Seoul: Christian Langmo vs Sanhui Shin

4 of 9 top Polymarket traders hold Christian Langmo (44%) · Christian Langmo at 56¢ · $2K held · ends Nov 2

Christian Langmo56¢Sanhui Shin44¢Ends Mon, Nov 2, 2026View on Polymarket

SIGNAL

⚖️

Neutral

Christian Langmo

Consensus Traders

Christian Langmo 44%

1 arb excluded

Total Value

$2.2K

Combined PnL

-$39.44

Smart Money Entry

77.5¢ → 56.5¢

-27% since entry · 4 traders

Research grade

NeutralChristian Langmo at 56%

No measured edge either way. The plain consensus (5+ holders, 60 %+, held to resolution) lost −4.8 % a trade after costs (n 10,051, 95 % CI −6.5 to −3.1 %).

Consensus under 60 %Every backtest started at 60 %+ of the holders; below that nothing was measured.
Side priced 50–60¢0.50–0.70 lost −3.2 % a trade pooled (n 3,834).

Backtest of Oct 22 2026: one entry per market, held to resolution, after a 1¢ half-spread and Polymarket's taker fees. The grade never goes above “Research candidate”: no rule passed the multiple-testing check. It is not a forecast and not advice.

Smart Money Signal

Christian Langmo

4 of 9 top traders (44%)1 arbitrage trader dimmed5 hold an outcome priced under 50%7 small positions dimmed (<$100 invested)

Market Activity

Outcome Probabilities

Christian Langmo56%

Sanhui Shin44%

Smart Money Breakdown by Outcome

Sanhui Shin5 traders

Total Value$467.53

Total Shares1,127

Combined PnL+$71.14

Christian Langmo4 traders

Total Value$365.18

Total Shares599

Combined PnL-$110.58

Sanhui Shin — 56%Christian Langmo — 44%

Trader	Position	Invested	Value	PnL	Record
HO HomeRunHazardARB<$100	Christian Langmoavg 74.4¢	$1.2K	$1.3K	+$143.47	55% 14758-12309 (27067)
└ Christian Langmo leg	Christian Langmoavg 74.4¢	$932.83	$733.3	-$199.53
└ Sanhui Shin leg	Sanhui Shinavg 17.7¢	$254.88	$597.87	+$342.99
LI LilybaeumCTR	Sanhui Shinavg 35.1¢	$237.66	$281.29	+$43.63	62% 13301-8165 (21466)
TH thestingsnake	Christian Langmoavg 86.5¢	$336.9	$224.84	-$109.01	60% 3737-2531 (6268)
SH shiifoo<$100	Christian Langmoavg 65¢	$87.71	$78.94	-$8.77	60% 2895-1934 (4829)
OM omnibus-076daaCTR<$100	Sanhui Shinavg 41¢	$65.6	$66.4	+$0.8	49% 17082-17463 (34545)
TRCMCTR<$100	Sanhui Shinavg 15¢	$15	$41.5	+$26.5	56% 3845-3077 (6922)
UP UpTheBluesCTR<$100	Sanhui Shinavg 43.8¢	$41.82	$39.63	-$2.19	60% 39473-26004 (65477)
LE LeLynxMalynxCTR<$100	Sanhui Shinavg 38.9¢	$36.31	$38.7	+$2.39	57% 23972-18438 (42410)
EF efntrick<$100	Christian Langmoavg 48.9¢	$29.63	$37.65	+$8.03	48% 3551-3797 (7348)
HRTrading<$100	Christian Langmoavg 60.5¢	$24.58	$23.75	-$0.83	55% 2064-1680 (3744)

HomeRunHazardARB<$100

Christian Langmo

Invested

$1,187.71

Value

$1.3K

PnL

+$143.47

Record

55%

14758-12309 (27067)

Both legs:

Christian Langmo$932.8374.4¢-$199.53

Sanhui Shin$254.8817.7¢+$342.99

LilybaeumCTR

Sanhui Shin

Invested

$237.66

Value

$281.29

PnL

+$43.63

Record

62%

13301-8165 (21466)

thestingsnake

Christian Langmo

Invested

$336.9

Value

$224.84

PnL

-$109.01

Record

60%

3737-2531 (6268)

shiifoo<$100

Christian Langmo

Invested

$87.71

Value

$78.94

PnL

-$8.77

Record

60%

2895-1934 (4829)

omnibus-076daaCTR<$100

Sanhui Shin

Invested

$65.6

Value

$66.4

PnL

+$0.8

Record

49%

17082-17463 (34545)

TRCMCTR<$100

Sanhui Shin

Invested

$15

Value

$41.5

PnL

+$26.5

Record

56%

3845-3077 (6922)

UpTheBluesCTR<$100

Sanhui Shin

Invested

$41.82

Value

$39.63

PnL

-$2.19

Record

60%

39473-26004 (65477)

LeLynxMalynxCTR<$100

Sanhui Shin

Invested

$36.31

Value

$38.7

PnL

+$2.39

Record

57%

23972-18438 (42410)

efntrick<$100

Christian Langmo

Invested

$29.63

Value

$37.65

PnL

+$8.03

Record

48%

3551-3797 (7348)

HRTrading<$100

Christian Langmo

Invested

$24.58

Value

$23.75

PnL

-$0.83

Record

55%

2064-1680 (3744)

Research grade

NeutralChristian Langmo at 56%

No measured edge either way. The plain consensus (5+ holders, 60 %+, held to resolution) lost −4.8 % a trade after costs (n 10,051, 95 % CI −6.5 to −3.1 %).

Consensus under 60 %Every backtest started at 60 %+ of the holders; below that nothing was measured.
Side priced 50–60¢0.50–0.70 lost −3.2 % a trade pooled (n 3,834).

Smart Money Signal

Christian Langmo

4 of 9 top traders (44%)1 arbitrage trader dimmed5 hold an outcome priced under 50%7 small positions dimmed (<$100 invested)

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EV Calculator

Your estimated chance that Christian Langmo wins (%)

Consensus % is how many tracked traders hold a side, not a win probability.

Stake (USDC)

Break-even chance58.7%

56.5¢ price + 1.0¢ spread + 1.2¢ fee (Sports 5%). Win more often than this and the bet pays.

Expected Value—

Expected ROIenter your estimate

Max Profit

+$70.29

Max Loss

-$100.00

170.3

A market order pays the taker fee and crosses the spread (assumed 1.0¢); a limit order pays no fee but may not fill. The fee category is a guess from the title.