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No
RN1NoYes
oieshfn345CTRYesYes
HRTrading<$100NoYes
Consensus Won ✓
Smart money consensus was No — and it was correct. Winning outcome: No
Will CA San Miguel win on 2026-10-26?
Resolved No. 43% of the top Polymarket traders held No. The smart money was right.
RESOLVED
🏆
Won
Consensus Traders
7
No 33%
Total Value
$1.5K
Combined PnL
$66.7
Smart Money Signal
No
3 of 7 top traders (43%)4 hold an outcome priced under 50%4 small positions dimmed (<$100 invested)
Market Activity
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Outcome Probabilities
Yes0%
No100%
Smart Money Breakdown by Outcome
No3 traders
Total Value$1.5K
Total Shares1,475
Combined PnL+$230.15
Yes4 traders
Total Value$0
Total Shares1,025
Combined PnL-$163.45
No — 43%Yes — 57%
| Trader | Position | Invested | Value | PnL | Record |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
UP UpTheBlues | Noavg 84.4¢ | $1.0K | $1.2K | +$184.49 | 59% 43329-29788 (73117) |
RN1 | Noavg 84¢ | $237.72 | $283 | +$45.28 | 54% 54359-46301 (100660) |
GO GoalLineGhostCTR<$100 | Yesavg 14¢ | $43.59 | — | -$43.59 | 50% 23534-23109 (46643) |
oieshfn345CTR | Yesavg 17.3¢ | $673.95 | — | -$116.46 | 58% 1578-1158 (2736) |
LU LuckyLooCTR<$100 | Yesavg 11¢ | $3.3 | — | -$3.3 | 50% 11601-11716 (23317) |
HRTrading<$100 | Noavg 81¢ | $1.62 | — | +$0.38 | 54% 2262-1899 (4161) |
BE BetzikoCTR<$100 | Yesavg 20¢ | $10.1 | — | -$0.1 | 54% 5939-5026 (10965) |
UP
UpTheBluesInvested
$1,007.42
Value
$1.2K
PnL
+$184.49
Record
59%
43329-29788 (73117)
RN1Invested
$237.72
Value
$283
PnL
+$45.28
Record
54%
54359-46301 (100660)
GO
GoalLineGhostCTR<$100Invested
$43.59
Value
—
PnL
-$43.59
Record
50%
23534-23109 (46643)
oieshfn345CTRInvested
$673.95
Value
—
PnL
-$116.46
Record
58%
1578-1158 (2736)
LU
LuckyLooCTR<$100Invested
$3.3
Value
—
PnL
-$3.3
Record
50%
11601-11716 (23317)
HRTrading<$100Invested
$1.62
Value
—
PnL
+$0.38
Record
54%
2262-1899 (4161)
BE
BetzikoCTR<$100Invested
$10.1
Value
—
PnL
-$0.1
Record
54%
5939-5026 (10965)
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Market Info
Condition ID
0xfcb1d26e...c7619e
Slug
argpn-ddb-casm-2026-10-26-casm