Consensus Won ✓

Smart money consensus was Hiroki Moriya — and it was correct. Winning outcome: Hiroki Moriya

Ningbo: Hiroki Moriya vs Taisei Ichikawa

Resolved Hiroki Moriya. 50% of the top Polymarket traders held Hiroki Moriya. The smart money was right.

RESOLVED

🏆

Won

Consensus Traders

Hiroki Moriya 75%

Total Value

$295.88

Combined PnL

$42.75

Hiroki Moriya

4 of 8 top traders (50%)4 hold an outcome priced under 50%6 small positions dimmed (<$100 invested)

Market Activity

Hiroki Moriya100%

Taisei Ichikawa0%

Hiroki Moriya4 traders

Total Value$295.88

Total Shares296

Combined PnL+$43.54

Taisei Ichikawa4 traders

Total Value$0

Total Shares16

Combined PnL-$0.79

Hiroki Moriya — 50%Taisei Ichikawa — 50%

Trader	Position	Invested	Value	PnL	Record
BI BillBenter2026	Hiroki Moriyaavg 81.5¢	$152	$152	+$28.05	58% 16108-11762 (27870)
EF efntrick	Hiroki Moriyaavg 83¢	$154.21	$128.88	+$17.25	48% 3455-3715 (7170)
0xheavy888<$100	Hiroki Moriyaavg 70¢	$10.5	$15	+$3.75	56% 6332-5072 (11404)
LE LeLynxMalynxCTR<$100	Taisei Ichikawaavg 31¢	$0.79	—	-$0.79	54% 13750-11556 (25306)
UP UpTheBluesCTR<$100	Taisei Ichikawaavg 29¢	—	—	+$0	68% 30977-14876 (45853)
TRCMCTR<$100	Taisei Ichikawaavg 6¢	—	—	+$0	57% 3638-2692 (6330)
TH thestingsnake<$100	Hiroki Moriyaavg 90.7¢	$12.23	—	-$5.5	60% 3519-2392 (5911)
0X 0xD9E0AACa471f48F91A26E8669A805f2CTR<$100	Taisei Ichikawaavg 21¢	—	—	+$0	53% 12198-10936 (23134)