Resolution Proposed
A resolution has been proposed and is in the challenge window. Awaiting UMA oracle settlement.

Bitcoin Up or Down - October 25, 1PM ET
7 of 9 top Polymarket traders hold Up (78%) · Up at 0.1¢ · $7K held · awaiting resolution
⏳
Pending
9
Up 78%
3 arb excluded
$7.4K
-$31.94
Smart Money Signal
7 of 9 top traders (78%)3 arbitrage traders dimmed7 hold an outcome priced under 50%6 small positions dimmed (<$100 invested)
Outcome Probabilities
Smart Money Breakdown by Outcome
| Trader | Position | Invested | Value | PnL | Record |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
0X 0xb55fa1296E6ec55D0cE53d93B9237389f11764d4-1777575277609ARB<$100 | Downavg 62.6¢ | $4.8K | $4.1K | -$674.37 | 87% 47582-6858 (54440) |
| └ Down leg | Downavg 62.6¢ | $2.6K | $3.0K | +$405.96 | |
| └ Up leg | Upavg 52.7¢ | $2.3K | $1.2K | $-1.1K | |
![]() Polkadot-FrogARB<$100 | Upavg 61.1¢ | $1.5K | $1.6K | +$76.74 | 83% 28210-5788 (33998) |
| └ Down leg | Downavg 34.4¢ | $546.4 | $1.2K | +$604.2 | |
| └ Up leg | Upavg 61.1¢ | $959.08 | $431.62 | -$527.46 | |
PE peepeepoopoo24CTR | Upavg 54.8¢ | $888.95 | $931.71 | +$42.76 | 58% 6156-4519 (10675) |
PL ply-pm2ARB<$100 | Downavg 47.5¢ | $296.24 | $367.18 | +$70.95 | 52% 5732-5342 (11074) |
| └ Down leg | Downavg 47.5¢ | $176.8 | $269.72 | +$92.93 | |
| └ Up leg | Upavg 33.7¢ | $119.44 | $97.46 | -$21.98 | |
![]() BoneOhio | Downavg 99¢ | $257.35 | $258.65 | +$1.3 | 79% 54764-14368 (69132) |
AN Anon455CTR<$100 | Upavg 49.2¢ | $35.15 | $36.38 | +$1.23 | 56% 2044-1603 (3647) |
AL almachCTR<$100 | Upavg 47.3¢ | $28.22 | $29.02 | +$0.81 | 55% 38143-31228 (69371) |
MO mo-moneyCTR<$100 | Upavg 49¢ | $15.01 | $16.34 | +$1.33 | 56% 41323-32809 (74132) |
BO bosonaCTR<$100 | Upavg 39.5¢ | $15.01 | $16.34 | +$1.33 | 56% 39349-30597 (69946) |
DE devonpollCTR<$100 | Upavg 56.6¢ | $17.1 | $12.99 | -$4.11 | 52% 16033-14835 (30868) |
PB PBot-6<$100 | Downavg 50¢ | $11 | $12.54 | +$1.54 | 70% 28260-12370 (40630) |
RA rabadabadooCTR | Upavg 48.6¢ | $849.88 | $0.08 | -$78.13 | 59% 19634-13508 (33142) |
Invested
$4,813.5
Value
$4.1K
PnL
-$674.37
Record
87%
47582-6858 (54440)
Both legs:
Polkadot-FrogARB<$100Invested
$1,505.49
Value
$1.6K
PnL
+$76.74
Record
83%
28210-5788 (33998)
Both legs:
Invested
$888.95
Value
$931.71
PnL
+$42.76
Record
58%
6156-4519 (10675)
Invested
$296.24
Value
$367.18
PnL
+$70.95
Record
52%
5732-5342 (11074)
Both legs:
BoneOhioInvested
$257.35
Value
$258.65
PnL
+$1.3
Record
79%
54764-14368 (69132)
Invested
$35.15
Value
$36.38
PnL
+$1.23
Record
56%
2044-1603 (3647)
Invested
$28.22
Value
$29.02
PnL
+$0.81
Record
55%
38143-31228 (69371)
Invested
$15.01
Value
$16.34
PnL
+$1.33
Record
56%
41323-32809 (74132)
Invested
$15.01
Value
$16.34
PnL
+$1.33
Record
56%
39349-30597 (69946)
Invested
$17.1
Value
$12.99
PnL
-$4.11
Record
52%
16033-14835 (30868)
Invested
$11
Value
$12.54
PnL
+$1.54
Record
70%
28260-12370 (40630)
Invested
$849.88
Value
$0.08
PnL
-$78.13
Record
59%
19634-13508 (33142)
Chat
Sign in with your wallet to post.
Market Info
Traders in this Market
0xb55fa1296E6ec55D0cE53d93B9237389f11764d4-1777575277609
ARBArbitrage — excluded

Polkadot-Frog
ARBArbitrage — excluded
peepeepoopoo24
CTRUp — $931.71
ply-pm2
ARBArbitrage — excluded

BoneOhio
Down — $258.65
Anon455
CTRUp — $36.38
almach
CTRUp — $29.02
mo-money
CTRUp — $16.34
bosona
CTRUp — $16.34
devonpoll
CTRUp — $12.99