59% 19664-13544 (33208) |
AN Anon455 | Downavg 70.5¢ | $161.72 | $175.46 | +$13.74 | 56% 2060-1620 (3680) |
 Polkadot-Frog | Downavg 50¢ | $150 | $150 | +$0 | 83% 28362-5805 (34167) |
MO mo-money<$100 | Downavg 55.9¢ | $37.81 | $51.71 | +$13.89 | 56% 41335-32814 (74149) |
PL ply-pm2<$100 | Downavg 53.9¢ | $35.96 | $50.91 | +$14.95 | 52% 5759-5374 (11133) |
AL almach<$100 | Downavg 45¢ | $38 | $29.45 | +$12.35 | 55% 38168-31242 (69410) |
BO bosona<$100 | Downavg 72¢ | $27.36 | $29.07 | +$1.71 | 56% 39355-30603 (69958) |
0X 0x502b532F55778c0985846Dc53a9bc71eB4F33b15-1761320484518<$100 | Downavg 76¢ | $13.93 | $14.03 | +$0.09 | 71% 20646-8447 (29093) |
DE devonpollCTR<$100 | Upavg 22.8¢ | $3.42 | $3.53 | +$0.11 | 52% 16054-14845 (30899) |
Invested
$2,000.08
Value
$2.4K
PnL
+$386.83
Record
87%
47960-6864 (54824)
Invested
$380.25
Value
$439.67
PnL
+$59.42
Record
58%
6159-4524 (10683)
Both legs:
Invested
$221.3
Value
$219.63
PnL
-$1.67
Record
59%
19664-13544 (33208)
Invested
$161.72
Value
$175.46
PnL
+$13.74
Record
56%
2060-1620 (3680)
Polkadot-FrogInvested
$150
Value
$150
PnL
+$0
Record
83%
28362-5805 (34167)
Invested
$37.81
Value
$51.71
PnL
+$13.89
Record
56%
41335-32814 (74149)
Invested
$35.96
Value
$50.91
PnL
+$14.95
Record
52%
5759-5374 (11133)
Invested
$38
Value
$29.45
PnL
+$12.35
Record
55%
38168-31242 (69410)
Invested
$27.36
Value
$29.07
PnL
+$1.71
Record
56%
39355-30603 (69958)
Invested
$13.93
Value
$14.03
PnL
+$0.09
Record
71%
20646-8447 (29093)
Invested
$3.42
Value
$3.53
PnL
+$0.11
Record
52%
16054-14845 (30899)
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Market Info
Traders in this Market
0xb55fa1296E6ec55D0cE53d93B9237389f11764d4-1777575277609
Down — $2.4K
peepeepoopoo24
ARBArbitrage — excluded
rabadabadoo
Down — $219.63
Anon455
Down — $175.46
Polkadot-Frog
Down — $150
mo-money
Down — $51.71
ply-pm2
Down — $50.91
almach
Down — $29.45
bosona
Down — $29.07
0x502b532F55778c0985846Dc53a9bc71eB4F33b15-1761320484518
Down — $14.03