Will Silver (XAGUSD) hit (HIGH) $66 in October?
4 of 5 top Polymarket traders hold No (80%) · No at 99¢ · $2K held · ends Nov 1
⚡
Medium
No
5
No 80%
$2.0K
$64.04
89.8¢ → 98.7¢
+10% since entry · 4 traders
Smart Money Signal
4 of 5 top traders (80%)1 holds an outcome priced under 50%1 small position dimmed (<$100 invested)
Outcome Probabilities
Smart Money Breakdown by Outcome
Signal Intelligence
Momentum
Flat
+0 pts consensus
Breadth
4 traders
Top 2 hold 88%
Freshness
Late
141h old
Late Entry
High
Score 75/100
Flip Quality
Clean
0 consensus flips
80% of non-arb traders are on No. Concentration is driven by the top two positions owning 88% of that side's value.
| Trader | Position | Invested | Value | PnL | Record |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
AV Avamax | Noavg 97.7¢ | $1.3K | $1.2K | +$12.08 | 79% 359-93 (452) |
 PippiTrader | Noavg 77.7¢ | $384.81 | $488.66 | +$103.86 | 59% 199-136 (335) |
DI Dimpled-Foal | Noavg 67.8¢ | $94.68 | $137.85 | +$43.18 | 53% 134-118 (252) |
AL Albert 1953<$100 | Noavg 81¢ | $81 | $98.7 | +$17.7 | 50% 1045-1060 (2105) |
 AliciaCTR | Yesavg 30.6¢ | $117.77 | $5 | -$112.77 | 78% 347-100 (447) |
Invested
$1,261.4
Value
$1.2K
PnL
+$12.08
Record
79%
359-93 (452)
PippiTraderInvested
$384.81
Value
$488.66
PnL
+$103.86
Record
59%
199-136 (335)
Invested
$94.68
Value
$137.85
PnL
+$43.18
Record
53%
134-118 (252)
Invested
$81
Value
$98.7
PnL
+$17.7
Record
50%
1045-1060 (2105)
AliciaCTRInvested
$117.77
Value
$5
PnL
-$112.77
Record
78%
347-100 (447)
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EV Calculator
Consensus % is how many tracked traders hold a side, not a win probability.
98.7¢ price + 1.0¢ spread + 0.0¢ fee (Finance 4%). Win more often than this and the bet pays.
A market order pays the taker fee and crosses the spread (assumed 1.0¢); a limit order pays no fee but may not fill. The fee category is a guess from the title.