Consensus Won ✓

Smart money consensus was Down — and it was correct. Winning outcome: Down

Bitcoin Up or Down - October 25, 2AM ET

Resolved Down. 83% of the top Polymarket traders held Down. The smart money was right.

RESOLVED

🏆

Won

Consensus Traders

Down 83%

1 arb excluded

Total Value

$5.6K

Combined PnL

-$88.72

Down

5 of 6 top traders (83%)1 arbitrage trader dimmed1 holds an outcome priced under 50%3 small positions dimmed (<$100 invested)

Market Activity

Up0%

Down100%

Down5 traders

Total Value$4.2K

Total Shares4,194

Combined PnL-$89.85

Up1 trader

Total Value$0

Total Shares31

Combined PnL+$1.13

Down — 83%Up — 17%

Trader	Position	Invested	Value	PnL	Record
0X 0xb55fa1296E6ec55D0cE53d93B9237389f11764d4-1777575277609	Downavg 59.9¢	$3.3K	$3.0K	-$314.7	86% 39944-6718 (46662)
Polkadot-FrogARB<$100	Downavg 64.3¢	$1.5K	$1.4K	-$115.91	82% 25791-5637 (31428)
└ Down leg	Downavg 64.3¢	$885.76	$1.4K	+$490.92
└ Up leg	Upavg 27.7¢	$606.84	—	-$606.84
PE peepeepoopoo24	Downavg 63.4¢	$853.59	$1.0K	+$173.46	58% 6067-4456 (10523)
PL ply-pm2<$100	Downavg 57.3¢	$61.73	$86.86	+$25.13	52% 5547-5155 (10702)
0X 0x502b532F55778c0985846Dc53a9bc71eB4F33b15-1761320484518	Downavg 75¢	$75	$100	+$25	70% 19712-8281 (27993)
DE devonpollCTR<$100	Upavg 19.1¢	$8.77	—	+$1.13	52% 15316-14141 (29457)
BO bosona<$100	Downavg 28¢	$0.49	$1.75	+$1.26	57% 34248-25643 (59891)