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DownDownDownDownUp
MayorMamdaniCTR<$100UpDown
Consensus Won ✓
Smart money consensus was Down — and it was correct. Winning outcome: Down
XRP Up or Down - October 25, 12:05AM-12:10AM ET
Resolved Down. 71% of the top Polymarket traders held Down. The smart money was right.
RESOLVED
🏆
Won
Consensus Traders
7
Down 71%
Total Value
$78.48
Combined PnL
$0.87
Smart Money Signal
Down
5 of 7 top traders (71%)2 hold an outcome priced under 50%7 small positions dimmed (<$100 invested)
Market Activity
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Outcome Probabilities
Up0%
Down100%
Smart Money Breakdown by Outcome
Down5 traders
Total Value$78.48
Total Shares78
Combined PnL+$8.22
Up2 traders
Total Value$0
Total Shares23
Combined PnL-$7.34
Down — 71%Up — 29%
| Trader | Position | Invested | Value | PnL | Record |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
DR drfc4eybh7i8<$100 | Downavg 89.8¢ | $17.06 | $19 | +$1.94 | 76% 39868-12282 (52150) |
AS asidjasiodja<$100 | Downavg 99¢ | $15.84 | $16 | +$0.16 | 61% 13476-8487 (21963) |
UN uninformedfloww<$100 | Downavg 85.3¢ | $18.87 | $22.13 | +$3.26 | 56% 31133-24033 (55166) |
AA aaa221<$100 | Downavg 79¢ | $13.12 | $15.92 | +$2.8 | — |
BO BonereaperCTR<$100 | Upavg 40¢ | $6.25 | — | -$6.25 | 68% 39669-18714 (58383) |
MayorMamdaniCTR<$100 | Upavg 8.7¢ | $1.09 | — | -$1.09 | 58% 15859-11437 (27296) |
HO hoodquant<$100 | Downavg 99¢ | $5.38 | $5.43 | +$0.05 | 93% 20021-1614 (21635) |
DR
drfc4eybh7i8<$100Invested
$17.06
Value
$19
PnL
+$1.94
Record
76%
39868-12282 (52150)
AS
asidjasiodja<$100Invested
$15.84
Value
$16
PnL
+$0.16
Record
61%
13476-8487 (21963)
UN
uninformedfloww<$100Invested
$18.87
Value
$22.13
PnL
+$3.26
Record
56%
31133-24033 (55166)
AA
aaa221<$100Invested
$13.12
Value
$15.92
PnL
+$2.8
Record
—
BO
BonereaperCTR<$100Invested
$6.25
Value
—
PnL
-$6.25
Record
68%
39669-18714 (58383)
MayorMamdaniCTR<$100Invested
$1.09
Value
—
PnL
-$1.09
Record
58%
15859-11437 (27296)
HO
hoodquant<$100Invested
$5.38
Value
$5.43
PnL
+$0.05
Record
93%
20021-1614 (21635)
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Market Info
Condition ID
0x2667d10f...963d02
Slug
xrp-updown-5m-1792901100