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RN1CTR<$100OverUnderOverOver
HRTradingCTR<$100Over
Consensus Lost ✗
Smart money consensus was Over — but Under won instead.
CA Unión vs. Estudiantes de La Plata: 1st Half O/U 1.5
Resolved Under. 80% of the top Polymarket traders held Over. The smart money was wrong.
RESOLVED
💀
Lost
Consensus Traders
5
Over 50%
Total Value
$1.83
Combined PnL
-$13.75
Smart Money Signal
Over
4 of 5 top traders (80%)4 hold an outcome priced under 50%5 small positions dimmed (<$100 invested)
Market Activity
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Outcome Probabilities
Over0%
Under100%
Smart Money Breakdown by Outcome
Over4 traders
Total Value$0
Total Shares310
Combined PnL-$14.3
Under1 trader
Total Value$1.83
Total Shares2
Combined PnL+$0.55
Over — 80%Under — 20%
| Trader | Position | Invested | Value | PnL | Record |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
RN1CTR<$100 | Overavg 4.6¢ | $14.3 | — | -$14.3 | 54% 54359-46301 (100660) |
LE LeLynxMalynx<$100 | Underavg 70¢ | $1.28 | $1.83 | +$0.55 | 57% 27008-20057 (47065) |
UP UpTheBluesCTR<$100 | Overavg 22¢ | — | — | +$0 | 59% 43329-29788 (73117) |
LU LuckyLooCTR<$100 | Overavg 4¢ | — | — | +$0 | 50% 11601-11716 (23317) |
HRTradingCTR<$100 | Overavg 8.2¢ | — | — | +$0 | 54% 2262-1899 (4161) |
RN1CTR<$100Invested
$14.3
Value
—
PnL
-$14.3
Record
54%
54359-46301 (100660)
LE
LeLynxMalynx<$100Invested
$1.28
Value
$1.83
PnL
+$0.55
Record
57%
27008-20057 (47065)
UP
UpTheBluesCTR<$100Invested
—
Value
—
PnL
+$0
Record
59%
43329-29788 (73117)
LU
LuckyLooCTR<$100Invested
—
Value
—
PnL
+$0
Record
50%
11601-11716 (23317)
HRTradingCTR<$100Invested
—
Value
—
PnL
+$0
Record
54%
2262-1899 (4161)
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Market Info
Condition ID
0xdcc7e253...9aa550
Slug
arg-uni-est-2026-10-26-first-half-total-1pt5