Resolution Proposed
A resolution has been proposed and is in the challenge window. Awaiting UMA oracle settlement.
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 25, 11AM ET
7 of 9 top Polymarket traders hold Down (78%) · Down at 100¢ · $7K held · awaiting resolution
⏳
Pending
9
Down 78%
4 arb excluded
$7.3K
-$86.32
Smart Money Signal
7 of 9 top traders (78%)4 arbitrage traders dimmed2 hold an outcome priced under 50%7 small positions dimmed (<$100 invested)
Outcome Probabilities
Smart Money Breakdown by Outcome
| Trader | Position | Invested | Value | PnL | Record |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
0X 0xb55fa1296E6ec55D0cE53d93B9237389f11764d4-1777575277609ARB<$100 | Downavg 52.9¢ | $4.1K | $3.9K | -$130.64 | 87% 47520-6830 (54350) |
| └ Down leg | Downavg 52.9¢ | $2.1K | $3.0K | +$936.1 | |
| └ Up leg | Upavg 51¢ | $2.0K | $910.49 | $-1.1K | |
PE peepeepoopoo24ARB<$100 | Upavg 44.7¢ | $906.47 | $1.0K | +$123.7 | 58% 6152-4516 (10668) |
| └ Down leg | Downavg 39.6¢ | $351.22 | $527.1 | +$175.88 | |
| └ Up leg | Upavg 44.7¢ | $555.25 | $503.07 | -$52.18 | |
 Polkadot-FrogARB<$100 | Upavg 60.8¢ | $1.1K | $924.71 | -$168.71 | 83% 28170-5763 (33933) |
| └ Down leg | Downavg 57.9¢ | $538.13 | $664.61 | +$126.48 | |
| └ Up leg | Upavg 60.8¢ | $555.28 | $260.09 | -$295.19 | |
 BoneOhio | Downavg 99¢ | $872.69 | $877.1 | +$4.41 | 79% 54245-14071 (68316) |
BO bosonaARB<$100 | Downavg 74.3¢ | $178.37 | $136.82 | -$41.54 | 56% 39186-30359 (69545) |
| └ Down leg | Downavg 74.3¢ | $101.39 | $97.62 | -$3.77 | |
| └ Up leg | Upavg 56¢ | $76.98 | $39.2 | -$37.77 | |
FI fiankeeCTR | Upavg 50¢ | $192.45 | $109.7 | -$82.75 | 65% 291-155 (446) |
PL ply-pm2<$100 | Downavg 41.7¢ | $53.93 | $78.4 | +$24.47 | 52% 5692-5318 (11010) |
PB PBot-6<$100 | Downavg 49¢ | $97.13 | $73.34 | -$23.79 | 70% 28211-12350 (40561) |
MO mo-money<$100 | Downavg 70.1¢ | $58.01 | $55.05 | -$2.96 | 56% 41155-32532 (73687) |
AL almach<$100 | Downavg 72.8¢ | $73.95 | $54.04 | -$19.91 | 55% 37952-30970 (68922) |
0X 0x502b532F55778c0985846Dc53a9bc71eB4F33b15-1761320484518<$100 | Downavg 31¢ | $15.5 | $35.75 | +$20.25 | 71% 20584-8397 (28981) |
AN Anon455<$100 | Downavg 71.7¢ | $17.2 | $14.26 | -$2.94 | 56% 2033-1584 (3617) |
BE beeemwCTR<$100 | Upavg 75¢ | $5 | $1.9 | -$3.1 | 78% 239-68 (307) |
Invested
$4,072.69
Value
$3.9K
PnL
-$130.64
Record
87%
47520-6830 (54350)
Both legs:
Invested
$906.47
Value
$1.0K
PnL
+$123.7
Record
58%
6152-4516 (10668)
Both legs:
Polkadot-FrogARB<$100Invested
$1,093.41
Value
$924.71
PnL
-$168.71
Record
83%
28170-5763 (33933)
Both legs:
BoneOhioInvested
$872.69
Value
$877.1
PnL
+$4.41
Record
79%
54245-14071 (68316)
Invested
$178.37
Value
$136.82
PnL
-$41.54
Record
56%
39186-30359 (69545)
Both legs:
Invested
$192.45
Value
$109.7
PnL
-$82.75
Record
65%
291-155 (446)
Invested
$53.93
Value
$78.4
PnL
+$24.47
Record
52%
5692-5318 (11010)
Invested
$97.13
Value
$73.34
PnL
-$23.79
Record
70%
28211-12350 (40561)
Invested
$58.01
Value
$55.05
PnL
-$2.96
Record
56%
41155-32532 (73687)
Invested
$73.95
Value
$54.04
PnL
-$19.91
Record
55%
37952-30970 (68922)
Invested
$15.5
Value
$35.75
PnL
+$20.25
Record
71%
20584-8397 (28981)
Invested
$17.2
Value
$14.26
PnL
-$2.94
Record
56%
2033-1584 (3617)
Invested
$5
Value
$1.9
PnL
-$3.1
Record
78%
239-68 (307)
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Market Info
Traders in this Market
0xb55fa1296E6ec55D0cE53d93B9237389f11764d4-1777575277609
ARBArbitrage — excluded
peepeepoopoo24
ARBArbitrage — excluded
Polkadot-Frog
ARBArbitrage — excluded
BoneOhio
Down — $877.1
bosona
ARBArbitrage — excluded
fiankee
CTRUp — $109.7
ply-pm2
Down — $78.4
PBot-6
Down — $73.34
mo-money
Down — $55.05
almach
Down — $54.04