Smart money holds the underdog side

Most tracked traders hold Yes, while the market favors No (89%). 10 of 10 traders hold an outcome priced under 50%.

Will Al Ahli Saudi FC win on 2026-10-26?

4 of 10 top Polymarket traders hold Yes (40%) · $10K held · ended Oct 26

No89¢No11¢Ended Mon, Oct 26, 2026View on Polymarket

SIGNAL

🔄

Contrarian

Yes

Consensus Traders

Yes 40%

Total Value

$10.0K

Combined PnL

$4.0K

Smart Money Signal

Yes

4 of 10 top traders (40%)Underdog side (market favors No 89%)10 hold an outcome priced under 50%3 small positions dimmed (<$100 invested)

Market Activity

Outcome Probabilities

No89%

No12%

Smart Money Breakdown by Outcome

Yes4 traders

Total Value$4.3K

Total Shares5,437

Combined PnL-$109.44

No6 traders

Total Value$5.7K

Total Shares8,345

Combined PnL+$4.1K

Yes — 40%No — 60%

Trader	Position	Invested	Value	PnL	Record
JI jiafan	Yesavg 79.9¢	$5.0K	$3.9K	-$117.45	60% 1427-963 (2390)
SN SnakeBallCTR	Noavg 9.8¢	$231.03	$2.1K	+$1.8K	50% 9389-9311 (18700)
VeryLucky888CTR	Noavg 19.6¢	$361.82	$1.5K	+$1.1K	58% 37543-27331 (64874)
GO GoalLineGhostCTR	Noavg 19.6¢	$376.08	$1.2K	+$868.76	51% 21853-21263 (43116)
0X 0x5b624e3E0426F7AA2Ca57F7451fbcEa4b125D87f-1769796221989CTR	Noavg 22¢	$556.71	$569.36	+$12.65	53% 5236-4559 (9795)
FO foooool	Yesavg 88.9¢	$306.05	$316.9	+$10.84	50% 9541-9469 (19010)
UP UpTheBluesCTR	Noavg 11.2¢	$34.92	$286.4	+$251.48	60% 39852-26467 (66319)
Abdihakeem<$100	Yesavg 81¢	$58.89	$56.71	-$2.18	50% 74-75 (149)
AR ARocky33<$100	Yesavg 84¢	$36.5	$35.85	-$0.65	76% 3669-1171 (4840)
HRTradingCTR<$100	Noavg 8¢	$2.84	$32.85	+$30	55% 2155-1770 (3925)

jiafan

Yes

Invested

$4,975.98

Value

$3.9K

PnL

-$117.45

Record

60%

1427-963 (2390)

SnakeBallCTR

Invested

$231.03

Value

$2.1K

PnL

+$1.8K

Record

50%

9389-9311 (18700)

VeryLucky888CTR

Invested

$361.82

Value

$1.5K

PnL

+$1.1K

Record

58%

37543-27331 (64874)

GoalLineGhostCTR

Invested

$376.08

Value

$1.2K

PnL

+$868.76

Record

51%

21853-21263 (43116)

0x5b624e3E0426F7AA2Ca57F7451fbcEa4b125D87f-1769796221989CTR

Invested

$556.71

Value

$569.36

PnL

+$12.65

Record

53%

5236-4559 (9795)

foooool

Yes

Invested

$306.05

Value

$316.9

PnL

+$10.84

Record

50%

9541-9469 (19010)

UpTheBluesCTR

Invested

$34.92

Value

$286.4

PnL

+$251.48

Record

60%

39852-26467 (66319)

Abdihakeem<$100

Yes

Invested

$58.89

Value

$56.71

PnL

-$2.18

Record

50%

74-75 (149)

ARocky33<$100

Yes

Invested

$36.5

Value

$35.85

PnL

-$0.65

Record

76%

3669-1171 (4840)

HRTradingCTR<$100

Invested

$2.84

Value

$32.85

PnL

+$30

Record

55%

2155-1770 (3925)

Smart Money Signal

Yes

4 of 10 top traders (40%)Underdog side (market favors No 89%)10 hold an outcome priced under 50%3 small positions dimmed (<$100 invested)

Chat

EV Calculator

Your estimated chance that No wins (%)

Consensus % is how many tracked traders hold a side, not a win probability.

Stake (USDC)

Break-even chance90.0%

88.5¢ price + 1.0¢ spread + 0.5¢ fee (Sports 5%). Win more often than this and the bet pays.

Expected Value—

Expected ROIenter your estimate

Max Profit

+$11.15

Max Loss

-$100.00

111.1

A market order pays the taker fee and crosses the spread (assumed 1.0¢); a limit order pays no fee but may not fill. The fee category is a guess from the title.