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Rex416Kvaratskhelia
crypto-basenjiCTR<$100DembéléDembélé
TimeTravelerCTR<$100Dembélé
IstarothCTR<$100Dembélé
2B9SCTR<$100Dembélé
Consensus Won ✓
Smart money consensus was Kvaratskhelia — and it was correct. Winning outcome: Kvaratskhelia
Ballon d'Or 2026: Ousmane Dembélé or Khvicha Kvaratskhelia to finish higher?
Resolved Kvaratskhelia. 17% of the top Polymarket traders held Kvaratskhelia. The smart money was right.
RESOLVED
🏆
Won
Consensus Traders
6
Kvaratskhelia 33%
Total Value
$150.84
Combined PnL
-$69.97
Smart Money Signal
Kvaratskhelia
1 of 6 top traders (17%)5 hold an outcome priced under 50%5 small positions dimmed (<$100 invested)
Market Activity
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Outcome Probabilities
Dembélé0%
Kvaratskhelia100%
Smart Money Breakdown by Outcome
Kvaratskhelia1 trader
Total Value$150.84
Total Shares151
Combined PnL+$0.42
Dembélé5 traders
Total Value$0
Total Shares232
Combined PnL-$70.38
Kvaratskhelia — 17%Dembélé — 83%
| Trader | Position | Invested | Value | PnL | Record |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Rex416 | Kvaratskheliaavg 99.7¢ | $150.84 | $150.84 | +$0.42 | 57% 2474-1837 (4311) |
crypto-basenjiCTR<$100 | Dembéléavg 24.8¢ | $28.34 | — | -$39.71 | 39% 161-253 (414) |
P1 P1kasoCTR<$100 | Dembéléavg 26¢ | $30.68 | — | -$30.68 | 63% 732-423 (1155) |
TimeTravelerCTR<$100 | Dembéléavg 27.8¢ | — | — | +$0 | 41% 1925-2728 (4653) |
IstarothCTR<$100 | Dembéléavg 39¢ | — | — | +$0 | 37% 273-472 (745) |
2B9SCTR<$100 | Dembéléavg 10¢ | — | — | +$0 | 18% 3740-16588 (20328) |
Rex416Invested
$150.84
Value
$150.84
PnL
+$0.42
Record
57%
2474-1837 (4311)
crypto-basenjiCTR<$100Invested
$28.34
Value
—
PnL
-$39.71
Record
39%
161-253 (414)
P1
P1kasoCTR<$100Invested
$30.68
Value
—
PnL
-$30.68
Record
63%
732-423 (1155)
TimeTravelerCTR<$100Invested
—
Value
—
PnL
+$0
Record
41%
1925-2728 (4653)
IstarothCTR<$100Invested
—
Value
—
PnL
+$0
Record
37%
273-472 (745)
2B9SCTR<$100Invested
—
Value
—
PnL
+$0
Record
18%
3740-16588 (20328)
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Market Info
Condition ID
0xc16c5b0b...571595
Slug
ballon-dor-2026-ousmane-dembele-or-khvicha-kvaratskhelia-to-finish-higher