Will Silver (XAGUSD) hit (HIGH) $64 in October?
4 of 5 top Polymarket traders hold No (80%) · No at 98¢ · $3K held · ends Nov 1
⚡
Medium
No
5
No 80%
$2.8K
$504.23
79.5¢ → 98.4¢
+24% since entry · 4 traders
Smart Money Signal
4 of 5 top traders (80%)1 holds an outcome priced under 50%1 small position dimmed (<$100 invested)
Outcome Probabilities
Smart Money Breakdown by Outcome
Signal Intelligence
Momentum
Flat
+0 pts consensus
Breadth
4 traders
Top 2 hold 83%
Freshness
Late
175h old
Late Entry
High
Score 90/100
Flip Quality
Choppy
6 consensus flips
80% of non-arb traders are on No. Concentration is driven by the top two positions owning 83% of that side's value.
| Trader | Position | Invested | Value | PnL | Record |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
AV Avamax | Noavg 96.1¢ | $1.7K | $1.7K | +$38.54 | 79% 359-93 (452) |
 PippiTrader | Noavg 47.5¢ | $400.43 | $600.56 | +$314.73 | 59% 199-136 (335) |
DI Dimpled-Foal | Noavg 53.3¢ | $135.48 | $250.05 | +$114.56 | 53% 134-118 (252) |
AL Albert 1953 | Noavg 68.4¢ | $150.38 | $216.37 | +$65.99 | 50% 1045-1060 (2105) |
 GenaTheBondKilIerCTR<$100 | Yesavg 9.9¢ | $2.11 | $5.86 | -$29.6 | 50% 500-498 (998) |
Invested
$1,720.44
Value
$1.7K
PnL
+$38.54
Record
79%
359-93 (452)
PippiTraderInvested
$400.43
Value
$600.56
PnL
+$314.73
Record
59%
199-136 (335)
Invested
$135.48
Value
$250.05
PnL
+$114.56
Record
53%
134-118 (252)
Invested
$150.38
Value
$216.37
PnL
+$65.99
Record
50%
1045-1060 (2105)
GenaTheBondKilIerCTR<$100Invested
$2.11
Value
$5.86
PnL
-$29.6
Record
50%
500-498 (998)
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EV Calculator
Consensus % is how many tracked traders hold a side, not a win probability.
98.4¢ price + 1.0¢ spread + 0.0¢ fee (Finance 4%). Win more often than this and the bet pays.
A market order pays the taker fee and crosses the spread (assumed 1.0¢); a limit order pays no fee but may not fill. The fee category is a guess from the title.