Seoul: Yuta Kikuchi vs Dimitris Sakellaridis

9 of 15 top Polymarket traders hold Yuta Kikuchi (60%) · Yuta Kikuchi at 100¢ · $14K held · ends Nov 1

Yuta Kikuchi>99¢Dimitris Sakellaridis<1¢Ends Sun, Nov 1, 2026View on Polymarket

SIGNAL

⚖️

Neutral

Yuta Kikuchi

Consensus Traders

Yuta Kikuchi 60%

1 arb excluded

Total Value

$13.9K

Combined PnL

$-2.9K

Smart Money Entry

59.3¢ → 100¢

+69% since entry · 9 traders

Research grade

NeutralYuta Kikuchi at 100%

No measured edge either way. The plain consensus (5+ holders, 60 %+, held to resolution) lost −4.8 % a trade after costs (n 10,051, 95 % CI −6.5 to −3.1 %).

Side priced over 95¢0.90–0.99 was −0.2 % a trade (n 4,210); above 95¢ little is left to win and the backtests' bands stop at 0.95.

Backtest of Oct 22 2026: one entry per market, held to resolution, after a 1¢ half-spread and Polymarket's taker fees. The grade never goes above “Research candidate”: no rule passed the multiple-testing check. It is not a forecast and not advice.

Smart Money Signal

Yuta Kikuchi

9 of 15 top traders (60%)1 arbitrage trader dimmed6 hold an outcome priced under 50%4 small positions dimmed (<$100 invested)

Market Activity

Outcome Probabilities

Yuta Kikuchi100%

Dimitris Sakellaridis0%

Smart Money Breakdown by Outcome

Yuta Kikuchi9 traders

Total Value$7.5K

Total Shares12,521

Combined PnL$-4.0K

Dimitris Sakellaridis6 traders

Total Value$5.7K

Total Shares6,588

Combined PnL+$1.1K

Yuta Kikuchi — 60%Dimitris Sakellaridis — 40%

Trader	Position	Invested	Value	PnL	Record
UP UpTheBlues	Yuta Kikuchiavg 54.4¢	$9.6K	$7.1K	$-2.5K	68% 30977-14876 (45853)
BA BaltazarGombkaCTR	Dimitris Sakellaridisavg 48¢	$1.2K	$2.1K	+$942.25	67% 275-134 (409)
EF efntrickCTR	Dimitris Sakellaridisavg 63.1¢	$1.3K	$1.7K	-$96.42	48% 3455-3715 (7170)
HO HomeRunHazardCTR	Dimitris Sakellaridisavg 73.5¢	$776.58	$919.54	+$142.96	55% 11947-9845 (21792)
0X 0x746295855BE6F49fE2DA2AcCD69eA34b3Cf23Ac3-1762436472554ARB<$100	Dimitris Sakellaridisavg 60¢	$576.53	$711.53	+$890.14	53% 2364-2105 (4469)
└ Dimitris Sakellaridis leg	Dimitris Sakellaridisavg 60¢	$300	$435	+$135
└ Yuta Kikuchi leg	Yuta Kikuchiavg 13¢	$276.53	$276.53	+$755.14
0X 0xD9E0AACa471f48F91A26E8669A805f2CTR	Dimitris Sakellaridisavg 75.7¢	$573.85	$659.66	+$85.81	53% 12198-10936 (23134)
tradecraftCTR	Dimitris Sakellaridisavg 54¢	$419.15	$224.16	-$22.49	52% 5500-5106 (10606)
c4acap	Yuta Kikuchiavg 99¢	$1.5K	$195.64	$-1.3K	98% 2141-35 (2176)
TH thestingsnakeCTR	Dimitris Sakellaridisavg 57.1¢	$180.77	$117.45	+$37.57	60% 3519-2392 (5911)
0X 0x84e01e855165C5d56DE153c96DCC3B9bCe727F3D-1782704499041	Yuta Kikuchiavg 44.4¢	$475	$74.02	-$105.98	59% 162-111 (273)
BI BillBenter2026	Yuta Kikuchiavg 78.6¢	$158.72	$65.08	-$59.73	58% 16108-11762 (27870)
noosh3	Yuta Kikuchiavg 43.8¢	$190.45	$30.07	-$40.53	52% 179-167 (346)
0X 0x1111111111<$100	Yuta Kikuchiavg 57¢	$47.85	$14.27	-$33.58	64% 1581-906 (2487)
HRTrading<$100	Yuta Kikuchiavg 53.8¢	$16.39	$14.11	-$2.28	58% 1429-1045 (2474)
RN1<$100	Yuta Kikuchiavg 18.6¢	$6.43	$4.48	-$1.95	55% 43396-35692 (79088)
GH ghostorder<$100	Yuta Kikuchiavg 10¢	$1.11	$1.44	+$0.33	68% 3928-1879 (5807)

UpTheBlues

Yuta Kikuchi

Invested

$9,592.97

Value

$7.1K

PnL

$-2.5K

Record

68%

30977-14876 (45853)

BaltazarGombkaCTR

Dimitris Sakellaridis

Invested

$1,160.05

Value

$2.1K

PnL

+$942.25

Record

67%

275-134 (409)

efntrickCTR

Dimitris Sakellaridis

Invested

$1,320.13

Value

$1.7K

PnL

-$96.42

Record

48%

3455-3715 (7170)

HomeRunHazardCTR

Dimitris Sakellaridis

Invested

$776.58

Value

$919.54

PnL

+$142.96

Record

55%

11947-9845 (21792)

0x746295855BE6F49fE2DA2AcCD69eA34b3Cf23Ac3-1762436472554ARB<$100

Dimitris Sakellaridis

Invested

$576.53

Value

$711.53

PnL

+$890.14

Record

53%

2364-2105 (4469)

Both legs:

Dimitris Sakellaridis$30060¢+$135

Yuta Kikuchi$276.5313¢+$755.14

0xD9E0AACa471f48F91A26E8669A805f2CTR

Dimitris Sakellaridis

Invested

$573.85

Value

$659.66

PnL

+$85.81

Record

53%

12198-10936 (23134)

tradecraftCTR

Dimitris Sakellaridis

Invested

$419.15

Value

$224.16

PnL

-$22.49

Record

52%

5500-5106 (10606)

c4acap

Yuta Kikuchi

Invested

$1,489.84

Value

$195.64

PnL

$-1.3K

Record

98%

2141-35 (2176)

thestingsnakeCTR

Dimitris Sakellaridis

Invested

$180.77

Value

$117.45

PnL

+$37.57

Record

60%

3519-2392 (5911)

0x84e01e855165C5d56DE153c96DCC3B9bCe727F3D-1782704499041

Yuta Kikuchi

Invested

$475

Value

$74.02

PnL

-$105.98

Record

59%

162-111 (273)

BillBenter2026

Yuta Kikuchi

Invested

$158.72

Value

$65.08

PnL

-$59.73

Record

58%

16108-11762 (27870)

noosh3

Yuta Kikuchi

Invested

$190.45

Value

$30.07

PnL

-$40.53

Record

52%

179-167 (346)

0x1111111111<$100

Yuta Kikuchi

Invested

$47.85

Value

$14.27

PnL

-$33.58

Record

64%

1581-906 (2487)

HRTrading<$100

Yuta Kikuchi

Invested

$16.39

Value

$14.11

PnL

-$2.28

Record

58%

1429-1045 (2474)

RN1<$100

Yuta Kikuchi

Invested

$6.43

Value

$4.48

PnL

-$1.95

Record

55%

43396-35692 (79088)

ghostorder<$100

Yuta Kikuchi

Invested

$1.11

Value

$1.44

PnL

+$0.33

Record

68%

3928-1879 (5807)

Research grade

NeutralYuta Kikuchi at 100%

No measured edge either way. The plain consensus (5+ holders, 60 %+, held to resolution) lost −4.8 % a trade after costs (n 10,051, 95 % CI −6.5 to −3.1 %).

Side priced over 95¢0.90–0.99 was −0.2 % a trade (n 4,210); above 95¢ little is left to win and the backtests' bands stop at 0.95.

Smart Money Signal

Yuta Kikuchi

9 of 15 top traders (60%)1 arbitrage trader dimmed6 hold an outcome priced under 50%4 small positions dimmed (<$100 invested)

Chat

EV Calculator

Your estimated chance that Yuta Kikuchi wins (%)

Consensus % is how many tracked traders hold a side, not a win probability.

Stake (USDC)

Break-even chance99.9%

100.0¢ price + 1.0¢ spread + 0.0¢ fee (Sports 5%). Win more often than this and the bet pays.

Expected Value—

Expected ROIenter your estimate

Max Profit

+$0.10

Max Loss

-$100.00

100.1

A market order pays the taker fee and crosses the spread (assumed 1.0¢); a limit order pays no fee but may not fill. The fee category is a guess from the title.