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UpUpDownUpUp Trade on Polymarket
Consensus Won β
Smart money consensus was Up β and it was correct. Winning outcome: Up

Bitcoin Up or Down - October 25, 12AM ET
Resolved Up. 80% of the top Polymarket traders held Up. The smart money was right.
RESOLVED
π
Won
Consensus Traders
5
Up 67%
Total Value
$521.73
Combined PnL
-$42.96
Smart Money Signal
Up
4 of 5 top traders (80%)1 holds an outcome priced under 50%4 small positions dimmed (<$100 invested)
Market Activity
Loading chart dataβ¦
Outcome Probabilities
Up100%
Down0%
Smart Money Breakdown by Outcome
Up4 traders
Total Value$521.73
Total Shares522
Combined PnL-$9.51
Down1 trader
Total Value$0
Total Shares205
Combined PnL-$33.45
Up β 80%Down β 20%
| Trader | Position | Invested | Value | PnL | Record |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
PE peepeepoopoo24 | Upavg 81.3Β’ | $518.04 | $506.73 | -$11.31 | 58% 6067-4456 (10523) |
DE devonpoll<$100 | Upavg 88Β’ | $13.2 | $15 | +$1.8 | 52% 15309-14130 (29439) |
PL ply-pm2CTR<$100 | Downavg 16.3Β’ | $33.45 | β | -$33.45 | 52% 5529-5134 (10663) |
0X 0xb55fa1296E6ec55D0cE53d93B9237389f11764d4-1777575277609<$100 | Upavg 68.3Β’ | β | β | +$0 | 85% 39312-6718 (46030) |
AN Anon455<$100 | Upavg 68Β’ | β | β | +$0 | 56% 1911-1514 (3425) |
PE
peepeepoopoo24Invested
$518.04
Value
$506.73
PnL
-$11.31
Record
58%
6067-4456 (10523)
DE
devonpoll<$100Invested
$13.2
Value
$15
PnL
+$1.8
Record
52%
15309-14130 (29439)
PL
ply-pm2CTR<$100Invested
$33.45
Value
β
PnL
-$33.45
Record
52%
5529-5134 (10663)
0X
0xb55fa1296E6ec55D0cE53d93B9237389f11764d4-1777575277609<$100Invested
β
Value
β
PnL
+$0
Record
85%
39312-6718 (46030)
AN
Anon455<$100Invested
β
Value
β
PnL
+$0
Record
56%
1911-1514 (3425)
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Market Info
Condition ID
0xa93def9d...a85c30
Slug
bitcoin-up-or-down-october-25-2026-12am-et