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Yes
HRTrading<$100NoNoYesYes
Consensus Lost ✗
Smart money consensus was Yes — but No won instead.
Will Qarabag FK win on 2026-10-25?
Resolved No. 60% of the top Polymarket traders held Yes. The smart money was wrong.
RESOLVED
💀
Lost
Consensus Traders
5
Yes 50%
Total Value
$6
Combined PnL
-$28.2
Smart Money Signal
Yes
3 of 5 top traders (60%)3 hold an outcome priced under 50%5 small positions dimmed (<$100 invested)
Market Activity
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Outcome Probabilities
Yes0%
No100%
Smart Money Breakdown by Outcome
Yes3 traders
Total Value$0
Total Shares105
Combined PnL-$29.94
No2 traders
Total Value$6
Total Shares6
Combined PnL+$1.74
Yes — 60%No — 40%
| Trader | Position | Invested | Value | PnL | Record |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
BE BetzikoCTR<$100 | Yesavg 27.9¢ | $29.94 | — | -$29.94 | 55% 4880-4051 (8931) |
HRTrading<$100 | Noavg 71¢ | $4.26 | $6 | +$1.74 | 57% 1578-1171 (2749) |
UP UpTheBlues<$100 | Noavg 66.8¢ | — | — | +$0 | 67% 31285-15084 (46369) |
GO GoalLineGhostCTR<$100 | Yesavg 34.9¢ | — | — | +$0 | 52% 16365-14925 (31290) |
AR ARocky33CTR<$100 | Yesavg 24¢ | — | — | +$0 | 76% 3219-1030 (4249) |
BE
BetzikoCTR<$100Invested
$29.94
Value
—
PnL
-$29.94
Record
55%
4880-4051 (8931)
HRTrading<$100Invested
$4.26
Value
$6
PnL
+$1.74
Record
57%
1578-1171 (2749)
UP
UpTheBlues<$100Invested
—
Value
—
PnL
+$0
Record
67%
31285-15084 (46369)
GO
GoalLineGhostCTR<$100Invested
—
Value
—
PnL
+$0
Record
52%
16365-14925 (31290)
AR
ARocky33CTR<$100Invested
—
Value
—
PnL
+$0
Record
76%
3219-1030 (4249)
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Market Info
Condition ID
0xb0f09a65...4e13cd
Slug
aze1-sbh-qar-2026-10-25-qar