Consensus Won ✓
Smart money consensus was Down — and it was correct. Winning outcome: Down
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 25, 1AM ET
Resolved Down. 88% of the top Polymarket traders held Down. The smart money was right.
🏆
Won
8
Down 88%
$2.3K
-$75.42
Smart Money Signal
7 of 8 top traders (88%)1 holds an outcome priced under 50%4 small positions dimmed (<$100 invested)
Outcome Probabilities
Smart Money Breakdown by Outcome
| Trader | Position | Invested | Value | PnL | Record |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
0X 0xb55fa1296E6ec55D0cE53d93B9237389f11764d4-1777575277609 | Downavg 78.6¢ | $1.6K | $1.5K | -$103.5 | 85% 39312-6718 (46030) |
PE peepeepoopoo24 | Downavg 84¢ | $508.18 | $501.97 | -$6.21 | 58% 6067-4456 (10523) |
 Polkadot-Frog | Downavg 50¢ | $150 | $150 | +$0 | 82% 25320-5636 (30956) |
AN Anon455 | Downavg 66¢ | $100.91 | $100.91 | +$34.31 | 56% 1911-1514 (3425) |
PL ply-pm2<$100 | Downavg 53.1¢ | $30.25 | $46.57 | +$16.32 | 52% 5529-5134 (10663) |
MO mo-money<$100 | Downavg 87¢ | $27.55 | $20.93 | -$6.61 | 57% 35984-27141 (63125) |
AL almach<$100 | Downavg 87¢ | $15.57 | $11.53 | -$4.04 | 56% 33380-26146 (59526) |
DE devonpollCTR<$100 | Upavg 37.7¢ | $5.7 | — | -$5.7 | 52% 15309-14130 (29439) |
Invested
$1,577.2
Value
$1.5K
PnL
-$103.5
Record
85%
39312-6718 (46030)
Invested
$508.18
Value
$501.97
PnL
-$6.21
Record
58%
6067-4456 (10523)
Polkadot-FrogInvested
$150
Value
$150
PnL
+$0
Record
82%
25320-5636 (30956)
Invested
$100.91
Value
$100.91
PnL
+$34.31
Record
56%
1911-1514 (3425)
Invested
$30.25
Value
$46.57
PnL
+$16.32
Record
52%
5529-5134 (10663)
Invested
$27.55
Value
$20.93
PnL
-$6.61
Record
57%
35984-27141 (63125)
Invested
$15.57
Value
$11.53
PnL
-$4.04
Record
56%
33380-26146 (59526)
Invested
$5.7
Value
—
PnL
-$5.7
Record
52%
15309-14130 (29439)
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