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Consensus Lost ✗
Smart money consensus was Federico Zeballos — but Miguel Tobon won instead.

Guayaquil: Miguel Tobon vs Federico Zeballos
Resolved Miguel Tobon. 60% of the top Polymarket traders held Federico Zeballos. The smart money was wrong.
RESOLVED
💀
Lost
Consensus Traders
5
Federico Zeballos 60%
Total Value
$5
Combined PnL
$0
Smart Money Signal
Federico Zeballos
3 of 5 top traders (60%)
Market Activity
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Outcome Probabilities
Miguel Tobon100%
Federico Zeballos0%
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Market Info
Condition ID
0xed3e31e2...871623
Slug
atp-tobon-zeballo-2026-10-25