Consensus Won ✓
Smart money consensus was Nuno Borges — and it was correct. Winning outcome: Nuno Borges
Swiss Indoors Basel: Mika Brunold vs Nuno Borges
Resolved Nuno Borges. 77% of the top Polymarket traders held Nuno Borges. The smart money was right.
🏆
Won
22
Nuno Borges 84%
1 arb excluded
$55.4K
$-2.2K
Smart Money Signal
17 of 22 top traders (77%)1 arbitrage trader dimmed5 hold an outcome priced under 50%9 small positions dimmed (<$100 invested)
Outcome Probabilities
Smart Money Breakdown by Outcome
| Trader | Position | Invested | Value | PnL | Record |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
MO Momo63 | Nuno Borgesavg 97.8¢ | $16.7K | $17.1K | +$380.1 | 93% 762-57 (819) |
UP UpTheBlues | Nuno Borgesavg 70.7¢ | $13.7K | $12.6K | $-1.1K | 60% 39756-26331 (66087) |
HO HomeRunHazard | Nuno Borgesavg 71.4¢ | $6.4K | $6.3K | -$117.23 | 54% 15300-12775 (28075) |
 RN1 | Nuno Borgesavg 98.4¢ | $5.6K | $5.6K | +$22.19 | 54% 51398-43356 (94754) |
PA Paul973973 | Nuno Borgesavg 97¢ | $3.4K | $3.5K | +$106.33 | 89% 839-103 (942) |
EF efntrick | Nuno Borgesavg 60.7¢ | $2.6K | $2.8K | +$165.75 | 48% 3562-3815 (7377) |
MI MilesY | Nuno Borgesavg 93¢ | $5.0K | $2.5K | $-2.2K | 57% 572-424 (996) |
0X 0xD9E0AACa471f48F91A26E8669A805f2 | Nuno Borgesavg 58.9¢ | $1.5K | $1.5K | +$12.29 | 53% 13155-11641 (24796) |
0X 0x760907C8840491c8C86fdDB843D3f1d801786C4e-1771959662080CTR | Mika Brunoldavg 25¢ | $500 | — | -$500 | 51% 1101-1057 (2158) |
K5 k56 | Nuno Borgesavg 65.4¢ | $1.2K | $1.9K | +$660.11 | 58% 880-649 (1529) |
TH thestingsnake | Nuno Borgesavg 68.8¢ | $512.3 | $717.04 | +$204.73 | 60% 3792-2562 (6354) |
1L 1lovejump | Nuno Borgesavg 75.6¢ | $3.2K | $522.11 | +$128.35 | 52% 541-494 (1035) |
 0xheavy888 | Nuno Borgesavg 67¢ | $112.56 | $168 | +$55.44 | 56% 6682-5351 (12033) |
BI BillBenter2026ARB<$100 | Nuno Borgesavg 76.3¢ | $95.74 | $88 | -$7.74 | 58% 17514-12861 (30375) |
| └ Nuno Borges leg | Nuno Borgesavg 76.3¢ | $67.18 | $88 | +$20.82 | |
| └ Mika Brunold leg | Mika Brunoldavg 51¢ | $28.56 | — | -$28.56 | |
OM omnibus-076daa<$100 | Nuno Borgesavg 95¢ | $68.62 | $72.23 | +$3.61 | 49% 17262-17622 (34884) |
 HRTrading<$100 | Nuno Borgesavg 95.9¢ | $49.81 | $49.99 | +$0.18 | 55% 2151-1765 (3916) |
LE LeLynxMalynxCTR<$100 | Mika Brunoldavg 34¢ | $35.7 | — | -$36.23 | 57% 24239-18661 (42900) |
 TRCMCTR<$100 | Mika Brunoldavg 36¢ | $8.15 | — | -$8.15 | 56% 3870-3084 (6954) |
SC SchruteBucks<$100 | Nuno Borgesavg 64.2¢ | $8.94 | $5.08 | +$1.1 | 56% 1762-1373 (3135) |
FL flatbarrel<$100 | Nuno Borgesavg 60¢ | $49.96 | $2.48 | +$0.99 | 58% 2707-1939 (4646) |
NA NatoAlfistaCTR<$100 | Mika Brunoldavg 35¢ | — | — | +$0 | 50% 3606-3566 (7172) |
 VeryLucky888CTR<$100 | Mika Brunoldavg 32.9¢ | — | — | +$0 | 58% 37344-27188 (64532) |
 0x5fD2D9C60781D711721145Ff2b906aA63a18<$100 | Nuno Borgesavg 83¢ | $8.3 | — | +$1.2 | 67% 501-249 (750) |
Invested
$16,729.89
Value
$17.1K
PnL
+$380.1
Record
93%
762-57 (819)
Invested
$13,694.52
Value
$12.6K
PnL
$-1.1K
Record
60%
39756-26331 (66087)
Invested
$6,382.08
Value
$6.3K
PnL
-$117.23
Record
54%
15300-12775 (28075)
RN1Invested
$5,571.66
Value
$5.6K
PnL
+$22.19
Record
54%
51398-43356 (94754)
Invested
$3,400
Value
$3.5K
PnL
+$106.33
Record
89%
839-103 (942)
Invested
$2,616.28
Value
$2.8K
PnL
+$165.75
Record
48%
3562-3815 (7377)
Invested
$5,000
Value
$2.5K
PnL
$-2.2K
Record
57%
572-424 (996)
Invested
$1,506.62
Value
$1.5K
PnL
+$12.29
Record
53%
13155-11641 (24796)
Invested
$500
Value
—
PnL
-$500
Record
51%
1101-1057 (2158)
Invested
$1,250
Value
$1.9K
PnL
+$660.11
Record
58%
880-649 (1529)
Invested
$512.3
Value
$717.04
PnL
+$204.73
Record
60%
3792-2562 (6354)
Invested
$3,190.98
Value
$522.11
PnL
+$128.35
Record
52%
541-494 (1035)
0xheavy888Invested
$112.56
Value
$168
PnL
+$55.44
Record
56%
6682-5351 (12033)
Invested
$95.74
Value
$88
PnL
-$7.74
Record
58%
17514-12861 (30375)
Both legs:
Invested
$68.62
Value
$72.23
PnL
+$3.61
Record
49%
17262-17622 (34884)
HRTrading<$100Invested
$49.81
Value
$49.99
PnL
+$0.18
Record
55%
2151-1765 (3916)
Invested
$35.7
Value
—
PnL
-$36.23
Record
57%
24239-18661 (42900)
TRCMCTR<$100Invested
$8.15
Value
—
PnL
-$8.15
Record
56%
3870-3084 (6954)
Invested
$8.94
Value
$5.08
PnL
+$1.1
Record
56%
1762-1373 (3135)
Invested
$49.96
Value
$2.48
PnL
+$0.99
Record
58%
2707-1939 (4646)
Invested
—
Value
—
PnL
+$0
Record
50%
3606-3566 (7172)
VeryLucky888CTR<$100Invested
—
Value
—
PnL
+$0
Record
58%
37344-27188 (64532)
0x5fD2D9C60781D711721145Ff2b906aA63a18<$100Invested
$8.3
Value
—
PnL
+$1.2
Record
67%
501-249 (750)
Chat
Sign in with your wallet to post.
Market Info
Traders in this Market
Momo63
Nuno Borges — $17.1K
UpTheBlues
Nuno Borges — $12.6K
HomeRunHazard
Nuno Borges — $6.3K
RN1
Nuno Borges — $5.6K
Paul973973
Nuno Borges — $3.5K
efntrick
Nuno Borges — $2.8K
MilesY
Nuno Borges — $2.5K
0xD9E0AACa471f48F91A26E8669A805f2
Nuno Borges — $1.5K
0x760907C8840491c8C86fdDB843D3f1d801786C4e-1771959662080
CTRMika Brunold — $0
k56
Nuno Borges — $1.9K