Seoul: Omar Jasika vs Yuta Kikuchi

8 of 10 top Polymarket traders hold Omar Jasika (80%) · Omar Jasika at 100¢ · $10K held · ends Nov 2

Omar Jasika>99¢Yuta Kikuchi<1¢Ends Mon, Nov 2, 2026View on Polymarket

SIGNAL

⚖️

Neutral

Omar Jasika

Consensus Traders

Omar Jasika 80%

Total Value

$10.5K

Combined PnL

$122.95

Smart Money Entry

91.1¢ → 100¢

+10% since entry · 8 traders

Research grade

NeutralOmar Jasika at 100%

No measured edge either way. The plain consensus (5+ holders, 60 %+, held to resolution) lost −4.8 % a trade after costs (n 10,051, 95 % CI −6.5 to −3.1 %).

Side priced over 95¢0.90–0.99 was −0.2 % a trade (n 4,210); above 95¢ little is left to win and the backtests' bands stop at 0.95.

Backtest of Oct 22 2026: one entry per market, held to resolution, after a 1¢ half-spread and Polymarket's taker fees. The grade never goes above “Research candidate”: no rule passed the multiple-testing check. It is not a forecast and not advice.

Smart Money Signal

Omar Jasika

8 of 10 top traders (80%)2 hold an outcome priced under 50%3 small positions dimmed (<$100 invested)

Market Activity

Outcome Probabilities

Omar Jasika100%

Yuta Kikuchi0%

Smart Money Breakdown by Outcome

Omar Jasika8 traders

Total Value$10.4K

Total Shares10,976

Combined PnL+$122.46

Yuta Kikuchi2 traders

Total Value$98.36

Total Shares1,081

Combined PnL+$0.49

Omar Jasika — 80%Yuta Kikuchi — 20%

Trader	Position	Invested	Value	PnL	Record
UP UpTheBlues	Omar Jasikaavg 88.8¢	$4.2K	$4.4K	+$283.11	60% 39473-26004 (65477)
HO HomeRunHazard	Omar Jasikaavg 92.6¢	$2.5K	$2.5K	-$37.17	55% 14758-12309 (27067)
RN1	Omar Jasikaavg 94.1¢	$2.2K	$2.2K	-$37.64	54% 50820-42775 (93595)
TRCM	Omar Jasikaavg 93¢	$687.59	$628.44	-$59.15	56% 3845-3077 (6922)
TH thestingsnake	Omar Jasikaavg 87.8¢	$451.94	$415.87	-$28.35	60% 3737-2531 (6268)
EF efntrick	Omar Jasikaavg 92.8¢	$192.95	$197.59	+$4.64	48% 3551-3797 (7348)
0X 0xD9E0AACa471f48F91A26E8669A805f2CTR	Yuta Kikuchiavg 10.5¢	$121.76	$95.17	-$26.59	53% 12837-11424 (24261)
HRTrading<$100	Omar Jasikaavg 89.4¢	$21.46	$19.43	-$2.03	55% 2064-1680 (3744)
PA pauleta23<$100	Omar Jasikaavg 94¢	$10	$9.04	-$0.96	71% 20000-8116 (28116)
SC SchruteBucksCTR<$100	Yuta Kikuchiavg 6¢	$24	$3.2	+$27.08	56% 1753-1371 (3124)

UpTheBlues

Omar Jasika

Invested

$4,151.27

Value

$4.4K

PnL

+$283.11

Record

60%

39473-26004 (65477)

HomeRunHazard

Omar Jasika

Invested

$2,538.57

Value

$2.5K

PnL

-$37.17

Record

55%

14758-12309 (27067)

RN1

Omar Jasika

Invested

$2,199.54

Value

$2.2K

PnL

-$37.64

Record

54%

50820-42775 (93595)

TRCM

Omar Jasika

Invested

$687.59

Value

$628.44

PnL

-$59.15

Record

56%

3845-3077 (6922)

thestingsnake

Omar Jasika

Invested

$451.94

Value

$415.87

PnL

-$28.35

Record

60%

3737-2531 (6268)

efntrick

Omar Jasika

Invested

$192.95

Value

$197.59

PnL

+$4.64

Record

48%

3551-3797 (7348)

0xD9E0AACa471f48F91A26E8669A805f2CTR

Yuta Kikuchi

Invested

$121.76

Value

$95.17

PnL

-$26.59

Record

53%

12837-11424 (24261)

HRTrading<$100

Omar Jasika

Invested

$21.46

Value

$19.43

PnL

-$2.03

Record

55%

2064-1680 (3744)

pauleta23<$100

Omar Jasika

Invested

$10

Value

$9.04

PnL

-$0.96

Record

71%

20000-8116 (28116)

SchruteBucksCTR<$100

Yuta Kikuchi

Invested

$24

Value

$3.2

PnL

+$27.08

Record

56%

1753-1371 (3124)

Research grade

NeutralOmar Jasika at 100%

No measured edge either way. The plain consensus (5+ holders, 60 %+, held to resolution) lost −4.8 % a trade after costs (n 10,051, 95 % CI −6.5 to −3.1 %).

Side priced over 95¢0.90–0.99 was −0.2 % a trade (n 4,210); above 95¢ little is left to win and the backtests' bands stop at 0.95.

Smart Money Signal

Omar Jasika

8 of 10 top traders (80%)2 hold an outcome priced under 50%3 small positions dimmed (<$100 invested)

Chat

EV Calculator

Your estimated chance that Omar Jasika wins (%)

Consensus % is how many tracked traders hold a side, not a win probability.

Stake (USDC)

Break-even chance99.9%

100.0¢ price + 1.0¢ spread + 0.0¢ fee (Sports 5%). Win more often than this and the bet pays.

Expected Value—

Expected ROIenter your estimate

Max Profit

+$0.10

Max Loss

-$100.00

100.1

A market order pays the taker fee and crosses the spread (assumed 1.0¢); a limit order pays no fee but may not fill. The fee category is a guess from the title.