Back to Markets

Consensus Lost ✗

Smart money consensus was Over — but Under won instead.

Nueva Chicago vs. San Martin de San Juan: O/U 2.5

Resolved Under. 50% of the top Polymarket traders held Over. The smart money was wrong.

View on Polymarket

RESOLVED

💀

Lost

Consensus Traders

8

Over 33%

Total Value

$3.3K

Combined PnL

-$135.17

Smart Money Signal

Over

4 of 8 top traders (50%)4 hold an outcome priced under 50%6 small positions dimmed (<$100 invested)

Market Activity

Outcome Probabilities

Over0%

Under100%

Smart Money Breakdown by Outcome

Under4 traders

Total Value$3.3K

Total Shares3,292

Combined PnL+$1.7K

Over4 traders

Total Value$7.01

Total Shares3,618

Combined PnL$-1.8K

Under — 50%Over — 50%

Trader	Position	Invested	Value	PnL	Record
0X 0x8191c793fd7edbadf0fae651f55c1da3b638da72	Underavg 47.4¢	$1.5K	$3.1K	+$1.7K	72% 2158-825 (2983)
poshposh<$100	Underavg 57¢	$40.44	$70.95	+$30.51	61% 8719-5662 (14381)
0X 0x8Cb25E16F2F0893C1bd4d7077325BD4a3b4AdCf5-1774682577191<$100	Underavg 93¢	$46.5	$50	+$3.5	48% 4363-4810 (9173)
0X 0xdbdd45150249e229eB4cA8aa48A30Dca21Faa5de-1757094771846<$100	Underavg 80.9¢	$26.79	$33.12	+$6.33	59% 29148-19878 (49026)
OM omnibus-076daaCTR	Overavg 50.6¢	$1.8K	$7.01	$-1.8K	49% 18089-18501 (36590)
UP UpTheBluesCTR<$100	Overavg 23.9¢	$7.4	—	-$7.4	59% 43129-29562 (72691)
HRTradingCTR<$100	Overavg 31¢	$0.01	—	+$0	55% 2195-1816 (4011)
GO gollazaCTR<$100	Overavg 34.8¢	$19.93	—	-$4.96	66% 3013-1549 (4562)

0x8191c793fd7edbadf0fae651f55c1da3b638da72

Invested

$1,485.82

Value

$3.1K

PnL

+$1.7K

Record

72%

2158-825 (2983)

Invested

$40.44

Value

$70.95

PnL

+$30.51

Record

61%

8719-5662 (14381)

0x8Cb25E16F2F0893C1bd4d7077325BD4a3b4AdCf5-1774682577191<$100

Invested

$46.5

Value

$50

PnL

+$3.5

Record

48%

4363-4810 (9173)

0xdbdd45150249e229eB4cA8aa48A30Dca21Faa5de-1757094771846<$100

Invested

$26.79

Value

$33.12

PnL

+$6.33

Record

59%

29148-19878 (49026)

omnibus-076daaCTR

Invested

$1,821.8

Value

$7.01

PnL

$-1.8K

Record

49%

18089-18501 (36590)

UpTheBluesCTR<$100

Invested

$7.4

Value

—

PnL

-$7.4

Record

59%

43129-29562 (72691)

HRTradingCTR<$100

Invested

$0.01

Value

—

PnL

+$0

Record

55%

2195-1816 (4011)

gollazaCTR<$100

Invested

$19.93

Value

—

PnL

-$4.96

Record

66%

3013-1549 (4562)

Smart Money Signal

Over

4 of 8 top traders (50%)4 hold an outcome priced under 50%6 small positions dimmed (<$100 invested)

Chat

Sign in with your wallet to post.

Market Info

Condition ID

0x1b8b8175...0eaae6

Slug

argpn-chi-sma-2026-10-26-total-2pt5

Traders in this Market

0x8191c793fd7edbadf0fae651f55c1da3b638da72

Under — $3.1K

poshposh

Under — $70.95

0x8Cb25E16F2F0893C1bd4d7077325BD4a3b4AdCf5-1774682577191

Under — $50

0xdbdd45150249e229eB4cA8aa48A30Dca21Faa5de-1757094771846

Under — $33.12

omnibus-076daa

Over — $7.01

UpTheBlues

Over — $0

HRTrading

Over — $0

gollaza

Over — $0

Trade on Polymarket